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Published online by Cambridge University Press: 26 March 2020
The current state of the UK economy is arguably as good as it has been for thirty years. Unemployment and inflation are each at their lowest levels for several years. A ‘misery’ index, derived simply by adding the unemployment and inflation rates is at its lowest point since the late 1960s.
The forecast was compiled using the latest version of the National Institute Domestic Econometric Model. I am grateful to Ray Barrell, Richard Kneller, Nigel Pain, Rebecca Riley and Martin Weale for comment and discussion.