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Published online by Cambridge University Press: 01 November 2006
We review how the so-called flux-transport solar dynamos work and show that such models calibrate well with solar cycle observations, and simulate well the relative peaks of the past 8 cycles. This success provides a basis for forecasting a strong solar cycle 24. We also show that a previous forecast of the timing of onset of cycle 24 is being verified by recent sunspot area statistics and coronal structures.