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Is There a Dutch Book Argument for Probability Kinematics?

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  01 April 2022

Brad Armendt
Brad Armendt*
Affiliation:
University of Illinois, Chicago Circle
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Abstract

Dutch Book arguments have been presented for static belief systems and for belief change by conditionalization. An argument is given here that a rule for belief change which under certain conditions violates probability kinematics will leave the agent open to a Dutch Book.

Type
Research Article
Information
Philosophy of Science , Volume 47 , Issue 4 , December 1980 , pp. 583 - 588
Copyright
Copyright © 1980 by Philosophy of Science Association

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Footnotes

†

I am grateful to Brian Skyrms and Paul Teller for helpful suggestions and encouragement.

References

Jeffrey, R. (1965), The Logic of Decision. New York: McGraw-Hill.Google Scholar
Skyrms, B. (1979), Causal Necessity. New Haven: Yale University Press.Google Scholar
Skyrms, B. (forthcoming), “Higher Order Degrees of Belief.” In Prospects for Pragmatism—Essays in Honor of F. P. Ramsey, Mellor, D. H. (ed.), Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Teller, P. (1973), “Conditionalization and Observation.” Synthese 26: 218–258.CrossRefGoogle Scholar