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Cartwright and Otte on Simpson's Paradox
Published online by Cambridge University Press: 01 April 2022
Abstract
Richard Otte (1985) has recently criticized the resolution of Simpson's paradox given by Nancy Cartwright (1979). He argues that there are difficulties with the version of the theory of probabilistic causality that Cartwright has developed, and that there is a way in which Simpson's paradox can arise that Cartwright's theory cannot handle. And Otte develops his own theory of probabilistic causality. I defend Cartwright's solution, and I argue that there are difficulties with the theory of probabilistic causality that Otte proposes.
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Footnotes
I thank Elliott Sober for a number of useful comments, and the American Council of Learned Societies for financial support.
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