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Did Bush Voters Cause Obama's Victory?
Published online by Cambridge University Press: 19 April 2010
Abstract
In the 2008 election, Barack Obama's campaign brought many new voters to the polls. Were these new voters necessary for Obama's victory? In this study, I find that they were not. The basis of this finding is an examination of decisions made by people who voted for George W. Bush in 2004. I show that Bush voters' decisions not to vote or to support Obama were a sufficient condition for Obama's victory.
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- Copyright © American Political Science Association 2010
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