Hostname: page-component-cd9895bd7-gxg78 Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-12-24T17:02:33.308Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

US Arctic policymaking under Trump and Obama

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  16 January 2020

Katherine A. Weingartner
Affiliation:
Elliott School of International Affairs, George Washington University, Washington, DC, USA
Robert W. Orttung*
Affiliation:
Elliott School of International Affairs, George Washington University, Washington, DC, USA
*
Author for correspondence: Robert W. Orttung, Email: [email protected]

Abstract

Though presidential personality and preferences heavily influence US Arctic policy, climate change and the perceived threat to US interests posed by rising international engagement in the north among great powers such as Russia and China are increasingly impacting US policy in the region. Recognising that these trends are likely to persist into the future, it is important to understand the US Arctic policymaking apparatus, how geopolitical and environmental factors affect the creation and implementation of such policies through the presidency and how the resulting presidential policies may impact US leadership in the region for years to come. Consequently, this article examines how the distinct styles and preferences of Presidents Obama and Trump interact with growing climate change and defence challenges in the region within the US Arctic policymaking process. We illustrate this interaction through examples at both domestic and international policy levels and then place it in the larger context of the differing presidential approaches to institutionalisation when setting policy. Ultimately, we conclude that not only do presidential priorities regarding climate change, rising international engagement, and institutionalisation critically influence Arctic policymaking, but how a future president views these issues will heavily impact the direction of policies affecting the region.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
© The Authors 2020. Published by Cambridge University Press

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Beach, D., & Petersen, R. B. (2019). Process-Tracing Methods. Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Berkman, P. A., Kullerud, L., Pope, A., Vylegzhanin, A. N., & Young, O. R. (2017). The Arctic Science Agreement propels science diplomacy. Science, 358(6363), 596598.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Borgatti, S. P., Everett, M. G., & Johnson, J. C. (2018). Analyzing Social Networks, 2nd Edition. Los Angeles: Sage.Google Scholar
Brennan, D. (2019, October 3). Donald Trump Says U.S. Will Block China from Expanding to the Arctic: “We Won’t Let It Happen”. Newsweek.Google Scholar
Breum, M. (2017, May 3). Why US climate hostility might be a bigger threat to Arctic Council cooperation than security tensions. Arctic Today. Retrieved from https://www.arctictoday.com/why-us-climate-hostility-might-be-a-bigger-threat-to-arctic-council-cooperation-than-security-tensions/Google Scholar
Brooks, J. (2019, February 13). Governor launches plan to deeply cut Alaska state spending. Anchorage Daily News. Retrieved from https://www.adn.com/politics/2019/02/13/gov-dunleavy-launches-massive-budget-cut-plan/Google Scholar
Bross, D. (2018, November 29). Eielson AFB commander says F-35’s will usher new era of combat power. Retrieved from https://www.alaskapublic.org/2018/11/29/eielson-afb-commander-says-f-35s-will-usher-new-era-of-combat-power/Google Scholar
Chater, A. (2019, March 9). The Presidency of Donald Trump in the Arctic Council. The Polar Connection. Retrieved from http://polarconnection.org/presidency-trump-arctic-council/Google Scholar
Chief of Naval Operations The United States Navy (2019). Strategic Outlook for the Arctic. Washington: U.S. Navy.Google Scholar
Closson, S. (2019). Russia’s recent arctic activities: military threat or development strategy? Russian Analytical Digest, 237, 912.Google Scholar
Cole, D. (2019, May 19). How the Trump administration’s rush to drill in Alaska’s Arctic refuge is backfiring. Arctic Today.Google Scholar
Davenport, C., & Landler, M. (2019, May 27). Trump Administration Hardens Its Attack on Climate Science. The New York Times. Retrieved from https://www.nytimes.com/2019/05/27/us/politics/trump-climate-science.htmlGoogle Scholar
Department of Defense (2016). Report to Congress on Strategy to Protect United States National Security Interests in the Arctic Region. Washington DC: Department of Defense.Google Scholar
Faram, M. D. (2019, January 16). Second Fleet is becoming operational — what does that mean for you? Navy Times. Retrieved from https://www.navytimes.com/news/your-navy/2019/01/17/second-fleet-is-becoming-operational-what-does-that-mean-for-you/Google Scholar
FYI Team (2019, April 30). An Interview with OSTP Director Kelvin Droegemeier. FYI: Science Policy News from the American Institute of Physics. Retrieved from https://www.aip.org/fyi/2019/interview-ostp-director-kelvin-droegemeierGoogle Scholar
Gleason, S. L. (March 29, 2019). League of Conservation Voters, et al., v. Donald J. Trump, et al., Defendants, and American Petroleum Institute and State of Alaska, Intervenor-Defendants. in the United States District Court for the District of Alaska, Case 3:17-cv-00101-SLG.Google Scholar
Haecker, D. (2017, May 5). Trump Issues Executive Order Revoking Northern Bering Sea Protection And Tribal Participation. Nome Nugget.Google Scholar
Huebert, R. (2009). United States arctic policy: the reluctant arctic power. University of Calgary School of Public Policy Briefing Papers, 2(2), 127.Google Scholar
Huebert, R. (2010). Cooperation or conflict in the Arctic? In Nordquist, M. H., Moore, J. N., & Heiar, T. H. (Eds.), Changes in the Arctic: Environment and the Law of the Sea. Leiden: Martinus Nijhoff Publishers, 2760.Google Scholar
Interagency Arctic Research Policy Committee of the National Science and Technology Council (2016). Arctic Research Plan FY 2017–2021. Washington DC: Executive Office of the President.Google Scholar
Keil, K. (2013). The Arctic: a new region of conflict? The case of oil and gas. Cooperation and Conflict, 49(2), 162190.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kennedy, M. (2016). Obama Designates Atlantic, Arctic Areas Off-Limits To Offshore Drilling. The Two Way. Retrieved from https://www.npr.org/sections/thetwo-way/2016/12/20/506336885/obama-designates-atlantic-arctic-areas-off-limits-to-offshore-drillingGoogle Scholar
Kissenger, H. (1971). National Security Decision Memorandum 144. Washington, DC: National Security CouncilGoogle Scholar
Koivurova, T. (2010). Limits and possibilities of the Arctic Council in a rapidly changing scene of Arctic governance. Polar Record, 46(237), 146156.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kraska, J. (2011a). The New Arctic Geography and U.S. Strategy. In Kraska, J. (Ed.), Arctic security in an age of climate change (pp. 244266). Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kraska, J. (Ed.) (2011b). Arctic Security in an Age of Climate Change. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kravchuk, A. A. (2019). Neorealistskii podkhod k analizu voenno-politicheskoi obstanovki v Arktike [A neo-realist approach to analyzing the military-political situation in the Arctic]. Polis, 1, 136148.Google Scholar
Lamothe, D. (2019, March 15). Trump administration’s new Arctic defense strategy expected to zero in on concerns about China. Washington Post. Retrieved from https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2019/03/15/trump-administrations-new-arctic-defense-strategy-expected-zero-concerns-about-china/?noredirect=on&utm_term=.f813f310ac63Google Scholar
Lippman, D. (2019, August 24). Trump’s Greenland gambit finds allies inside government. Politico.Google Scholar
Mattis, J. (2018). Summary of the 2018 National Defense Strategy. Washington, DC: Department of Defense.Google Scholar
May, P. J., Jones, B. D., Beem, B. E., Neff-Sharum, E. A., & Poague, M. K. (2005). Policy coherence and component-driven policymaking: Arctic policy in Canada and the United States. The Policy Studies Journal, 33(1), 3763.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Mervis, J. (2019). U.S. science adviser sees smaller federal role. Science, 363(6429), 800801.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Milne, R. (2019, May 7). US provokes fury after blocking Arctic Council statement. Financial Times. Retrieved from https://www.ft.com/content/f879ff9a-70ab-11e9-bf5c-6eeb837566c5Google Scholar
Navy Task Force Climate Change (2014). U.S. Navy Arctic Roadmap 2014–2030. Washington DC: Department of the Navy.Google Scholar
Nilsson, A. E. (2018). The United States and the making of an Arctic nation. Polar Record, 54(2), 95107.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Obama, B. (2013). National Strategy for the Arctic Region. Washington, DC: White House.Google Scholar
Obama, B. (2015). Executive OrderEnhancing Coordination of National Efforts in the Arctic. Washington, DC: White House. Retrieved from https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/the-press-office/2015/01/21/executive-order-enhancing-coordination-national-efforts-arcticGoogle Scholar
Obama, B. (2016). Remarks by the President on the Paris Agreement. Washington, DC: The White House Office of the Press Secretary.Google Scholar
Office of Science and Technology Policy (no date). Interagency Arctic Research Policy Committee. White House. Retrieved from https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/administration/eop/ostp/nstc/committees/cenrs/iarpcGoogle Scholar
Office of the Secretary of Defense (2019). Annual Report to Congress: Military and Security Developments Involving the People’s Republic of China 2019. Washington, DC: Department of Defense.Google Scholar
Office of the Under Secretary of Defense for Policy (June 2019). Department of Defense Arctic Strategy. Washington, DC: Department of Defense.Google Scholar
Pompeo, M. R. (2019, May 6). Looking North: Sharpening America’s Arctic Focus. U.S. Department of State. Retrieved from https://www.state.gov/looking-north-sharpening-americas-arctic-focus/Google Scholar
Pope, C. (2019, March 11). Heightened focus on the Arctic brings attention, challenges to the Air Force. U.S. Air Force Official Website. Retrieved from https://www.af.mil/News/Article-Display/Article/1781707/heightened-focus-on-the-arctic-brings-attention-challenges-to-the-air-force/Google Scholar
Putnam, R. (1988). Diplomacy and domestic politics: the logic of two-level games. International Organization, 42, 427460.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Rempfer, K. (2019, February 27). Northern border along Arctic, not southern, is what worries NORAD leaders. Military Times. Retrieved from https://www.militarytimes.com/news/your-military/2019/02/27/northern-border-with-canada-not-southern-is-what-worries-norad-leaders/Google Scholar
Sargent, J. F Jr., & Shea, D. A. (2017). Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP): History and Overview. Washington, DC: Congressional Research Service.Google Scholar
Schreiber, M. (2019, May 10). Amid increasingly aggressive geopolitical rhetoric, the US Coast Guard seeks peaceful cooperation. Arctic Today.Google Scholar
Science News Staff (2018). Researchers welcome Trump’s pick to head science office. Science, 361(6401), 434.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Secretary Heather Wilson, & Gen. David Goldfein (2019, January 9). Air power and the Arctic: The importance of projecting strength in the north. Defense News. Retrieved from https://www.defensenews.com/opinion/commentary/2019/01/09/air-power-and-the-arctic-the-importance-of-projecting-strength-in-the-north/Google Scholar
Sergunin, A., & Konyshev, V. (2019). Forging Russia’s Arctic strategy: actors and decision-making. The Polar Journal, 9(1), 7593. doi: 10.1080/2154896X.2019.1618549CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Serreze, M. C. (2018). Brave New Arctic: The Untold Story of the Melting North. Princeton: Princeton University Press.Google Scholar
Sisk, R. (2019, February 20). Congress Finally Funds New Icebreaker for Coast Guard. Military.com. Retrieved from https://www.military.com/dodbuzz/2019/02/20/congress-finally-funds-new-icebreaker-coast-guard.htmlGoogle Scholar
South, T. (2018, July 30). A new cold war: How the Army is preparing for a fight in the Arctic. Army Times. Retrieved from https://www.armytimes.com/news/your-army/2018/07/30/a-new-cold-war-how-the-army-is-preparing-for-a-fight-in-the-arctic/Google Scholar
Tansey, O. (2007). Process tracing and elite interviewing: a case for non-probability sampling. PS: Political Science & Politics, 40(4), 765772.Google Scholar
The State Council (2018). China’s Arctic Policy. Beijing: The State Council Information Office of the People’s Republic of China.Google Scholar
Thomas, C. S., Savatgy, L. C., & Klimovich, K. (Eds.). (2016). Alaska Politics and Public Policy: the Dynamics of Beliefs, Institutions, Personalities, and Power. Fairbanks: University of Alaska Press.Google Scholar
Titley, D. W., & St. John, C. C. (2011). Arctic security considerations and the U.S. Navy’s “Arctic Roadmap”. In Kraska, J. (Ed.), Arctic security in an age of climate change (pp. 267280). Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Tømmerbakke, S. G. (2019, April 12). 30 Year-Old Compromise Divides USA and Canada. High North News. Retrieved from https://www.highnorthnews.com/en/30-year-old-compromise-divides-usa-and-canadaGoogle Scholar
Trump, D. J. (April 28, 2017). Executive order 13795: implementing an America-first offshore energy strategy. Federal Register, 82(84), 2081520818.Google Scholar
U.S. Coast Guard (2013). United States Coast Guard Arctic Strategy. Washington, DC: U.S. Coast Guard.Google Scholar
U.S. Coast Guard (2015). United States Coast Guard Arctic Strategy Implementation Plan. Washington, DC: U.S. Coast Guard.Google Scholar
U.S. Coast Guard (2019). United State Coast Guard Arctic Strategic Outlook. Washington, DC: U.S. Coast Guard.Google Scholar
U.S. Congress (2018). John S. McCain National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2019 H.R. 5515. Washington, DC: Government Publishing Office.Google Scholar
United States Arctic Research Commission and Arctic Executive Steering Committee (2016). Supporting Arctic Science: A Summary of the White House Arctic Science Ministerial Meeting, September 28, 2016, Washington, DC. Arlington, VA: United States Arctic Research Commission.Google Scholar
United States Arctic Research Commission (2019). Report on the Goals and Objectives for Arctic Research 2019–2020 for the US Arctic Research Program Plan. Arlington, VA: United States Arctic Research Commission.Google Scholar
Wilson Rowe, E. (2013). Russian Climate Politics: When Science Meets Policy. New York: Palgrave Macmillan.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Wilson Rowe, E. (2018). Arctic Governance: Power in Cross-Border Cooperation. Manchester: Manchester University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Woody, C. (2018, October 19). A US aircraft carrier is in the frigid waters north of the Arctic Circle for the first time since the Soviet Union collapsed. Business Insider. Retrieved from https://www.businessinsider.com/trident-juncture-navy-aircraft-carrier-in-arctic-first-since-cold-war-2018-10Google Scholar
Young, O. R. (1992). Arctic Politics: Conflict and Cooperation in the Circumpolar North. Hanover: University Press of New England.Google Scholar
Young, O. R. (2016). The Arctic Council at twenty: how to remain effective in a rapidly changing environment. UC Irvine Law Review, 6(2), 99119.Google Scholar
Supplementary material: File

Weingartner and Orttung supplementary material

Weingartner and Orttung supplementary material

Download Weingartner and Orttung supplementary material(File)
File 44.5 KB