Hostname: page-component-cd9895bd7-gvvz8 Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-12-27T07:41:04.511Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Dynamics of taxonomic diversity

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  08 February 2016

Timothy R. Carr
Affiliation:
Department of Geology and Geophysics, University of Wisconsin, Madison, Wisconsin 53706
Jennifer A. Kitchell
Affiliation:
Department of Geology and Geophysics, University of Wisconsin, Madison, Wisconsin 53706

Abstract

A general model of taxonomic diversity, incorporating diversity-dependent rates of origination and extinction, is constructed to examine the dynamic responses of diversity to perturbation. The model predicts that the trajectories of diversification increase and decrease are substantially different. The trajectories of diversity during disequilibrium conditions are displayed in phase diagrams to permit a simple graphical analysis of stability. A positive displacement of diversity from equilibrium results in a rapid decline in diversity and may involve an initial overshoot of the equilibrium condition. A negative displacement of equal magnitude results in a gradual increase in diversity. The model is expressed as a nonlinear difference equation to incorporate intrinsically a delay time due to the characteristic noninstantaneous response of origination and extinction. The model initially assumes a parabolic curve expressing total taxon origination rate as a function of diversity. A second model, constructed assuming a sigmoidal total taxon origination rate derived from considerations of allopatric speciation, enhances the asymmetry of the diversity response. The delayed recovery of the Triassic fauna is shown to be characteristic of return to equilibrium from an undersaturated condition, whereas the more rapid “catastrophic” decline in the Late Permian fauna is shown to be characteristic of return to equilibrium from the oversaturated condition. It is proposed, although not assumed, that perturbation may include a degree of selectivity related to the dispersal abilities of organisms, thereby enhancing the observed asymmetry.

Type
Articles
Copyright
Copyright © The Paleontological Society 

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Literature Cited

Bambach, R. K. 1977. Species richness in marine benthic habitats through the Phanerozoic. Paleobiology. 3:152167.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Beddington, J. R., Free, C. A., and Lawton, J. H. 1975. Dynamic complexity in predator-prey models framed in difference equations. Nature. 255:5860.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Beddington, J. R., Free, C. A., and Lawton, J. H. 1976. Concepts of stability and resilience in predator-prey models. J. Anim. Ecol. 45:791816.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Brown, J. 1971. Mammals on mountaintops: nonequilibrium insular biogeography. Am. Nat. 105:467478.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Caswell, H. 1972. A simulation study of a time lag population model. J. Theor. Biol. 34:419439.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Caswell, H. 1978. Predator-mediated coexistence: a nonequilibrium model. Am. Nat. 112:127154.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Chiang, A. C. 1967. Fundamental Methods of Mathematical Economics. 690 pp. McGraw-Hill; New York.Google Scholar
Cisne, J. L. 1974. Evolution of the world fauna of aquatic free-living arthropods. Evolution. 28:337366.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Connell, J. H. 1978. Diversity in tropical rainforests and coral reefs. Science. 199:13021310.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Connor, E. F. and McCoy, E. D. 1979. The statistics and biology of the species-area relationship. Am. Nat. 113:791833.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Crowley, P. H. 1978. Effective size and the persistence of ecosystems. Oecologia. 35:185195.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Darlington, P. J. Jr. 1957. Zoogeography: The Geographical Distribution of Animals. 675 pp. John Wiley & Sons, Inc.; New York.Google Scholar
Diamond, J. M. 1972. Biogeographic kinetics: estimation of relaxation times for avifaunas of Southwest Pacific islands. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. 69:31993203.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Diamond, J. M. 1973. Distributional ecology of New Guinea birds. Science. 179:759769.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Diamond, P. 1976. Domains of stability and resilience for biological populations obeying difference equations. J. Theor. Biol. 61:287306.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Flessa, K. W. 1975. Area, continental drift and mammalian diversity. Paleobiology. 1:189194.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Flessa, K. W. and Levinton, J. S. 1975. Phanerozoic diversity patterns: tests for randomness. J. Geol. 83:239248.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Gibbons, J. R. H. 1979. A model for sympatric speciation in Megarhyssa (Hymenoptera: Ichneumonidae): competitive speciation. Am. Nat. 114:719741.Google Scholar
Goldberg, S. 1958. Introduction to Difference Equations. John Wiley & Sons; New York.Google Scholar
Hansen, T. A. 1978. Larval dispersal and species longevity in Lower Tertiary gastropods. Science. 199:885887.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Hassell, M. P. 1978. The Dynamics of Arthropod Predator-Prey Systems. 237 pp. Monogr. Pop. Biol. 13. Princeton Univ. Press; Princeton, New Jersey.Google ScholarPubMed
Hassell, M. P. and Comins, H. N. 1976. Discrete time models for two-species competition. Theor. Pop. Biol. 9:202221.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Hassell, M. P. and May, R. M. 1973. Stability in insect host-parasite models. J. Anim. Ecol. 42:693736.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hassell, M. P. and May, R. M. 1974. Aggregation in predators and insect parasites and its effect on stability. J. Anim. Ecol. 43:567594.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hubbell, S. P. 1979. Tree dispersion, abundance, and diversity in a tropical dry forest. Science. 203:12991309.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Huston, M. 1979. A general hypothesis of species diversity. Am. Nat. 113:81101.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hutchinson, G. E. 1978. An Introduction to Population Ecology. 260 pp. Yale Univ. Press; New Haven, Connecticut.Google Scholar
Jablonski, D. 1979. The adaptive radiation of the Neogastropoda: taxonomic structure. Geol. Soc. Am. Abstr. Programs. 11:449450.Google Scholar
Levinton, J. S. 1979. A theory of diversity equilibrium and morphological evolution. Science. 204:335336.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Li, T-Y. and Yorke, J. A. 1975. Period three implies chaos. Am. Math. Monthly. 82:985992.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
MacArthur, R. H. 1969. Patterns of communities in the tropics. Biol. J. Linn. Soc. 1:1930.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
MacArthur, R. H. and Wilson, E. O. 1963. An equilibrium theory of insular zoogeography. Evolution. 17:373387.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
MacArthur, R. H. and Wilson, E. O. 1967. The Theory of Island Biogeography. 203 pp. Monogr. Pop. Biol. Princeton Univ. Press; Princeton, New Jersey.Google Scholar
Mark, G. A. and Flessa, K. W. 1977. A test for evolutionary equilibria: Phanerozoic brachiopods and Cenozoic mammals. Paleobiology. 3:1722.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
May, R. M. 1973a. Stability and Complexity in Model Ecosystems. 236 pp. Monogr. Pop. Biol. Princeton Univ. Press; Princeton, New Jersey.Google ScholarPubMed
May, R. M. 1973b. On relationships among various types of population models. Am. Nat. 107:4657.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
May, R. M. 1974. Biological populations with nonoverlapping generations: stable points, stable cycles, and chaos. Science. 186:645647.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
May, R. M. 1975. Biological populations obeying difference equations: stable points, stable cycles, and chaos. J. Theor. Biol. 51:511524.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
May, R. M., Conway, G. R., Hassell, M. P., and Southwood, T. R. E. 1974. Time delays, density-dependence and single-species oscillations. J. Anim. Ecol. 43:747770.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
May, R. M. and Oster, G. F. 1976. Bifurcation and dynamic complexity in simple ecological models. Am. Nat. 110:573599.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Maynard Smith, J. 1974. Models in Ecology. 146 pp. Cambridge Univ. Press; Cambridge.Google Scholar
Maynard Smith, J. 1976a. A comment on the Red Queen. Am. Nat. 110:325330.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Maynard Smith, J. 1976b. What determines the rate of evolution? Am. Nat. 110:331338.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Mayr, E. 1942. Systematics and the Origin of Species. Columbia Univ. Press; New York.Google Scholar
Mayr, E. 1954. Change of genetic environment and evolution. pp. 157180. In: Huxley, J., Hardy, A. C., and Ford, E. B., eds. Evolution as a Process. Allen and Unwin; London.Google Scholar
Mayr, E. 1963. Animal Species and Evolution. 767 pp. Belknap Press; Cambridge, Massachusetts.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Newell, N. D. 1967. Revolution in the history of life. Geol. Soc. Am. Spec. Pap. 89:6391.Google Scholar
Osman, R. W. and Whitlatch, R. B. 1978. Patterns of species diversity: fact or artifact? Paleobiology. 4:4154.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Pielou, E. C. 1969. An Introduction to Mathematical Ecology. Wiley-Interscience; New York.Google Scholar
Pimm, S. L. 1979. Sympatric speciation: a simulation model. Biol. J. Linn. Soc. 11:131139.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Raup, D. M. 1972. Taxonomic diversity during the Phanerozoic. Science. 177:10651071.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Raup, D. M. 1975. Taxonomic diversity estimation using rarefaction. Paleobiology. 1:333342.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Raup, D. M. 1976. Species diversity in the Phanerozoic: an interpretation. Paleobiology. 2:289297.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Raup, D. M. 1978. Cohort analysis of generic survivorship. Paleobiology. 4:115.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Raup, D. M. 1979. Size of the Permo-Triassic bottleneck and its evolutionary implications. Science. 206:217218.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Raup, D. M., Gould, S. J., Schopf, T. J. M., and Simberloff, D. S. 1973. Stochastic models of phylogeny and the evolution of diversity. J. Geol. 81:525542.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Rosenzweig, M. L. 1969. Why the prey curve has a hump. Am. Nat. 103:8187.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Rosenzweig, M. L. 1975. On continental steady states of species diversity. pp. 121140. In: Cody, M. L. and Diamond, J. M., eds. Ecology and Evolution of Communities. Belknap Press; Cambridge, Massachusetts.Google Scholar
Rosenzweig, M. L. 1977. On interpreting the results of perturbation experiments performed by nature. Paleobiology. 3:322324.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Rosenzweig, M. L. 1978. Competitive speciation. Biol. J. Linn. Soc. 10:275289.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Rosenzweig, M. L. and MacArthur, R. H. 1963. Graphical representation and stability conditions of predator-prey interactions. Am. Nat. 97:209223.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Schaffer, W. M. and Rosenzweig, M. L. 1978. Homage to the Red Queen. I. Coevolution of predators and their victims. Theor. Pop. Biol. 14:135157.Google Scholar
Scheltema, R. S. 1977. Dispersal of marine invertebrate organisms: paleobiogeographic and biostratigraphic implications. pp. 73108. In: Kauffman, E. G. and Hazel, J. E., eds. Concepts and Methods of Biostratigraphy. Dowden, Hutchinson & Ross, Inc.; Stroudsburg, Pennsylvania.Google Scholar
Schopf, T. J. M. 1974. Permo-Triassic extinctions: relation to seafloor spreading. J. Geol. 82:129143.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Sepkoski, J. J. Jr. 1976. Species diversity in the Phanerozoic: species-area effects. Paleobiology. 2:298303.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Sepkoski, J. J. Jr. 1978. A kinetic model of Phanerozoic taxonomic diversity. I. Analysis of marine orders. Paleobiology. 4:223251.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Sepkoski, J. J. Jr. 1979. A kinetic model of Phanerozoic taxonomic diversity. II. Early Phanerozoic families and multiple equilibria. Paleobiology. 5:222251.Google Scholar
Signor, P. W. III. 1978. Species richness in the Phanerozoic: an investigation of sampling effects. Paleobiology. 4:394406.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Simberloff, D. S. 1974a. Permo-Triassic extinctions: effects of area on biotic equilibrium. J. Geol. 82:267274.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Simberloff, D. S. 1974b. Equilibrium theory of island biogeography and ecology. Annu. Rev. Ecol. Syst. 5:161182.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Simberloff, D. S. 1976. Species turnover and equilibrium island biogeography. Science. 194:572578.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Simberloff, D. S. and Wilson, E. O. 1970. Experimental zoogeography of islands. A two-year record of colonization. Ecology. 51:934937.Google Scholar
Simpson, G. G. 1969. The first three billion years of community evoution. pp. 162177. In: Woodwell, G. M. and Smith, H. H., eds. Diversity and Stability in Ecological Systems. Brookhaven Symp. Biol. No. 22.Google Scholar
Stanley, S. M. 1979. Macroevolution, Pattern and Process. 332 pp. W. H. Freeman and Co.; San Francisco, California.Google Scholar
Tanner, J. T. 1975. The stability and the intrinsic growth rates of prey and predator populations. Ecology. 56:855867.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Tipper, J. C. 1979. Rarefaction and rarefiction—the use and abuse of a method in paleoecology. Paleobiology. 5:423434.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Valentine, J. W. 1970. How many marine invertebrate fossil species? A new approximation. J. Paleontol. 44:410415.Google Scholar
Valentine, J. W. 1972. Conceptual models of ecosystem evolution. pp. 192215. In: Schopf, T. J. M., ed. Models in Paleobiology. Freeman, Cooper & Co.; San Francisco, California.Google Scholar
Valentine, J. W., Foin, T. C., and Peart, D. 1978. A provincial model of Phanerozoic marine diversity. Paleobiology. 4:5566.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Vermeij, G. J. 1978. Biogeography and Adaptation. Patterns of Marine Life. 332 pp. Harvard Univ. Press; Cambridge, Massachusetts.Google Scholar
Webb, S. D. 1969. Extinction-origination equilibria in Late Cenozoic land mammals of North America. Evolution. 23:688702.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Webb, S. D. 1976a. Phanerozoic diversity patterns: discussion. J. Geol. 84:617619.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Webb, S. D. 1976b. Mammalian faunal dynamics of the great American interchange. Paleobiology. 2:220234.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Whittaker, R. H. 1977. Evolution of species diversity in land communities. Evol. Biol. 10:167.Google Scholar
Wilson, E. O. 1969. The species equilibrium. pp. 3847. In: Woodwell, G. M. and Smith, H. H., eds. Diversity and Stability in Ecological Systems. Brookhaven Symp. Biol. No. 22.Google Scholar
Wilson, E. O. and Taylor, R. W. 1967. An estimate of the potential evolutionary increase in species density in the Polynesian ant fauna. Evolution. 21:110.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Wright, S. 1941. The “age and area” concept extended. Ecology. 22:345347.CrossRefGoogle Scholar