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Forecasting US Presidential Elections Using Economic and Noneconomic Fundamentals

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  14 April 2014

Robert S. Erikson  and
Christopher Wlezien
Robert S. Erikson
Affiliation:
Columbia University
Christopher Wlezien
Affiliation:
University of Texas at Austin
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Abstract

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Type
Symposium: US Presidential Election Forecasting
Information
PS: Political Science & Politics , Volume 47 , Issue 2 , April 2014 , pp. 313 - 316
Copyright
Copyright © American Political Science Association 2014 

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References

REFERENCES

Erikson, Robert S., and Wlezien, Christopher. 2014. The 2012 Campaign and Timeline of Presidential Elections. Chicago: The University of Chicago Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Erikson, Robert S., and Wlezien, Christopher. 2012a. The Timeline of Presidential Elections: How Campaigns Do (and Do Not) Matter. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.Google Scholar
Erikson, Robert S., and Wlezien, Christopher. 2012b. “The Objective and Subjective Economy and the Presidential Vote.” PS: Political Science and Politics 45 (4): 620–24.Google Scholar
Gelman, Andrew, and King, Gary. 1993. “Why Are American Presidential Election Polls So Variable When Votes Are So Predictable?” British Journal of Political Science 23: 409–51.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Vavreck, Lynn. 2009. The Message Matters: The Economy and Presidential Campaigns. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Wlezien, Christopher, Franklin, Mark N., and Twiggs, Daniel. 1997. “Economic Perceptions and Vote Choice: Disentangling the Endogeneity.” Political Behavior 19: 7–17.Google Scholar