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Fatalism: thoughts about tomorrow's sea battle

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  19 February 2019

Abstract

The hold of the fatalistic reasoning that Aristotle criticizes is dependent, first, on the idea, articulated by Frege, that the real candidates for truth and falsity are something other than particular contingent happenings such as affirmations or thinkings, and, second, on the idea that the demand for speculative reflection overrides any demand for practical deliberation. Standard challenges to the reasoning embody the same presuppositions and so simply perpetuate the core confusions. They do so most fundamentally in the assumption that we need a ‘metaphysical’ grounding for our idea of ourselves as agents who have influence on the course of events.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
Copyright © The Royal Institute of Philosophy 2019 

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References

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6 And, for that matter, that nothing else that happens between now and then will have any impact on whether or not there is a sea battle tomorrow.

7 I will not explicitly consider where the fatalistic concerns of Christian and Islamic theology and philosophy, deriving from ideas of God's foreknowledge, fit into this.

8 Reconstructed, using Aristotle's own words, from On Interpretation, op. cit. note 2, chapter 9.

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14 A substantial portion of recent literature on so called ‘future contingents’ explores variations on this proposal. See section 5.

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17 I suspect that ‘Cartesian’ imagery of the self as an ethereal, insubstantial, entity is often in play at some level in discussion of these issues.

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22 I highlight this in order to stress that my target is not everything that has, within philosophy, been labelled ‘metaphysics’.

23 Øhrstrøm and Hasle, op. cit. note 21.

24 See, for example, Lucas op. cit. note 15, 50.

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31 I am indebted to Chryssi Sidiropoulou for confirmation that, while matters are not completely straightforward, this translation is accurate from the point of view of my concerns.

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33 Setting aside possible feedback complications, of the kind explored by Mackay, that may arise in any attempt to predict what I myself will do. See MacKay, D.M., ‘On the Logical Indeterminacy of a Free Choice’, Mind 69 (1960)Google Scholar.

34 Of course, if he can tell what is going to happen without taking account of any contribution he might make then the possibility that his decision and action will play any role in bringing about or preventing the event is excluded. But this platitude clearly poses no general fatalist threat.

35 Op. cit. note 2, chapter 9, 18b.

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37 Or whatever variants on these may seem more suitable in the light of potentially relevant and awkward questions about language, dating systems and proper names.

38 And, with that, nothing will satisfy Bernstein's specification of what a proposition is.

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