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Primary Model Predicts Trump Victory

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  12 October 2016

Helmut Norpoth*
Affiliation:
Stony Brook University

Abstract

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Type
Symposium: Forecasting the 2016 American National Elections
Copyright
Copyright © American Political Science Association 2016 

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References

REFERENCES

Norpoth, Helmut. 1996. “Of Time and Candidates: A Forecast for 1996.” American Politics Quarterly 24: 443467.Google Scholar
Norpoth, Helmut. 2001. “Primary Colors: A Mixed Blessing for Al Gore.” PS: Political Science & Politics 34 (1): 4548.Google Scholar
Norpoth, Helmut. 2004. “From Primary to General Election: A Forecast of the Presidential Vote.” PS: Political Science & Politics 37 (4): 737740.Google Scholar
Norpoth, Helmut. 2008. “On the Razor’s Edge: The Forecast of the Primary Model.” PS: Political Science & Politics 41 (4): 683–86.Google Scholar
Norpoth, Helmut. 2014. “The Electoral Cycle.” PS: Political Science & Politics 47 (2): 332335.Google Scholar
Norpoth, Helmut and Bednarczuk, Michael. 2012. “History and Primary: The Obama Reelection.” PS: Political Science & Politics 45 (4): 614–17.Google Scholar
Stegmaier, Mary and Norpoth, Helmut. 2013. “Election Forecasting.” In Oxford Bibliographies in Political Science, ed. Valelly, Rick. New York: Oxford University Press.Google Scholar