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Forecasting the 2022 French Presidential Election with a SUR Regionalized Model

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  23 March 2022

Véronique Jérôme-Speziari
Affiliation:
University of Paris Saclay, France
Éric Bélanger
Affiliation:
McGill University, Canada

Abstract

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Type
Forecasting the 2022 French Presidential Election
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2022. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of the American Political Science Association

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References

REFERENCES

Foucault, Martial, and Nadeau, Richard. 2012. “Forecasting the 2012 French Presidential Election.” PS: Political Science & Politics 45 (2): 218–22.Google Scholar
Jérôme-Speziari, Véronique, and Bélanger, Éric. 2022. “Replication Data for ‘Forecasting the 2022 French Presidential Election with a SUR Regionalized Model.’” Harvard Dataverse https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/DE6Y79.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Jérôme, Bruno, and Jérôme-Speziari, Véronique. 2001. “Ils ont trouvé la formule qui donne le résultat des élections.” L’Expansion 656: 7475.Google Scholar
Jérôme, Bruno, and Jérôme-Speziari, Véronique. 2003. “A Le Pen Vote Function for the 2002 Presidential Election: A Way to Reduce Uncertainty.” French Politics 1 (2): 247–51.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Jérôme, Bruno, Jérôme-Speziari, Véronique, and Lewis-Beck, Michael S.. 2017. “The Grand Coalition Reappointed but Angela Merkel on Borrowed Time.” PS: Political Science & Politics 50 (3): 683–85.Google Scholar
Jérôme, Bruno, Mongrain, Philippe, and Nadeau, Richard. 2022. “Forecasting the 2022 French Presidential Election: From a Left–Right Logic to the Quadripolarization of Politics.” PS: Political Science & Politics. DOI: 10.1017/S1049096522000488.Google Scholar
Lewis-Beck, Michael S., Nadeau, Richard, and Bélanger, Éric. 2012. French Presidential Elections. Basingstoke, UK: Palgrave Macmillan.Google Scholar
Supplementary material: Link

Jérôme-Speziari and Bélanger Dataset

Link
Supplementary material: File

Jérôme-Speziari and Bélanger supplementary material

Appendix

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