Hostname: page-component-78c5997874-j824f Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-11-20T04:32:10.555Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false
  • English
  • Français

Prospects for the UK Economy

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  26 March 2020

Simon Kirby
Simon Kirby*
Affiliation:
National Institute of Economic and Social Resarch, Centre for Macroeconomics. Simon is a member of the ONS Public Sector Finances Advisory Group. The forecast was completed using the latest version of the National Institute Global Econometric Model (NiGEM). Thanks to Dawn Holland for helpful comments and suggestions. Unless otherwise stated, the source of all data reported in the figures and tables is the NiGEM database and forecast baseline. The UK forecast was completed on 25 July 2013
Get access Rights & Permissions [Opens in a new window]

Abstract

The production of this forecast is supported by the Institute's Corporate Members: Bank of England, HM Treasury, Mizuho Research Institute Ltd, the Office for National Statistics, Santander (UK) plc and by the members of the NiGEM users group.

Type
The UK Economy
Information
National Institute Economic Review , Volume 225 , August 2013 , pp. F45 - F68
Copyright
Copyright © 2013 National Institute of Economic and Social Research

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Barrell, R., Choy, A., Holland, D. and Riley, R. (2005), ‘The sterling effective exchange rate and other measures of UK competitiveness’, National Institute Economic Review, 191, pp. [add page numbers].CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Barrell, R., Hurst, A.I. and Mitchell, J. (2007), ‘Uncertainty bounds for cyclically adjusted budget balances’, in Larch, M. and Martins, L.N. (eds), Fiscal Indicators, Brussels, European Commission, pp. 187–206.Google Scholar
Bell, D.N.F. and Blanchflower, D.G. (2013), ‘Underemployment in the UK revisited’, National Institute Economic Review, 212, pp. F8–22.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Guichard, S. and Rusticelli, E. (2011), ‘Reassessing the NAIRUs after the crisis’, OECD Economics Department Working Papers, No. 918, OECD publishing, available at: http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/5kg0kp712f61-en.Google Scholar
Fic, T. and Portes, J. (2013), Macroeconomic Impacts of Infrastructure Spending, Report to Trade Union Congress.Google Scholar
Guled, G. (2013), Blue Book 2013: Methodological Improvements in the Financial Accounts, London, ONS.Google Scholar
Hardie, M., Lee, P. and Perry, F. (2013), Impact of changes in the National Accounts and economic commentary for Q1 2013, Office for National Statistics.Google Scholar
House of Commons Treasury Committee (2013), Budget 2013, Ninth Report of Session 2012–13, HC 1063.Google Scholar
Kirby, S. and Lisenkova, K. (2012), ‘The future path of the UK labour force’, National Institute Economic Review, 222, pp. F61–4.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
MPC (2013), ‘Minutes of the Monetary Policy Committee Meeting held on 3 and 4 July’, available at: http://www.bankofengland.co.uk/publications/minutes/Pages/mpc/pdf/2013/mpc1307.aspx.Google Scholar
Nolan, L. (2013), GDP Continuous Improvement: Improvements in the Estimation of Gross Fixed Capital Formation in the UK National Accounts, London, ONS.Google Scholar
Office for Budget Responsibility (2013), Fiscal Sustainability Report, London, OBR.Google Scholar
Thwaites, G. and Wood, R. (2003), ‘The measurement of house prices’, Bank of England Quarterly Bulletin, 43, 1, pp. 38–46.Google Scholar
Weale, M. (2012) ‘Unsustainable consumption: the structural flaw behind the UK's long boom’, in Giudice, G., Kuenzel, R. and Springbett, T. (eds), UK Economy: The Crisis in Perspective, Essays on the Drivers of Recent UK Economic Performance and Lessons for the Future, London, Routledge, pp. 59–79.Google Scholar