Hostname: page-component-586b7cd67f-rdxmf Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-11-22T18:44:31.787Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Primary Model Predicts Trump Victory

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  12 October 2016

Helmut Norpoth*
Affiliation:
Stony Brook University

Abstract

Image of the first page of this content. For PDF version, please use the ‘Save PDF’ preceeding this image.'
Type
Symposium: Forecasting the 2016 American National Elections
Copyright
Copyright © American Political Science Association 2016 

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

REFERENCES

Norpoth, Helmut. 1996. “Of Time and Candidates: A Forecast for 1996.” American Politics Quarterly 24: 443467.Google Scholar
Norpoth, Helmut. 2001. “Primary Colors: A Mixed Blessing for Al Gore.” PS: Political Science & Politics 34 (1): 4548.Google Scholar
Norpoth, Helmut. 2004. “From Primary to General Election: A Forecast of the Presidential Vote.” PS: Political Science & Politics 37 (4): 737740.Google Scholar
Norpoth, Helmut. 2008. “On the Razor’s Edge: The Forecast of the Primary Model.” PS: Political Science & Politics 41 (4): 683–86.Google Scholar
Norpoth, Helmut. 2014. “The Electoral Cycle.” PS: Political Science & Politics 47 (2): 332335.Google Scholar
Norpoth, Helmut and Bednarczuk, Michael. 2012. “History and Primary: The Obama Reelection.” PS: Political Science & Politics 45 (4): 614–17.Google Scholar
Stegmaier, Mary and Norpoth, Helmut. 2013. “Election Forecasting.” In Oxford Bibliographies in Political Science, ed. Valelly, Rick. New York: Oxford University Press.Google Scholar