Hostname: page-component-cd9895bd7-p9bg8 Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-12-25T20:44:26.646Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Applying a Two-Step Strategy to the Analysis of Cross-National Public Opinion Data

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  04 January 2017

Karen Long Jusko*
Affiliation:
Department of Political Science, University of Michigan, 5700 Haven Hall, 505 South State Street, Ann Arbor, MI 48109–1045
W. Phillips Shively
Affiliation:
Department of Political Science, University of Minnesota, 1414 Social Sciences Bldg. 267 19th Ave. South, Minneapolis, MN 55455. email: [email protected]
*
email: [email protected] (corresponding author)

Abstract

In recent years, large sets of national surveys with shared content have increasingly been used for cross-national opinion research. But scholars have not yet settled on the most flexible and efficient models for utilizing such data. We present a two-step strategy for such analysis that takes advantage of the fact that in such datasets each “cluster” (i.e., country sample) is large enough to sustain separate analysis of its internal variances and covariances. We illustrate the method by examining a puzzle of comparative electoral behavior—why does turnout decline rather than increase with the number of parties competing in an election (Blais and Dobryzynska 1998, for example)? This discussion demonstrates the ease with which a two-step strategy incorporates confounding variables operating at different levels of analysis. Technical appendices demonstrate that the two-step strategy does not lose efficiency of estimation as compared with a pooling strategy.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
Copyright © The Author 2005. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the Society for Political Methodology 

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

Footnotes

Authors' note: We are grateful for the comments and suggestions offered by the participants of the Princeton University conference on hierarchical models, especially Chris Achen and Larry Bartels.

References

Achen, Christopher. 2005. “Two-Step Hierarchical Estimation: Beyond Regression Analysis.” Political Analysis doi:10.1093/pan/mpi033.Google Scholar
Aitken, A. C. 1935. “On Least Squares and the Linear Combination of Observations.” Proceedings of the Royal Society of Edinburgh 55: 4248.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bartels, Larry. 1996. “Pooling Disparate Observations.” American Journal of Political Science 40: 905942.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Birch, S., and Wilson, A. 1999. “The Ukrainian Parliamentary Elections of 1998.” Electoral Studies 18: 276282.Google Scholar
Blais, Andre, and Dobrzynska, Agnieszka. 1998. “Turnout in Electoral Democracies.” European Journal of Political Research 33: 239261.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bryk, A. S., and Raudenbush, S. 1992. Hierarchical Linear Models. Newbury Park, CA: Sage.Google Scholar
Cox, Gary, and Amorim, Octavio. 1997. “Electoral Institutions, Cleavage Structures and the Number of Parties.” American Journal of Political Science 41: 149174.Google Scholar
CSES. 2003a. “CSES Module 1, 1996–2001 (August 4, 2003 Version).” Center for Political Studies, University of Michigan [producer and distributor]. (Available from www.cses.org.)Google Scholar
CSES. 2003b. “CSES Module 2, 2001–2005 (May 1, 2003 Version).” Center for Political Studies, University of Michigan [producer and distributor]. (Available from www.cses.org.)Google Scholar
Dahl, Robert. 2002. How Democratic Is the American Constitution? New Haven: Yale University Press.Google Scholar
Downs, Anthnoy. 1957. An Economic Theory of Democracy. New York: Harper.Google Scholar
Fuller, Wayne, and Battese, George. 1973. “Transformations for Estimation of Linear Models with Nest-Error Structure.” Journal of the American Statistical Association 68: 626632.Google Scholar
Golder, Matthew. Forthcoming. “Presidential Elections and Legislative Fragmentation.” American Journal of Political Science 50(1).Google Scholar
Hanushek, Eric. 1974. “Efficient Estimators for Regressing Regression Coefficients.” American Statistician 28: 6667.Google Scholar
IDEA. 2004. “Voter Turnout from 1945 to Date.” International IDEA Voter Turnout Project. (Available from www.idea.int/vt/index.cfm.)Google Scholar
Jackman, Robert. 1987. “Political Institutions and Voter Turnout in the Industrial Democracies.” American Political Science Review 81: 405423.Google Scholar
Jusko, Karen Long. 2005. “Two-Step Binary Response Models for Cross-National Public Opinion Data: A Research Note.” Presented at the Midwest Political Science Association National Conference, April 7–10, 2005. Chicago.Google Scholar
Laakso, M., and Taagepera, Rein. 1979. “‘Effective’ Number of Parties: A Measure with Application to West Europe.” Comparative Political Studies 12: 327.Google Scholar
Lewis, Jeffrey, and Linzer, Drew. 2005. “Estimating Regression Models in which the Dependent Variable Is Based on Estimates.” Political Analysis doi:10.1093/pan/mpi026.Google Scholar
Rao, C. R. 1965. Linear Statistical Inference and Its Applications. New York: Wiley.Google Scholar
Saxonhouse, Gary. 1977. “Regressions from Samples Having Different Characteristics.” Review of Economics and Statistics 59: 234237.CrossRefGoogle Scholar