Hostname: page-component-cd9895bd7-lnqnp Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-12-31T15:28:45.857Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false
  • English
  • Français

Chancellor Model Predicts a Change of the Guards

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  12 June 2017

Helmut Norpoth  and
Thomas Gschwend
Helmut Norpoth
Affiliation:
Stony Brook University
Thomas Gschwend
Affiliation:
University of Mannheim
Get access Rights & Permissions [Opens in a new window]

Abstract

An abstract is not available for this content so a preview has been provided. Please use the Get access link above for information on how to access this content.
Image of the first page of this content. For PDF version, please use the ‘Save PDF’ preceeding this image.'
Type
Symposium: Forecasting the 2017 German Elections
Information
PS: Political Science & Politics , Volume 50 , Issue 3 , July 2017 , pp. 686 - 688
Copyright
Copyright © American Political Science Association 2017 

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

REFERENCES

Campbell, Angus, Converse, Philip E., Miller, Warren E., and Stokes, Donald E., 1960. The American Voter. New York: Wiley.Google Scholar
Gschwend, Thomas and Norpoth, Helmut. 2005 “Prognosemodell auf dem Prüfstand: Die Bundestagswahl 2005. “ Politische Vierteljahresschrift 46 (4): 682–88.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
King, Gary, Tomz, Michael, and Wittenberg, Jason. 2000. “Making the Most of Statistical Analyses: Improving Interpretation and Presentation.” American Journal of Political Science 44 (2): 347–61.Google Scholar
Lewis-Beck, Michael S., Jacoby, William G., Norpoth, Helmut, and Weisberg, Herbert F.. 2008. The American Voter Revisited. Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press.Google Scholar
Norpoth, Helmut. 2016. “Primary Model Predicts Trump Victory.” PS: Political Science & Politics 49 (4): 655–58.Google Scholar
Norpoth, Helmut and Gschwend, Thomas. 2003. “Against All Odds? The Red-Green Victory.” German Politics and Society 21 (1): 15–34.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Norpoth, Helmut and Gschwend, Thomas. 2013. “Chancellor Model Picks Merkel in 2013 German Election.” PS: Political Science & Politics 46 (3): 481–82Google Scholar
Stegmaier, Mary and Norpoth, Helmut. 2017. “Election Forecasting.” In Oxford Bibliographies in Political Science. New York: Oxford University Press.Google Scholar
ZEIT Blog. 2009. http://blog.zeit.de/zweitstimme/2009/10/14/das-kanzlermodell-bei-der-wahl-2009-diesmal-kein-volltreffer/ Google Scholar