Hostname: page-component-cd9895bd7-jkksz Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-12-23T03:33:46.488Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Explaining the Horse Race of 2008

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  26 June 2009

Suzanna Linn
Affiliation:
Pennsylvania State University
Jonathan Moody
Affiliation:
Pennsylvania State University
Stephanie Asper
Affiliation:
Pennsylvania State University

Extract

October 2, 2008, the New York Times presidential campaign coverage carried the headline “Poll Finds Obama Gaining Support and McCain Weakened in Bailout Crisis.” Similarly, the headline on October 21 read “Obama Appeal Rises in Poll; No Gains for McCain Ticket.” The 2008 presidential election, more so than any previous campaign, was presented as a horse race between senators Barack Obama and John McCain. In the midst of president George W. Bush's plummeting approval ratings, a growing discontent among the American people about the continued U.S. presence in Iraq, and the largest economic recession since the Great Depression, the media did not cast the election as a debate about issues. Rather, the 2008 election was about the candidates' relative positioning, how they got there, and what strategies they would employ to secure victory.

Type
Symposium
Copyright
Copyright © The American Political Science Association 2009

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Abramowitz, Alan I. 2008. “Forecasting the 2008 Presidential Election with the Time-for-Change Model.” PS: Political Science and Politics 41 (4): 691–95.Google Scholar
Campbell, James E. 2008. “The Trial-Heat Forecast of the 2008 Presidential Vote: Performance and Value Considerations in an Open-Seat Election.” PS: Political Science and Politics 41 (4): 697701.Google Scholar
Erikson, Robert S., and Wlezien, Christopher. 2008. “Leading Economic Indicators, the Polls, and the Presidential Vote.” PS: Political Science and Politics 41 (4): 703–07.Google Scholar
Holbrook, Thomas M. 1994. “Campaigns, National Conditions, and U.S. Presidential Elections.” American Journal of Political Science 38: 973–98.Google Scholar
Lewis-Beck, Michael S., and Tien, Charles. 2008. “The Job of President and the Jobs Model Forecast: Obama for '08?PS: Political Science and Politics 41 (4): 687–90.Google Scholar
MacKuen, Michael B., Erikson, Robert S., and Stimson, James A.. 1992. “Peasants or Bankers? The American Electorate and the U.S. Economy.” American Political Science Review 86: 597611.Google Scholar
Shaw, Daron R., and Roberts, Brian E.. 2000. “Campaign Events, the Media and the Prospects of Victory: The 1992 and 1996 Presidential Elections.” British Journal of Political Science 30: 259–89.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Stimson, James A. 1999. Public Opinion in America: Moods, Cycles, and Swings. Boulder, CO: Westview Press.Google Scholar
Stimson, James A. 2004. Tides of Consent: How Public Opinion Shapes American Politics. New York: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar