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Published online by Cambridge University Press: 26 March 2020
• The Asia crisis will cut world trade growth by over a third in 1998.
• The Japanese economy will contract by 1 per cent this year, prolonging the slump in the worst affected parts of South-East Asia.
• A strong monetary stimulus and a restoration of confidence in the banking system are required to stimulate demand in Japan.
• The risk of a Chinese devaluation has risen.
• The EU will be the strongest performing region in the OECD in 1999 with growth of just over 2.5 per cent.
• US consumer price inflation will rise sharply in 1999.