Factors Influencing Authoritarian Strategies

The percentage of women in African legislatures tripled between 1990 and 2010, and most of these changes were found in authoritarian or semi-authoritarian countries. This was largely due to several phenomena that occurred at the end of the Cold War. First, the emergence of multipartyism set in motion dynamics that forced ruling parties to take measures to maintain or increase vote share. This was especially the case in authoritarian countries, and especially in former military regimes, which had greater legitimacy concerns in the new political dispensation. One of these measures involved promoting women as leaders through gender quotas. The shift toward multipartyism also gave rise to new independent women’s organizations and movements, creating additional internal pressures for reform in both authoritarian and democratic countries.

With the shift to multipartyism after the 1990s, in some countries, the proportion of vote share diminished, but the ruling parties remained dominant. However, they were presented with a new dilemma of how to remain dominant in the face of electoral competition. One way that ruling parties in authoritarian countries maintained vote share was through the use of reserved seats and other gender quotas. As a result, they were able to further solidify their party’s dominance. Therefore, the level of longevity of a party in power is yet another factor that accounts for women’s representation. This is equally true of authoritarian and democratic regimes (Tripp Reference Tripp2022).

Sartori (Reference Sartori1976) defines a dominant one-party system as one in which parties claim more than three consecutive electoral wins (with a majority of votes in coalition governments). I call these entrenched parties. Women in countries with more entrenched parties hold considerably more seats in legislatures, subnational councils and ministerial posts than in those countries with less entrenched parties and institutionalized regimes (see Table 2). Entrenched parties did not emerge in countries like Ghana, Nigeria, or Zambia, where parties alternated in power, or in countries like Sierra Leone, Burkina Faso, or Mali, where there have been multiple coups and coup attempts. Hybrid regimes are also less likely to have entrenched parties because they are often in flux. As a result, levels of political representation of women in these countries are low.

Table 2. Entrenched party impact on women in power, 2021

Sources: Inter-Parliamentary Union (2021); UN Women (2021); Freedom House.

* Includes North African countries.

The end of the Cold War not only changed the dynamic between ruling and other parties, it also resulted in the end of many long-standing conflicts, which created opportunity structures (e.g., the establishment of peace accords, constitutional reforms, electoral reforms) that allowed for increased women’s representation in postconflict settings, which were mostly authoritarian (Berry Reference Berry2019; Hughes and Tripp Reference Hughes and Tripp2015; Tripp Reference Tripp2015). The end of conflict also necessitated efforts to spruce up the country’s image and advancing women leaders, many of whom had emerged during the war years.

The rise of religious extremist movements also put new pressures on various countries to curate a positive international image. Thus, the use of women leaders and women’s rights became one way to soften a country’s image. Morocco and Tunisia had among the largest number of fighters joining Daesch in the region, which explains, in part, why women’s leadership was promoted in these countries, even by Islamist parties (Tripp Reference Tripp2019).

Finally, changing international norms regarding women’s representation after the 1990s fostered a new kind of virtue signaling around women’s leadership globally and in Africa, particularly after the 1995 United Nations Conference on Women in Beijing, where a Platform of Action was adopted in which member states pledged to increase women’s leadership in all areas and at all levels (Manuh and Anyidoho Reference Manuh and Anyidoho2015). This was especially apparent in countries that wished to expand trade ties with Europe, increase donor support, or gain favor internationally.

How Authoritarian Regimes Promote Women as Leaders

Although the advancement of women leaders are instrumentalized by democratic and nondemocratic states alike, they take on additional importance in authoritarian regimes because of their greater need to gain and maintain legitimacy. Because the imperative of maintaining vote share became more important with the introduction of multipartyism in the 1990s, a variety of strategies were employed to increase support for purposes of enhancing legitimacy. It is no accident that none of the democracies in Africa have reserved seats for women, but at least 17 nondemocratic African countries have adopted reserved seats. The inclusion of women in the parliament through reserved seats is low cost because it does not come at the expense of any seats held by incumbent men. Moreover, they are easier for the ruling party to control than legislative or voluntary quotas that leave women’s candidacy in the hands of the parties, including the opposition parties.

The promotion of women leaders can also be used to seek legitimacy in the international arena (Tripp Reference Tripp2019). It can be used for the purpose of international virtue signaling to divert attention from an overall dismal human rights record to enhance a regime’s international reputation or soften the image of an illiberal regime to donors, potential investors and trade partners (Bush, Donno, and Zetterberg Reference Bush, Donno and Zetterberg2021). The audience for this virtue signaling is not just the West. In Africa, virtue signaling is also aimed at the African Union and regional organizations like the Southern African Development Community that have set goals in advancing women’s rights and leadership. Thus, enhancing women’s status can serve any number of goals that have little to do with women themselves.

Authoritarian regimes also promote women through mechanisms that are most likely to ensure clientelistic loyalty of women. Uganda, for example, employed reserved seats for the reasons mentioned above. Another mechanism is the expansion of the number of districts, which in Uganda increased from 39 in 1989 to 146 in 2021. Since each district has a woman holding a reserved seat, the expansion of seats increased the number of women in reserved seats. The ruling party, the National Resistance Movement (NRM), increased the number of appointed women as well as the number of pro-NRM women independents, many of whom had lost in the first round of elections and then successfully ran as pro-NRM independents. The NRM also vigorously de-campaigned opposition women candidates, repressed them, sometimes violently, paid candidates to run against opposition women, and coopted women in the opposition. All of these were efforts to expand ruling party’s representation by increasing its cadre of loyal women parliamentarians.

Finally, some have argued that party-based authoritarian regimes matter more for women’s rights than personal-based regimes (Bjarnegård and Zetterberg Reference Bjarnegård and Zetterberg2016; Donno and Kreft Reference Donno and Kreft2019). Others have suggested that the degree of party institutionalization is the main determinant of women’s political inclusion under authoritarian rule (Pelke Reference Pelke2021).