Hostname: page-component-586b7cd67f-gb8f7 Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-11-22T05:42:38.008Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false
  • English
  • Français

Want a Better Forecast? Measure the Campaign Not Just the Economy

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  14 April 2014

Lynn Vavreck
Lynn Vavreck*
Affiliation:
University of California, Los Angeles
Get access Rights & Permissions [Opens in a new window]

Abstract

An abstract is not available for this content so a preview has been provided. Please use the Get access link above for information on how to access this content.
Image of the first page of this content. For PDF version, please use the ‘Save PDF’ preceeding this image.'
Type
Symposium: US Presidential Election Forecasting
Information
PS: Political Science & Politics , Volume 47 , Issue 2 , April 2014 , pp. 345 - 347
Copyright
Copyright © American Political Science Association 2014 

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

REFERENCES

Bartels, Larry M. 2002. “Beyond the Running Tally: Partisan Bias in Political Perceptions,” Political Behavior 24 (2): 117–50.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Campbell, Angus, and Converse, Philip E., Miller, Warren E., and Stokes, Donald E.. 1960. The American Voter. New York: John Wiley.Google Scholar
Duch, Raymond M., and Stevenson, Randolph T.. 2008. The Economic Vote: How Political and Economic Institutions Condition Election Results. New York: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Obama, Barack. 2012. “Remarks by the President to UAW Conference.” Washington Marriott Wardman Park, Washington, DC. www.Whitehouse.gov. February 28.Google Scholar
Romney, Mitt. 2012. “Remarks in Las Vegas Following the Nevada Caucuses” on The American Presidency Project website, http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/?pid=99395 February 4.Google Scholar
Sides, John, and Vavreck, Lynn. 2013. The Gamble: Choice and Chance in the 2012 Presidential Election. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.Google Scholar
Vavreck, Lynn. 2009. The Message Matters: The Economy and Presidential Campaigns. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.Google Scholar