Hostname: page-component-cd9895bd7-dzt6s Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-12-22T17:14:28.672Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

A Recap of the 2016 Election Forecasts

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  31 March 2017

James E. Campbell
Affiliation:
University at Buffalo, SUNY
Helmut Norpoth
Affiliation:
Stony Brook University
Alan I. Abramowitz
Affiliation:
Emory University
Michael S. Lewis-Beck
Affiliation:
University of Iowa
Charles Tien
Affiliation:
Hunter College, CUNY
James E. Campbell
Affiliation:
University at Buffalo, SUNY
Robert S. Erikson
Affiliation:
Columbia University
Christopher Wlezien
Affiliation:
University of Texas at Austin
Brad Lockerbie
Affiliation:
East Carolina University
Thomas M. Holbrook
Affiliation:
University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee
Bruno Jerôme
Affiliation:
University of Paris II
Véronique Jerôme-Speziari
Affiliation:
University of Paris Sud Saclay
Andreas Graefe
Affiliation:
Columbia University
J. Scott Armstrong
Affiliation:
Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania
Randall J. Jones Jr.
Affiliation:
University of Central Oklahoma
Alfred G. Cuzán
Affiliation:
University of West Florida

Abstract

Image of the first page of this content. For PDF version, please use the ‘Save PDF’ preceeding this image.'
Type
Articles
Copyright
Copyright © American Political Science Association 2017 

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

REFERENCES

Campbell, James E. 2008. The American Campaign: U.S. Presidential Campaigns and the National Vote, second edition, College Station, TX: Texas A&M University Press.Google Scholar
Campbell, James E. 2016. “The Trial-Heat and Seats-in-Trouble Forecasts of the 2016 Presidential and Congressional Elections,” PS: Political Science & Politics 49 (4): 664–68.Google Scholar
Cuzán, Alfred G., Armstrong, Scott, and Jones, Randall J.. 2005. “How we Computed the PollyVote.” Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting 1 (1): 51–2.Google Scholar
Erikson, Robert S. and Wlezien, Christopher. 2016. “Forecasting the Presidential Vote with Leading Economic Indicators and the Polls.” PS: Political Science & Politics 49 (4): 449–72.Google Scholar
Graefe, Andreas. 2014. “Accuracy of Vote Expectation Surveys in Forecasting Elections.” Public Opinion Quarterly 78 (S1): 204–32.Google Scholar
Graefe, Andreas., Armstrong, Scott, Jones, Randall J., and Cuzán, Alfred G.. 2014a. “Combining Forecasts: An Application to Elections.” International Journal of Forecasting 30 (1): 4354.Google Scholar
Graefe, Andreas., Armstrong, Scott J., Cuzán, Alfred G., and Jones, Randall J.. 2014b. “Accuracy of Combined Forecasts for the 2012 Presidential Elections: The PollyVote.” PS: Political Science & Politics 47 (2): 427–31.Google Scholar
Wasserman, David. 2017. “2016 Popular Vote Tracker,” The Cook Political Report (January 2, 2017). http://cookpolitical.com/story/10174.Google Scholar
Wlezien, Christopher Erikson, Robert S.. 1996. “Temporal Horizons and Presidential Election Forecasts.” American Politics Research 24: 492505.Google Scholar