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Published online by Cambridge University Press: 01 January 2020
We would like to thank Angus Armstrong, Dawn Holland, Simon Kirby and Jonathan Portes for helpful comments and discussion and Chizoba Obi for compiling the database underlying the forecast. The forecast was completed on 24 April, 2014. Exchange rate, interest rates and equity price assumptions are based on information available to 15 April 2014. Unless otherwise specified, the source of all data reported in tables and figures is the NiGEM database and NIESR forecast baseline.