Hostname: page-component-586b7cd67f-tf8b9 Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-11-23T07:29:52.793Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Prospects for the UK Economy

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  26 March 2020

Extract

GDP growth in the second quarter of this year remained robust at a quarterly rate of growth of 0.8 per cent. With revisions to previous quarters, economic growth has been maintained at this rate since the end of 2006. NIESR's monthly estimate of GDP showed this robust growth continuing into the third quarter of this year. The official preliminary estimate confirms the pattern of robust growth continuing into the third quarter of this year (figure 1). In light of this we have revised our forecast for GDP growth this year up from 2.8 per cent to 3.1 per cent. We have revised down our forecast for GDP growth in 2008 from 2.6 to 2.2 per cent. This reflects weaker net trade, with the recent financial turmoil having only a small domestic impact.

Type
Articles
Copyright
Copyright © 2007 National Institute of Economic and Social Research

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Barrell, R. (2007), ‘Retirement and saving’, National Institute Economic Review, 199, pp. 5964.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Barrell, R., Liadze, I. and Guillemineau, C. (2006), ‘Migration in Europe’, National Institute Economic Review, 198, pp. 36–9.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Barrell, R., Fitzgerald, J. and Riley, R. (2007), ‘EU enlargement and migration: assessing the macroeconomic impacts’, National Institute Discussion Paper No. 292.Google Scholar
Riley, R. and Weale, M.R. (2006), ‘Immigration and its effectsNational Institute Economic Review, 198, pp. 49.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Barrell, R., Kirby, S. and Metz, R. (2005), ‘Forecast comparisons’, National Institute Economic Review, 193, pp. 70–4.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Barrell, R., Khoman, E. and Kirby, S. (2007), ‘Evaluating forecast uncertainty’, National Institute Economic Review, 201, pp. 5560.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kellaway, M. (2005), ‘Forthcoming Revisions to the Public Sector Finances - Technical Explanatory Note’, available at: www.statistics.gov.uk/about/data/development/downloads/RevPSFexpl.pdf.Google Scholar
Kirby, S., Mitchell, J. and Riley, R. (2007), Evidence submitted to the inquiry into ‘The Economic Impact of Immigration’, conducted by the House of Lords Select Committee on Economic Affairs.Google Scholar
Office for National Statistics (2007), ‘2006-based national population projections: underlying long-term assumptions’, available at http://www.statistics.gov.uk/downloads/theme_population/PT129_Long_term_assumptions.pdf.Google Scholar