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Response to “Predicting and Dissecting the Seat-Votes Curve in the 2006 U.S. House Election”

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  18 June 2008

Theodore S. Arrington
Affiliation:
University of North Carolina at Charlotte

Extract

The article on the seats-votes curve by Kastellec, Gelman, and Chandler (January 2008, 139–45) presents interesting and helpful analysis and data. Especially important is the insight that incumbency necessarily requires a minority party to receive more than 50% of the vote to gain control of the House of Representatives. However the article is misleading in two respects.

Type
Forum
Copyright
Copyright © The American Political Science Association 2008

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References

Burden, Barry C., and Kimball, David C.. 2004. Why Americans Split Their Ticket: Campaigns, Competition, and Divided Government. Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press.Google Scholar
Huckfeldt, Robert, Carmines, Edward G., Mondak, Jeffery J., and Zeemering, Eric. 2007. “Information, Activation, and Electoral Competition in the 2002 Congressional Elections.” Journal of Politics 69 (August): 798812.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Jacobson, Gary C. 1993. “Getting the Details Right: A Comment on ‘The Changing Meaning of Elector Marginality in the U.S. house Elections 1824–1978.’Political Research Quarterly 46 (March): 4954.Google Scholar