Hostname: page-component-cd9895bd7-jn8rn Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-12-23T02:05:53.426Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Simulating and predicting solar cycles using a flux-transport dynamo

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  01 November 2006

Mausumi Dikpati
Affiliation:
High Altitude Observatory, National Center for Atmospheric Research, 3080 Center Green, Boulder, CO 80301, USA email: [email protected]
Rights & Permissions [Opens in a new window]

Abstract

Core share and HTML view are not available for this content. However, as you have access to this content, a full PDF is available via the ‘Save PDF’ action button.

We review how the so-called flux-transport solar dynamos work and show that such models calibrate well with solar cycle observations, and simulate well the relative peaks of the past 8 cycles. This success provides a basis for forecasting a strong solar cycle 24. We also show that a previous forecast of the timing of onset of cycle 24 is being verified by recent sunspot area statistics and coronal structures.

Type
Contributed Papers
Copyright
© 2006 International Astronomical Union