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Published online by Cambridge University Press: 26 March 2020
• The most likely outlook for the world economy in 1999 is a marked slowdown, with growth slackening in the OECD from 2.4 to 1.8 per cent.
• But there is also a high probability that further shocks to financial markets could induce a full blown recession in the US and a substantial reduction in European growth.
• Sharp and swift cuts in interest rates are needed to avert this danger.
• The ECB could cut rates by half a percentage point without compromising its inflation goals.