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Difficulties in the Theory of Personal Probability

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  14 March 2022

Leonard J. Savage
Leonard J. Savage*
Affiliation:
Yale University
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Extract

We statisticians, with our specific concern for uncertainty, are even more liable than other practical men to encounter philosophy, whether we like it or not. For my part, I like it comparatively well. That is why the honor of opening this session of discussion has come to me, though my background makes my knowledge and idiom somewhat different from your own.

Type
A Panel Discussion of Personal Probability
Information
Philosophy of Science , Volume 34 , Issue 4 , December 1967 , pp. 305 - 310
Copyright
Copyright © Philosophy of Science Association 1967

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Footnotes

1

This research was supported in part by the Army, Navy, Air Force, and NASA under a contract administered by the Office of Naval Research.

References

REFERENCES

[1] de Finetti, Bruno. “Probability: Philosophy and interpretation,” International Encyclopedia of the Social Sciences, 1967.Google Scholar
[2] de Finetti, Bruno, and Savage, Leonard J. “Sul modo do scegliere le probabilità iniziali,” Sui fondamenti della statistica, Biblioteca del Metron, Series C. 1 (1962), 81–147. (English summary, 148–151).Google Scholar
[3] Dreze, Jacques. “Fondements logiques de la probabilité subjective et de l'utilité,” pp. 73–87 in La Décision, Paris, Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, 1961.Google Scholar
[4] Edwards, Ward, Lindman, Harold, and Savage, Leonard J. “Bayesian statistical inference for psychological research,” Psychological Review, 70 (1963), 193–242.10.1037/h0044139CrossRefGoogle Scholar
[5] Fishburn, Peter C. Decision and Value Theory, New York, Wiley, 1964.Google Scholar
[6] Hacking, Ian. Logic of Statistical Inference, Cambridge, Basic Books, 1965.10.1017/CBO9781316534960CrossRefGoogle Scholar
[7] Jeffrey, Richard D. The Logic of Decision, New York, McGraw-Hill, 1965.Google Scholar
[8] Kyburg, Henry E. Jr., and Smokier, Howard E. Studies in Subjective Probability, New York, Wiley, 1964. Includes fundamental essays of Frank P. Ramsey and Bruno de Finetti.Google Scholar
[9] Salmon, Wesley C. “The foundations of scientific inference,” Mind and Cosmos: Essays in contemporary science and philosophy, Vol. III, University of Pittsburgh Series in the Philosophy of Science, Univ. of Pitsburgh Press, 1966.Google Scholar
[10] Savage, Leonard J., et al. The Foundations of Statistical Inference: A Symposium, New York, Wiley, 1962.Google Scholar
[11] Savage, Leonard J., “Implications of Personal Probability For Induction,” The Journal of Philosophy 64 (1967), 593–607.10.2307/2024536CrossRefGoogle Scholar