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Evaluations of the 2014 Midterm Election Forecasts

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  02 April 2015

James E. Campbell ,
Alan I. Abramowitz ,
Joseph Bafumi ,
Robert S. Erikson ,
Christopher Wlezien ,
Michael S. Lewis-Beck ,
Charles Tien ,
Benjamin Highton ,
Eric McGhee  and
John Sides
James E. Campbell
Affiliation:
University at Buffalo, SUNY, guest editor
Alan I. Abramowitz
Affiliation:
Emory University
Joseph Bafumi
Affiliation:
Dartmouth College
Robert S. Erikson
Affiliation:
Columbia University
Christopher Wlezien
Affiliation:
University of Texas, Austin
Michael S. Lewis-Beck
Affiliation:
University of Iowa
Charles Tien
Affiliation:
Hunter College, CUNY
Benjamin Highton
Affiliation:
University of California, Davis
Eric McGhee
Affiliation:
Public Policy Institute of California
John Sides
Affiliation:
George Washington University
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Abstract

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Type
Symposium: Evaluations of the 2014 Midterm Election Forecasts
Information
PS: Political Science & Politics , Volume 48 , Issue 2 , April 2015 , pp. 295 - 300
Copyright
Copyright © American Political Science Association 2015 

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References

REFERENCES

Brier, Glenn W. 1950. “Verification of Forecasts Expressed in Terms of Probability.” Monthly Weather Review 78: 1–3.Google Scholar
Highton, Benjamin, McGhee, Eric, and Sides, John. 2014. “Election Fundamentals and Polls Favor the Republicans.” PS: Political Science and Politics 47 (4): 786–8.Google Scholar
Sides, John. 2014a. “What’s the Value of Early Senate Polls?” The Monkey Cage, July 10. Available at http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/monkey-cage/wp/2014/07/10/whats-the-value-of-early-senate-polls/.Google Scholar
Sides, John. 2014b. “Final Forecast: Republicans Have a 98% Chance of Taking the Senate.” The Monkey Cage, November 4. Available at http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/monkey-cage/wp/2014/11/04/final-forecast-republicans-have-a-98-chance-of-taking-the-senate/ Google Scholar
Sides, John. 2014c. “Election Lab on Track to Forecast 35 of 36 Senate Races Correctly.” The Monkey Cage, November 5: Available at http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/monkey-cage/wp/2014/11/05/election-lab-on-track-to-forecast-35-of-36-senate-races-correctly/ Google Scholar
Wasserman, David. 2014. “2014 National House Popular Vote Tracker.” Available at https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AjYj9mXElO_QdHVsbnNNdXRoaUE5QThHclNWaTgzb2c&usp=drive_web#gid=0.Google Scholar