Introduction
In recent years, the variation in firms' tax-avoidance behavior has attracted a lot of attention, both theoretically and empirically.Footnote 1 Tax avoidance, by definition, is the reduction of explicit taxes, which reflects that the firm is able to avoid paying taxes on the income that it should report to shareholders through all means (see Dyreng, Hanlon, & Maydew, Reference Dyreng, Hanlon and Maydew2008; Hanlon & Heitzman, Reference Hanlon and Heitzman2010). Reviewing the empirical tax literature, Shackelford and Shevlin (Reference Shackelford and Shevlin2001) point out that insider control and other organizational factors are important, but under-studied, determinants of tax avoidance. Similarly, Hanlon and Heitzman (Reference Hanlon and Heitzman2010) call for more studies on the determinants of tax-avoidance behavior within an agency framework, as the underlying theory is neither well developed nor sufficiently incorporated into empirical research to date. We provide a concrete response to this call by focusing on the role of multiple large shareholders (MLS) in the tax avoidance practices of Chinese-listed state-controlled firms.
China is the largest emerging economy in the world, and the largest firms remain state-controlled in the country. The scale of China's economic growth has increased the global profile and attraction of the state capitalist model (Milhaupt & Zheng, Reference Milhaupt and Zheng2015; Wright, Wood, Musacchio, Okhmatovskiy, Grosman, & Doh, Reference Wright, Wood, Musacchio, Okhmatovskiy, Grosman and Doh2021). Indeed, in China, state-owned enterprises (SOEs) are estimated to contribute 23–28% of the national GDP (Zhang, Reference Zhang2019). Therefore, China provides an interesting backdrop for examining the impact of MLS on tax avoidance because the Chinese government, either central or local, still controls many listed firms in an environment that only weakly protects minority investors' rights (Allen, Qian, & Qian, Reference Allen, Qian and Qian2005; Chen, Khan, Yu, & Zhang, Reference Chen, Khan, Yu and Zhang2013; Jiang, Lee, & Yue, Reference Jiang, Lee and Yue2010). The conflicts of interest between the state as the controlling shareholder and minority investors are likely to be especially pronounced in a tax setting, given that the dominant owner in these firms is also the tax claimant. Thus, the decision not to engage in (or limit) tax avoidance serves the government's best interests, as it will then receive the entire tax amount paid in taxes, instead of having to share (part of) it with the firm's minority investors when avoiding tax. Overall, in Chinese-listed SOEs, taxes are an implicit dividend to the controlling shareholder, and less tax avoidance is a tunneling practice, i.e., a transfer of resources that benefits controlling shareholders at the expense of minority shareholders (Bradshaw, Liao, & Ma, Reference Bradshaw, Liao and Ma2019; Solarino & Boyd, Reference Solarino and Boyd2020).
Ownership by MLS exists not just in China.Footnote 2 Typically, a shareholder is categorized as ‘large’ if his direct and indirect voting rights equal at least 5% (e.g., Bharath, Jayaraman, & Nagar, Reference Bharath, Jayaraman and Nagar2013; Edmans, Fang, & Zur, Reference Edmans, Fang and Zur2013) or 10% (e.g., Shleifer & Vishny, Reference Shleifer and Vishny1986). Thus, a firm with MLS has at least two shareholders, controlling at least 5% (10%) of its voting rights. We refer to a firm's multiple major shareholders, apart from the largest one, as ‘other MLS’. Empirical research to date has shown that MLS can play an effective governance role, such as a positive effect on a firm's market value, suggesting a reduction in minority-investor expropriation when firms have several contestable blockholders (Attig, El Ghoul, & Guedhami, Reference Attig, El Ghoul and Guedhami2009; Boateng & Huang, Reference Boateng and Huang2017; Jiang, Cai, Wang, & Zhu, Reference Jiang, Cai, Wang and Zhu2018; Laeven & Levine, Reference Laeven and Levine2007; Maury & Pajuste, Reference Maury and Pajuste2005).Footnote 3 In contrast, a number of other studies, especially on firms in Asia, have revealed a negative effect. While Faccio, Lang, and Young (Reference Faccio, Lang and Young2001) find that the presence of MLS increases the dividend payout ratio and constrains minority-investor expropriation in European-listed firms, they also show that it reduces the dividend payout ratio and increases collusion with the firm's largest shareholder in Asian listed firms. Similarly, Fang, Hu, and Yang (Reference Fang, Hu and Yang2018) show that the presence and power balance of MLS in listed Chinese firms are positively associated with excess executive compensation. Thus far, the evidence regarding the governance effects of MLS has not been unidirectional. In line with these mixed empirical findings, theorists have offered contrasting explanations for the role of MLS, i.e., monitoring versus collusion. According to one view, MLS monitor not only managers but also each other, thereby enabling better decision-making (e.g., Shleifer & Vishny, Reference Shleifer and Vishny1986, Reference Shleifer and Vishny1997). The other perspective, however, is that MLS collude with each other to expropriate value from the firm's minority investors (e.g., Pagano & Röell, Reference Pagano and Röell1998). However, the circumstances causing the prevalence of either of these two effects are not clear. In addition, a large fraction of Chinese-listed firms consists of both state and non-state large shareholders; however, prior empirical research has paid little attention to MLS heterogeneity and its effects on corporate decisions.Footnote 4 We are, therefore, interested in whether and how MLS influence a firm's tax-avoidance behavior in a study that accounts for differences in the identity of the firm's largest vs. other large shareholders. To develop our hypotheses, we rely on a principal–principal agency framework. As concentrated ownership strengthens management oversight, it reduces the magnitude of principal–agent problemsFootnote 5, but may increase expropriation risk for minority investors.
Using data on Chinese-listed SOEs over the period 2004–2016, we test the governance role of MLS in firms' tax-avoidance behavior. We find that the stake held by the largest shareholder is negatively associated with tax avoidance in state-controlled firms. Next, the effect of other non-state MLS is negative, while that of other state-related MLS is neutral, on tax-avoidance practices in state-controlled firms. The former relationship is particularly strong when the largest shareholder is the local government. Finally, a better institutional environment curbs the largest shareholders' tendencies to rebuff tax avoidance in state-controlled firms. Hence, our study may also help explain why empirical research on the effects of MLS reveals conflicting results for Asia and Europe, considering that the protection of investor rights is generally more developed in Europe than in Asia.
Our study contributes to the growing literature on the governance role of MLS by examining their influence on tax-avoidance practices. First, while prior research has examined the effects of MLS on a firm's market value (Maury & Pajuste, Reference Maury and Pajuste2005), the value of cash holdings (Attig, El Ghoul, Guedhami, & Rizeanu, Reference Attig, El Ghoul, Guedhami and Rizeanu2013), corporate risk-taking (Mishra, Reference Mishra2011), and corporate investment efficiency (Jiang et al., Reference Jiang, Cai, Wang and Zhu2018), among others, the joint impact of the largest, and other major shareholders on a firm's tax-avoidance practices has not been investigated as of now. Our study highlights that the proportion of voting rights controlled by the dominant owner significantly influences tax avoidance in state-controlled listed firms. Moreover, we integrate the fraction of voting rights controlled by other MLS into our analysis. As lower tax avoidance benefits the controlling shareholder in state-controlled firms but also represents wealth expropriation from the non-state shareholders, our results imply that other non-state MLS collude with the largest shareholder in state-controlled firms and, hence, do not insist on minimizing the tax bill, thereby exacerbating the principal–principal conflict of interest with minority investors in a tax setting. Arguably, this study is among the first to reveal that other non-state large shareholders may collude with the largest shareholders in Chinese-listed SOEs to engage in less tax avoidance. Notably, in contrast to previous studies on ownership structure and tax avoidance, such as Richardson, Wang, and Zhang (Reference Richardson, Wang and Zhang2016) and Ouyang, Xiong, and Huang (Reference Ouyang, Xiong and Huang2020), which focus on non-tax costs, we study the separate effects of the largest state shareholders and other non-state large shareholders on the tax cost of tax avoidance.Footnote 6 Indeed, the nature of the expected costs related to tax avoidance is often not well defined, and researchers typically study the specific components of such costs in isolation (Wilde & Wilson, Reference Wilde and Wilson2018). In particular, contrary to the findings of Ouyang et al. (Reference Ouyang, Xiong and Huang2020), we provide new evidence on the collusion role of MLS, considering shareholder heterogeneity, because distinct types of owners have diverse objectives and motivations (Chen, Firth, & Xu, Reference Chen, Firth and Xu2009; Chen, Tang, Wu, & Yang, Reference Chen, Tang, Wu and Yang2021; Tang, Reference Tang2020; Ye, Hou, & Huang, Reference Ye, Hou and Huang2018). Second, unlike Lin, Tsai, Imamah, and Hung (Reference Lin, Tsai, Imamah and Hung2016), our results point out that it is not so much the difference in identity between the dominant and other large shareholders that matters. Indeed, other MLS may behave like controlling shareholders even when they have a different identity. Nonetheless, we find that institutional improvements can help reduce minority investors' expropriation. Overall, our study offers an important contribution to two timely topics: state versus non-state ownership of the corporate sector, and the taxing capabilities of the state, particularly in the context of emerging economies, where debt is rising due to COVID-19 policy measures.
Institutional Background
Corporate Taxation
Corporate income tax constitutes the second-largest source of tax revenue in China, next only to value-added tax (VAT). For instance, corporate income tax and VAT accounted for 22% and 39%, respectively, of the total tax revenues in 2017. However, VAT is levied on the sale of goods or services, and there exists limited scope for firms to avoid it, or for tax authorities to time its collection (Chen et al., Reference Chen, Tang, Wu and Yang2021; Ye et al., Reference Ye, Hou and Huang2018). In contrast, income tax is more complex in terms of both reporting and collection (Chen et al., Reference Chen, Tang, Wu and Yang2021). Additionally, income tax administration and enforcement in China can be subjective, because of the considerable leeway offered by tax laws and rules (Chen et al., Reference Chen, Tang, Wu and Yang2021), which provide more opportunity for tax avoidance (Ye et al., Reference Ye, Hou and Huang2018).
Notably, the average effective income tax rate for Chinese-listed firms from 1994 to 2017 was 19.25%, which was not only much lower than the statutory income tax rate of 33% before the implementation of the new corporate income tax law in 2008, but also lower than the statutory tax rate of 25% after 2008 (Ye et al., Reference Ye, Hou and Huang2018), indicating the possibility of corporate tax avoidance. Empirical evidence shows that the main mechanisms of corporate tax avoidance in China include location migration, income shifting through transfer mispricing, intertemporal income shifting through accrual management, and consumption bribery (Tang, Reference Tang2020). Indeed, it has been shown that Chinese-listed firms reduce their tax burden primarily by taking advantage of preferential tax policies rather than aggressive tax-avoidance strategies (Tang, Reference Tang2020; Ye et al., Reference Ye, Hou and Huang2018). More precisely, China offers preferential tax rates to domestic firms operating in designated industries and zones, such as for firms qualifying as key software enterprises (10%), high- and new-technology enterprises (15%), and firms registered in Western China, with their main business encouraged by the government (15%). Additionally, firms acquiring the status of startup software enterprises can obtain a full tax exemption in the two years following their first profitable year (and a 50% reduction in the subsequent three years). In other words, tax-avoidance practices in Chinese-listed firms could be related to legal behavior.
Overall, China's unique institutional background and its position as the world's second-largest economy provide excellent opportunities to research tax-avoidance activities that the US setting cannot, for instance, the dual role of the government as a tax claimant and the controlling shareholder of SOEs, and the impact of different ownership types on the magnitude and mechanisms of tax avoidance (Tang, Reference Tang2020). By focusing on the role of MLS and considering identity heterogeneity in tax-avoidance practices of Chinese-listed SOEs, our study attempts to expand the boundary of tax-avoidance studies in the Chinese context.
Ownership Structure of Chinese-Listed Firms
Prior to the major reforms in the mid-1980s, state ownership was the dominant form of corporate ownership in China. In 1990 and 1991, the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges were (re-)established and ownership reforms accelerated. However, the privatization of SOEs via these exchanges did not entail complete ownership of those firms by private investors. Instead, the state and its agencies continued to control a substantial fraction of the outstanding shares of newly listed firms (see Huyghebaert & Quan, Reference Huyghebaert and Quan2009).
In addition, before the split-share reform was introduced in 2005, not all A-shares of publicly listed firms could be traded on the stock exchange. Nontradable A-shares could indeed change hands only after negotiations between the buying and selling parties. Moreover, the responsible authorities were required to approve the transfer of state-controlled nontradable shares. In 2005, a split-share reform was initiated to dismantle this dual-share structure. Instead of directly selling nontradable shares to institutional and retail investors, the reform aimed at converting nontradable shares into legitimate tradable shares after the payment of a negotiated consideration to the owners of the tradable shares.Footnote 7 Li, Wang, Cheung, and Jiang (Reference Li, Wang, Cheung and Jiang2011) show that the average compensation involved a transfer of about 30% of the nontradable shares to the subsequent owners. To stabilize the stock market, each firm's reform plan had to include a compulsory lock-in period of 12 months for formerly nontradable shares. An owner of formerly nontradable shares could not sell more than 5% (10%) of their outstanding shares within 12 (24) months after the expiry of the lock-in period. Over time, because of the ensuing stock transfers, other shareholders were able to build up a stake of at least 5%; hence, an increasing number of listed Chinese firms obtained MLS ownership.
In November 2013, the central authority discussed the idea of deepening ongoing ownership reforms. In September 2015, new guidelines aimed at accelerating the restructuring of SOEs presented the mixed-ownership reform as the most important instrument for boosting SOE efficiency. Non-state-controlled firms were encouraged to join the process through various means, including buying stocks and convertible bonds from SOEs or conducting stock swaps with SOEs. Overall, the latter reform paved the way for listed firms to acquire MLS ownership.
Weak Institutional Context
In developed economies, with ownership and control being separated, the dominant conflict of interest in listed firms occurs between managers and shareholders (e.g., Jensen & Meckling, Reference Jensen and Meckling1976). In emerging economies, weak institutional environments make contract enforcement more difficult and costly, which often entails ownership concentration. However, combined with poor external governance mechanisms, concentrated ownership frequently provokes conflicts of interest between large shareholders and minority investors in listed firms (e.g., Dharwadkar, George, & Brandes, Reference Dharwadkar, George and Brandes2000; Morck, Wolfenzon, & Yeung, Reference Morck, Wolfenzon and Yeung2005; Young, Peng, Ahlstrom, Bruton, & Jiang, Reference Young, Peng, Ahlstrom, Bruton and Jiang2008). Major shareholders can exercise their power to divert corporate resources from a listed firm, to the detriment of the firm's minority investors (Shleifer & Vishny, Reference Shleifer and Vishny1997; Young et al., Reference Young, Peng, Ahlstrom, Bruton and Jiang2008). Publicly listed firms in China typically have a major owner who can appoint and monitor management and simultaneously wield the power to tunnel wealth away from the firm's minority investors. As the property rights of stock market investors in China are generally not well protected owing to weak legal enforcement, dominant owners may find it worthwhile engaging in self-dealing transactions (e.g., Huyghebaert & Wang, Reference Huyghebaert and Wang2012). Controlling shareholders in Chinese-listed firms tend to extract wealth by selling or buying goods or services at non-market prices, transferring company assets to other firms under their control, obtaining loans at preferential terms, and acquiring additional shares at discounted prices (Berkman, Cole, & Fu, Reference Berkman, Cole and Fu2009; Cheung, Rau, & Stouraitis, Reference Cheung, Rau and Stouraitis2006; Jiang et al., Reference Jiang, Lee and Yue2010; Liao, Liu, & Wang, Reference Liao, Liu and Wang2014).
Nonetheless, China has gradually implemented reforms over time, albeit with a continued role for the government in business and capital allocation. In recent years, the quality of institutions has improved significantly. Additionally, several scholars have highlighted that China's market environment and legal institutions vary significantly across provinces and municipalities (e.g., Huyghebaert & Wang, Reference Huyghebaert and Wang2012; Wang, Wong, & Xia, Reference Wang, Wong and Xia2008). The poor level of law enforcement in many regions can be attributed, at least in part, to a lack of qualified law professionals. Moreover, the Chinese judicial system is still treated as a part of the (local) government's administrative system, with no officially adopted doctrine for the separation of power. Unsurprisingly, prior research has revealed that conflicts between public and private interests are commonly resolved in favor of the former (see Jiang et al., Reference Jiang, Lee and Yue2010).
Hypotheses Development
In this section, we develop our hypotheses on the role of MLS in the tax-avoidance practices of Chinese-listed firms. To this end, we adopt a principal–principal agency perspective for state-controlled listed firms. In addition, we consider that Chinese-listed firms, regardless of the identity of their dominant owner, can have both state and non-state large shareholders.
Tax avoidance involves withholding resources from the government, thereby retaining those within the firm, which can then be used to enhance firm value (Shackelford & Shevlin, Reference Shackelford and Shevlin2001; Wang, Xu, Sun, & Cullinan, Reference Wang, Xu, Sun and Cullinan2020). Prior studies on tax avoidance generally view it as a form of value-creation behavior designed to maximize shareholder wealth (Shackelford & Shevlin, Reference Shackelford and Shevlin2001; Wang et al., Reference Wang, Xu, Sun and Cullinan2020). In the absence of effective external governance mechanisms, concentrated ownership tends to entail conflicts of interest between major or controlling shareholders and stock market investors (Dharwadkar et al., Reference Dharwadkar, George and Brandes2000; Morck et al., Reference Morck, Wolfenzon and Yeung2005; Young et al., Reference Young, Peng, Ahlstrom, Bruton and Jiang2008). This problem is especially pronounced in state-controlled firms when considering tax-avoidance behavior. Acting as both the tax claimant and dominant owner in state-controlled firms, the state has limited incentives to engage in tax avoidance. Taxes paid by SOEs can represent the expropriation of minority shareholders by the controlling shareholders (the government) (Li, Liu, & Ni, Reference Li, Liu and Ni2017). Specifically, while tax savings resulting from tax-avoidance activities must be allocated between government and minority shareholders, they can be claimed in full by the former in the absence of tax-avoidance activities (see also Bradshaw et al., Reference Bradshaw, Liao and Ma2019; Li et al., Reference Li, Liu and Ni2017; Tang, Reference Tang2020). Restraining tax avoidance can then be considered a transfer of cash (value) from state-controlled firms to the state. To put it differently, tax compliance enables the state to enjoy the full tax amount instead of having to share the sheltered cash flows with the firm's other shareholders (see also Li et al., Reference Li, Liu and Ni2017). In addition, state owners are frequently criticized for political intervention and their need to help achieve government objectives (Chen, Firth, et al., Reference Chen, Firth and Xu2009). More precisely, the Chinese government depends mainly on SOEs to pay more taxes to generate sufficient fiscal revenues to realize social and political objectives (Chen et al., Reference Chen, Tang, Wu and Yang2021). Prior studies provide evidence that SOEs have lower incentives for tax avoidance (see, e.g., Bradshaw et al., Reference Bradshaw, Liao and Ma2019; Li et al., Reference Li, Liu and Ni2017; Tang, Reference Tang2020). In line with this view, empirical research shows that state-controlled listed firms are under political pressure to pay more taxes than their non-state-controlled counterparts (see, e.g., Bradshaw et al., Reference Bradshaw, Liao and Ma2019; Chan, Mo, & Zhou, Reference Chan, Mo and Zhou2013; Chan, Mo, & Tang, Reference Chan, Mo and Tang2016; Li et al., Reference Li, Liu and Ni2017). In this study, we argue that a larger ownership stake held by the dominant (state) owner may increase his power in the firm and, hence, may allow him to pressurize the company and its management to limit tax-avoidance.
The above arguments result in the following conjectures:
Hypothesis 1 (H1): In Chinese state-controlled listed firms, the ownership stake held by the largest (state) shareholder is negatively associated with tax avoidance.
Recent empirical research examines the governance role of other large shareholders in curtailing the tunneling behavior of dominant shareholders. From a monitoring perspective, other large shareholders can provide valuable outside monitoring of a firm's largest shareholder, thereby mitigating minority-investor expropriation. This strand of literature suggests that other large shareholders compete for control and, hence, scrutinize the controlling shareholder (Bolton & Von Thadden, Reference Bolton and Von Thadden1998), thereby reducing information asymmetries and principal–principal conflicts of interest. In contrast, from a collusion perspective, other MLS may collude with the largest shareholder and agree to opportunistically share the ensuing private benefits (Pagano & Röell, Reference Pagano and Röell1998). Other MLS may even exacerbate the dominant owner's tunneling behavior, thereby intensifying information asymmetries and principal–principal conflicts of interest.
A scenario wherein smaller shareholders can easily form coalitions, or control the board of directors, may not apply to China (Chen, Firth, et al., Reference Chen, Firth and Xu2009; Zhang, Gao, Guan, & Jiang, Reference Zhang, Gao, Guan and Jiang2014). Indeed, it has been documented that the largest shareholder is generally able to control the firms listed in the Chinese stock market (Chen, Firth, et al., Reference Chen, Firth and Xu2009). This is because large owners play a crucial role in the appointments, remuneration, and dismissals of managers (see also Firth, Fung, & Rui, Reference Firth, Fung and Rui2006). In addition, dominant owners often directly affect board composition by nominating directors who are likely to represent their best interests (Cullinan, Wang, Wang, & Zhang, Reference Cullinan, Wang, Wang and Zhang2012). In Chinese state-controlled listed firms, other large non-state-related shareholders are likely to prefer the firm to pursue more tax avoidance, but may not be powerful enough to prevent the largest shareholder from abstaining from tax avoidance. The Chinese government, the context in our study, still controls significant portions of strategic resources and retains considerable power to approve projects and allocate resources (Bu & Roy, Reference Bu and Roy2015; Guo, Sarkar, Zhu, & Wang, Reference Guo, Sarkar, Zhu and Wang2020; Ma & Yasir, Reference Ma and Yasir2023). Consequently, non-state MLS may collude with state owners for both opportunistic and fear-motivated reasons. More precisely, while the desire for access to government contracts and other preferential benefits motivates non-state shareholders to maintain an association with the state, they also do so out of fear of losing access to existing benefits or future business opportunities; that is, the state can use both ‘carrots and sticks’ to ensure that minority shareholders follow its preferences. Considering the power of the state, other non-state MLS may decide to collude with the controlling shareholder and try to realize certain private benefits in return (e.g., Cheng, Lin, & Wei, Reference Cheng, Lin and Wei2013; Redding, Reference Redding1995). Based on prior research, other non-state MLS may gain from collusion through mechanisms, such as inter-company loans and guarantees (Berkman et al., Reference Berkman, Cole and Fu2009; Jiang et al., Reference Jiang, Lee and Yue2010), preferential pricing of their shares in IPOs, or subsequent rights issues (Chen, Jian, & Xu, Reference Chen, Jian and Xu2009), etc. Additionally, as previously mentioned, the Chinese government is still highly influential in assigning key resources, including operating licenses and land (e.g., Wang, Reference Wang2015). Therefore, the firm paying more taxes in return for the extra-private benefits may be more acceptable to other non-state MLS. For instance, Chen et al. (Reference Chen, Tang, Wu and Yang2021) show that Chinese firms demonstrating less tax avoidance in the post-turnover year secure more contracts and receive more subsidies from the government in the next period, highlighting the quid pro quo nature of higher tax payments associated with political turnover. As other non-state MLS control a larger fraction of voting rights, it is likely to be more difficult for the dominant owner to ignore them, and simpler to negotiate side benefits in exchange for their support. Therefore, we expect the probability of collusion to increase when other non-state blockholders hold a larger ownership stake.
In contrast, other large state-related MLS do not need to collude with the dominant owner in state-controlled listed firms to obtain (extra) benefits, as they can already take advantage of their ownership ties. Moreover, other large state-related shareholders may be less interested in maximizing shareholder value or allocating resources efficiently. Indeed, like the largest owners, they may care more about social welfare and political objectives, such as maximizing employment and wages. Thus, tax avoidance is unlikely to be prioritized.
In sum, we posit the following conjecture:
Hypothesis 2 (H2): In Chinese state-controlled listed firms, the stake held by other non-state large shareholders is negatively associated with tax avoidance.
Prior literature found that the effect of state ownership largely depends on the type of ‘state owner’ (Wright et al., Reference Wright, Wood, Musacchio, Okhmatovskiy, Grosman and Doh2021). As argued above, the government plays a dual role as tax collector and dominant owner in state-controlled listed firms. Moreover, in China's political selection system, officials capable of growing local economies are rewarded with promotions (Chen et al., Reference Chen, Tang, Wu and Yang2021); consequently, local governments have an incentive to seek ways to relax budget constraints. As local governments depend on local firms to generate sufficient fiscal revenue to realize their social and political objectives, they have a clear incentive to restrict their tax-avoidance activities. Specifically, SOEs play a major role in China because of the planned-economy legacy, and local leaders can influence local SOEs to raise fiscal revenue for infrastructure investment and urban development by restricting their tax-avoidance activities (Chen et al., Reference Chen, Tang, Wu and Yang2021). In other words, local governments depend on local SOEs to pay more tax revenues as a source of funds to stimulate investment and economic growth. Additionally, local governments can directly influence the behavior of local state-controlled firms through activities, such as appointing executives and directors, subsequently inciting local SOEs to abstain from tax avoidance. For example, Bradshaw et al. (Reference Bradshaw, Liao and Ma2019) show that higher SOE tax rates are associated with higher SOE manager promotion frequencies. Additionally, local governments have geographical advantages and lower communication costs when interacting with local state-controlled firms, which entail a stronger capacity to inhibit tax avoidance (see, for example, Bradshaw et al., Reference Bradshaw, Liao and Ma2019; Tang, Mo, & Chan, Reference Tang, Mo and Chan2017). The latter argument is consistent with the idea that local authorities exert more influence than the central government (see also Cheung, Rau, & Stouraitis, Reference Cheung, Rau and Stouraitis2010; Wang et al., Reference Wang, Wong and Xia2008). Therefore, we expect the effect of the ownership stake of the largest shareholder on tax avoidance to be more pronounced for local state-controlled firms. Similar to the development of H2, considering the power of the state, other non-state MLS in local SOEs may also decide to collude with the controlling shareholder for opportunistic (e.g., Cheng et al., Reference Cheng, Lin and Wei2013; Redding, Reference Redding1995) and fear-motivated reasons (Bu & Roy, Reference Bu and Roy2015; Guo et al., Reference Guo, Sarkar, Zhu and Wang2020; Ma & Yasir, Reference Ma and Yasir2023). As other non-state large shareholders control a larger fraction of voting rights, it is more likely difficult for the dominant owner to ignore them and easier to negotiate side benefits in exchange for their support. Therefore, we expect the probability of collusion to increase when other non-state blockholders hold a larger ownership stake.
The above arguments result in the following conjecture:
Hypothesis 3a (H3a): The negative relationship between the stake of the largest shareholder and tax avoidance is particularly strong in Chinese listed firms controlled by a local-level government.
Hypothesis 3b (H3b): The negative relationship between the stake held by other non-state large shareholders and tax avoidance is particularly strong in Chinese listed firms controlled by a local-level government.
The relationship between MLS and tax avoidance is based on the principal–principal agency tension between dominant and minority investors. In emerging economies, the severity of minority-investor expropriation tends to depend on the quality of the institutional context, with a more developed legal system granting outside investors more power through the protection of their rights and the prohibition of self-dealing (Huyghebaert & Wang, Reference Huyghebaert and Wang2012; La Porta, Lopez-de-Silanes, Shleifer, & Vishny, Reference La Porta, Lopez-de-Silanes, Shleifer and Vishny1998). Thus, agency problems between large and minority shareholders should be less severe for firms located in regions with well-developed market institutions. When the quality of institutions improves, large shareholders should be less inclined to expropriate value from minority investors. In this respect, DeBacker, Heim, and Tran (Reference DeBacker, Heim and Tran2015) study how cultural norms and enforcement policies influence illicit corporate activities and find that listed firms with owners from countries with higher corruption norms evade more taxes in the US.
As rebuffing tax avoidance represents a form of tunneling behavior by the dominant owner in state-controlled firms, we expect state-controlled firms to engage in more tax avoidance if the market environment is more oriented toward protecting minority-investor rights. In addition, when the rule of law is effective, the costs of expropriation tend to exceed the benefits because of the low burden of proof and/or the serious penalties enclosed in the solid enforcement of the legal code (Huyghebaert & Wang, Reference Huyghebaert and Wang2012). Correspondingly, it can also be expected that other non-state MLS will behave less like dominant owners in state-controlled firms, thus curbing the collusion effect (H2).
We therefore propose the following hypotheses:
Hypothesis 4a (H4a): The negative relationship between the stake of the largest shareholder and tax avoidance in Chinese state-controlled listed firms weakens as the institutional context improves.
Hypothesis 4b (H4b): The negative relationship between the stake of other non-state large shareholders and tax avoidance in Chinese state-controlled listed firms weakens as the institutional context improves.
Methods
Sample Selection and Data Sources
We first collected data on all Chinese firms listed on the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchange over the period 2004–2016. We downloaded accounting information from the Wind database, a leading financial database and software service provider in China. Information on each firm's statutory tax rate was obtained from the footnotes to its annual report, which was also available in the Wind database. The ownership and corporate governance data were retrieved from the China Stock Market and Accounting Research (CSMAR) databases.
Following Chan et al. (Reference Chan, Mo and Tang2016) and Li et al. (Reference Li, Liu and Ni2017), we excluded 480 firm-year observations (2.11% of the initial sample) of financial industry firms. Similar to Jiang et al. (Reference Jiang, Cai, Wang and Zhu2018), we removed 102 firm-year observations (0.45%) for firms without a shareholder controlling at least 5% of the voting rights, as these firms cannot exhibit conflicts of interest between controlling and minority shareholders. We also discarded 7,605 firm-year observations (33.41%) for firms whose largest shareholder controls >50% of voting rights, as other shareholders lack the power to contest the largest owner for sure.Footnote 8 Next, we excluded 2,545 firm-year observations (11.18%) with negative pre-tax income. Similar to Chen, Chen, Cheng, and Shevlin (Reference Chen, Chen, Cheng and Shevlin2010), Gupta and Newberry (Reference Gupta and Newberry1997), and Li et al. (Reference Li, Liu and Ni2017), we excluded 4,454 (19.57%) and 2,863 (12.58%) firm-year observations with effective tax rates greater than one or less than zero, respectively. We removed 2,209 observations (6.18%) with missing values for the key variables of interest. Finally, we retained the sample of state-controlled listed firms. Our final sample included data on 702 listed firms for the period 2004–2016 (3,648 firm-year observations).
Chinese-listed firms are required to disclose their ten largest shareholders, as well as their relationships with the controlling shareholder, in their annual reports. Based on these disclosures, it is possible that the other large shareholders in a state-controlled firm are either state-controlled or not.Footnote 9 The controlling and related large shareholders are usually viewed as a single entity – that is, the control group – because they tend to share the same interests. Therefore, we manually collected data on these related shareholders and defined a large shareholder as one who controls at least 5% of the firm's outstanding shares, either directly or indirectly (using the aggregate ownership of that large shareholder and its related shareholders).
Variables and Empirical Specification
Tax-avoidance measures
To examine a firm's tax-avoidance behavior, we relied on a number of measures developed in the literature so far (see Hanlon & Heitzman, Reference Hanlon and Heitzman2010).Footnote 10 First, we computed the effective tax rate (ETR) as the traditional GAAP ETR, which is the ratio of total income tax expenses to pre-tax accounting income (i.e., EBT, earnings before tax). Total income tax expenses are the sum of current income tax expenses and deferred tax expenses, if any. One limitation of this commonly used measure is that it does not distinguish tax savings from favorable tax treatment versus aggressive tax practices (Cen, Tong, & Sun, Reference Cen, Tong and Sun2017; Tang et al., Reference Tang, Mo and Chan2017). For example, a firm enjoying a low statutory tax rate will exhibit a low ETR even if it does not engage in any tax avoidance. To disentangle such effects, we constructed the variable ETR_M, which is the ETR divided by a firm's statutory tax rate. Hence, a lower ETR_M value indicates greater tax avoidance. Finally, as firms likely are concerned about the actual amount paid in taxes, we also computed the cash effective tax rate (CETR) as current income tax expenses minus end-of-the-year taxes payable plus start-of-the-year taxes payable, divided by pre-tax accounting income. For firms that did not report deferred tax assets or liabilities, we set these assets and liabilities to zero. We also computed CETR_M as CETR divided by a firm's statutory tax rate. Arguably, our above measures are to be considered inverse proxies for tax avoidance since a higher tax rate indicates a lower degree of tax avoidance.
Ownership structure and control variables
Due to the complexity of ownership chains, the nominal ranking of shareholders does not always accurately reflect the actual controlling and participatory roles. If a nominal shareholder maintains a ‘concerted actor’ relationship with the controlling shareholder, they are more likely to collaborate with the controlling shareholder and take the same actions when exercising voting rights to protect their own interests (Hao & Gong, Reference Hao and Gong2017). Therefore, to ensure accuracy, learning from Hao and Gong (Reference Hao and Gong2017) and Jiang et al. (Reference Jiang, Cai, Wang and Zhu2018), among others, we manually grouped together large shareholders with mutual interests as a single entity. We then aggregated their shareholdings using financial statement disclosures related to affiliated parties. LARGEST is computed as the proportion of outstanding shares controlled by the firm's largest shareholder, either directly or indirectly. To identify the ultimate controller for each sample firm, we traced the ownership chains disclosed in the annual report. As we expect the identity of the firm's largest shareholder to influence its tax-avoidance practices, we categorized firms based on this identity. The dummy variable D_STATE equals one if the largest ultimate shareholder is a government agency, and zero, otherwise. LOCAL is defined as a dummy variable that equals one if the firm's largest shareholder is controlled by the local government or a state agency below the provincial level, and zero otherwise. Next, OTHER_NONSTATE is the sum of the ownership stake(s) held by other large (>5%) shareholders that have no relationship with the government, whereas OTHER_STATE is the sum of the ownership stake(s) held by other large (>5%) state-related shareholders. In our study, we used 5% as the cutoff to identify large shareholders and subsequently employed 10% in a robustness check.
Next, we added the following one-year lagged control variables to our models: PROF (=EBIT divided by total sales), LOSS (=dummy variable that equals one if net income is negative), ACCRUAL (=net income minus operating cash flow, divided by lagged total assets), LEVERAGE (=net debt divided by total assets), GROWTH (=difference between sales and lagged sales, divided by lagged sales), SIZE (=natural log of market value of equity), AGE (=number of years that the firm has been listed), CROSS_LISTED (=dummy variable that equals one if the firm has B/H shares or is cross-listed abroad), and RIGHTS (=dummy variable that equals one if the firm implements a rights offering in the subsequent year, and zero, otherwise).
Specifically, in our study, tunneling behavior (less tax avoidance) in SOEs is related to the government's incentive as a controlling shareholder. Government intervention is more prominent in transitional and developing economies (La Porta, Lopez-De-Silanes, & Shleifer, Reference La Porta, Lopez-De-Silanes and Shleifer1999; Stiglitz, Reference Stiglitz, Balleisen and Moss2010). Therefore, to measure the quality of the regional institutional environment, we first relied on a sub-index from the NERI index, as published by the National Economic Research Institute. More precisely, we used the reduction in government size (less government intervention) in a Chinese province/municipality as a proxy for marketization progress across various Chinese regions (see also Fan, Wang, & Zhu, Reference Fan, Wang and Zhu2016). This marketization index has been widely used by previous studies examining a Chinese context (see, for example, Li et al., Reference Li, Liu and Ni2017, among others). In addition, we utilize the business environment index at the province level in China to measure the quality of the regional business environment established by Zhang and Zhang (Reference Zhang and Zhang2022). Specifically, we employ the first-level sub-indicator, the ‘Government Environment Index,’ which gauges the extent of market-orientation in the relationship between the government and all enterprises within a given region (representing the new type of government-business relationships), as well as government efficiency. For each sample firm in our study, we used the average annual index of the province or municipality where the firm's headquarters are located. The degree of a region's marketization is a proxy for the potential conflict between the tax claimant and the state-controlling shareholder of an SOE; and a high level of marketization suggests that a region has less government intervention in the capital market and/or a better institutional environment (Fan et al., Reference Fan, Wang and Zhu2016; Li et al., Reference Li, Liu and Ni2017).
Finally, to eliminate the impact of outliers, we winsorized all continuous variables at the 1% and 99% levels of their distributions Table 1.
Table 1. Definition of variables
Note: This table shows the definition of all variables used in this study.
Empirical specification
To examine the relationship between MLS and tax avoidance, we relied on the following panel data model.
Industry- and year-fixed effects were included to control for industry-specific and time-invariant heterogeneity. We also clustered standard errors at the firm level (firm ownership variables are rather sticky, making it difficult to include firm fixed effects), and reported robust p-value.
Descriptive Statistics
Table 2 presents summary statistics for our main variables in listed Chinese SOEs. As displayed in Panel A, ETR has an average value of 21.89%. The mean ETR_M of 1.06 points out that a firm's ETR is, in general, larger than its statutory tax rate (see also Chen & Luo, Reference Chen and Luo2015; Tian, Si, Han, & Bian, Reference Tian, Si, Han and Bian2016); this is to be related to the stronger tax enforcement in more recent years. Next, the CETR has a mean value of 23.62%; the average CETR_M of 1.16 further reveals that a firm's actual tax cash outflows are larger than its tax expenses reported in its financial accounts.
Table 2. Descriptive statistics and univariate analysis
Notes: This table presents the descriptive statistics and univariate analysis for the dependent and explanatory variables. Panel A reports the summary statistics for the full SOE sample, whereas Panel B reports the univariate tests for central SOEs and local SOEs, respectively. We use a parametric t-test as well as a nonparametric Wilcoxon test to investigate the significance of differences between central state-controlled and local state-controlled firms. All variables in this table are defined in Table 1. ***, **, * denote significance at the 1%, 5%, and 10% levels, respectively.
As for firms' MLS, the largest shareholder, on average, controls 33.26% of outstanding shares, either directly or indirectly. The average ownership stake of other non-state MLS was 5.38%, whereas the average stake held by other state MLS was 3.70%. Together, these numbers clearly indicate that the balance of power is tilted toward the firm's largest shareholder, making it interesting to study whether and how other MLS play a governance role. For the firm-level control variables, the average return on sales is 10.50%. The ratio of total accruals to lagged total assets averages −0.80%. The average debt ratio is 35.70%, whereas sales grow at an average rate of 21.40% per annum. The mean SIZE is 12.61, indicating an average market capitalization of RMB 30.01 billion (median of RMB 30.16 billion). On an average, the sample firms were listed for approximately 11.03 years. Of these, 12.10% are cross listed, whereas 0.80% implement rights offerings annually.
Panel B of Table 2 shows a univariate comparison of central and local state-controlled listed firms, considering the identity of their largest shareholder (corresponding to 1,114 and 2,534 firm-year observations, respectively). We conducted both a parametric t-test and a non-parametric Wilcoxon rank-sum test to investigate the significance of the differences between these two groups of firms. ETR and CETR differ significantly across the subsamples, with central state-controlled firms exhibiting a significantly lower ETR. The largest shareholder controls a larger proportion of voting rights in central state-controlled firms. Other non-state and other state MLS control a larger equity stake in central state-controlled firms. Finally, almost all the control variables are distributed significantly differently across the two subsamples.
Table 3 presents the correlation matrices of the main variables. The upper half of the table displays the results for the subsample of central state-controlled firms, and the lower half shows the results for local state-controlled firms. The largest correlation (0.389) arises between SIZE and AGE in the subsample of local state-controlled firms, suggesting that multicollinearity is unlikely to pose a problem in our study. Unsurprisingly, the variance inflation factor statistics never exceed five.
Table 3. Correlation matrix
Notes: This table reports the pairwise correlation coefficients for the dependent variables and the test variables. The right-upper triangle presents the results for the subsamples of central state-controlled listed while the left-lower triangle shows the results for the local state-controlled listed firms, respectively. All variables in this table are defined in Table 1. ***, **, * denote significance at the 1%, 5%, and 10% levels, respectively.
Results
In this section, we examine how MLS affect a firm's tax-avoidance behavior, captured by ETR_M and CETR_M. To further investigate whether these relationships are shaped by the identity of the firm's largest shareholder and the institutional environment, we also examine the effect of these two moderating factors on firms' tax-avoidance practices.
Baseline Regression Results
Table 4 presents baseline regression results. We used OLS model learning from previous studies (see Bradshaw et al., Reference Bradshaw, Liao and Ma2019; Chen et al., Reference Chen, Tang, Wu and Yang2021; Li et al., Reference Li, Liu and Ni2017). We also report the results for non-state-controlled listed firms to test our prediction within our principal–principal framework, that tax avoidance will not trigger conflicting interests between non-state large shareholders and the largest shareholder. The table is structured as follows. Columns (1) and (3) use ETR_M, while columns (2) and (4) use CETR_M as the dependent variable.
Table 4. Tax avoidance in Chinese-listed firms: Baseline regression model
Notes: This table presents the results for the relationship between MLS and tax avoidance. We use ETR_M and CETR_M as inverse proxies for tax avoidance, while columns (1), (3) use ETR_M and columns (2), (4) use CETR_M as dependent variables, respectively. Regression models include industry and year fixed effects, clustering standard errors at the firm level. All variables in this table are defined in Table 1. p-values are reported in parentheses underneath coefficients. ***, **, * denote significance at the 1%, 5%, and 10% levels, respectively.
Table 4 shows that ownership stakes controlled by the firm's largest shareholder are negatively associated with tax avoidance in state-controlled listed firms. Thus, these findings provide empirical support for H1, emphasizing that not only does the identity of the largest shareholder matter, but also the ownership stake that he controls.
Other non-state-related MLS with larger ownership stakes are associated with lower tax avoidance in state-controlled firms, ceteris paribus. Therefore, this finding indicates that, as their stake in the firm increases, other non-state MLS tend to collude with the largest (state) shareholder in state-controlled firms at the expense of minority investors. Together, these findings empirically support Hypotheses 2, indicating the collusion effect of other non-state large shareholders. Second, other state-related MLS do not influence tax-avoidance practices in state-controlled firms. The latter findings are also in line with Hypotheses 2, arguing that the role of other large state-related shareholders is less pronounced.Footnote 11 As 33.19% of the state-controlled sample firms have such state blockholders, we can rule out that the limited presence of OTHER _ STATE MLS in our sample drives this insignificance of OTHER_STATE. Interestingly, and unlike Lin et al. (Reference Lin, Tsai, Imamah and Hung2016), the above findings allow us to infer that the difference in identity between the largest and other large shareholders does not matter so much when explaining a firm's tax-avoidance behavior. Rather, our results consistently indicate that other non-state MLS act as the largest (state) shareholders, regardless of whether this dominant owner is state-related. These results are economically significant. The coefficient of 0.003 on LARGEST (and OTHER_NONSTATE) for the state-controlled subsample implies that a one-standard-deviation increase in the largest shareholder's stake is associated with a 2.92% (and 2.18%) increase in the CETR relative to the mean for those firms.
As further empirical support, our supplemental test on non-state-controlled listed firms in Table 4 shows that the firm's largest shareholder provokes more tax avoidance in non-state-controlled firms, and other non-state-related MLS with a larger equity stake also add to tax avoidance in non-state-controlled firms, further supporting our argument that tax avoidance as a tunneling behavior toward minority investors is lesser in SOEs than in non-SOEs. More specifically, when the major/controlling shareholder is a non-state entity, he will consider taxes as representing a significant cost to the company and, therefore, deliberate a reduction in the cash flows available for disbursing dividends to (all) shareholders, thereby inciting the firm and its management to shun those cash outflows. Alternatively, tax avoidance can increase the cash flows that can be retained within a corporation, thereby enhancing corporate solvency and the firm's ability to resist financial risk (see also Hasan, Hoi, Wu, & Zhang, Reference Hasan, Hoi, Wu and Zhang2014). Hence, this large non-state shareholder may incite management to pursue all (legal) tax-avoidance opportunities, including aggressive ones. Because a larger ownership stake held by the largest (non-state) shareholder increases a firm's power, it may put more pressure on the company and its management to engage in tax avoidance. As other non-state MLS now share the same objective as the largest shareholder with the firm's minority investors in non-state-controlled listed firms, that is, the minimization of the tax bill, they may cooperate with the dominant owner to further reduce the firm's tax payments. As non-state investors' incentives to encourage tax avoidance are likely to increase with their ownership stake, a larger stake held by other MLS has a positive influence on tax avoidance.
As mentioned previously, the ensuing conflicts of interest between the state as the controlling shareholder and minority investors are likely to be especially pronounced in a tax setting, given that the dominant owner in those firms is also the tax claimant. Tax avoidance will not trigger conflicting interests between non-state-owned largest shareholders and other blockholders from the tax-cost perspective. Specifically, when the major/controlling shareholder is a non-state entity, taxes are a significant cost to the company. In addition, other non-state MLS share the same objective with the largest shareholder as well as the firm's minority investors in non-state-controlled listed firms, that is, the minimization of the tax bill. Thus, the principal–principal agency conflict, regarding the cost of tax avoidance, applies only to SOEs.
Regarding the control variables, we find that more profitable firms are associated with greater tax avoidance, regardless of the identity of their dominant owner. Overall, this result indicates that better-performing firms have more incentives and resources for engaging in tax avoidance. Generally, accruals have no effect. Next, leverage reduces, while growth increases the magnitude of tax-avoidance activities in both subsamples. A larger firm size and longer listing history also enhance tax avoidance, but only for non-state-controlled firms. State-controlled firms engage in greater tax avoidance when cross-listed. Regardless of their largest shareholders, firms concerned about meeting the minimum earnings threshold to issue new shares in future equity offerings pursue more tax-induced income shifting.
Further Analysis: Moderating Effects
Table 5 presents the results for the relation between MLS and tax avoidance in state-controlled listed firms regarding moderation effects. We use ETR_M and CETR_M as inverse proxies for tax avoidance, while columns (1), (3) use ETR_M and columns (2), (4) use CETR_M as the dependent variables, respectively. Panel A and Panel B augment the baseline regression model by incorporating the interactions between the independent variables and the first moderator LOCAL (i.e., level of state control) and the second moderator INS_DEP (i.e., institutional development using marketization index of Fan et al. (Reference Fan, Wang and Zhu2016) or business environment index of Zhang and Zhang (Reference Zhang and Zhang2022)).
Table 5. Tax avoidance in Chinese state-controlled listed firms: Moderating effects
Notes: This table presents the results for the relation between MLS and tax avoidance in state-controlled listed firms regarding moderation effects. We use ETR_M and CETR_M as inverse proxies for tax avoidance, while columns (1), (3) use ETR_M and columns (2), (4) use CETR_M as the dependent variables, respectively. Panel A augments the baseline regression model by incorporating the interactions between the independent variables and the first moderator LOCAL (i.e., level of state control) and the second moderator INS_DEP (i.e., institutional development using marketization index of Fan et al. (Reference Fan, Wang and Zhu2016)). Similarly, Panel B augments the baseline regression model by incorporating the interactions between the independent variables and the first moderator LOCAL (i.e., level of state control) and the second moderator INS_DEP (i.e., business environment index of Zhang and Zhang (Reference Zhang and Zhang2022)). Regression models include industry and year fixed effects, clustering standard errors at the firm level. p-values are reported in parentheses underneath coefficients. ***, **, * denote significance at the 1%, 5%, and 10% levels, respectively.
As shown in Table 5, the coefficient for the interaction term LARGEST*LOCAL is significantly positive in columns (1) and (3), which is in line with H3a that less tax avoidance is more pronounced in local SOEs when ETR_M is used as an inverse proxy for tax avoidance.Footnote 12 However, when using CETR_M as an inverse proxy for tax avoidance, the coefficient for the interaction term LARGEST*LOCAL does not show significance in columns (2) or (4). A plausible interpretation for this could be that the estimation required for the numerator of CETR_M, which is the actual income tax paid in cash, might introduce some bias. Specifically, although cash ETR, based on the actual cash paid as taxes, is believed to provide a more accurate representation of the firm's tax burden (Dyreng et al., Reference Dyreng, Hanlon and Maydew2008), it's worth noting that the actual income tax (cash) paid to tax agencies, which constitutes the numerator of CETR_M, is not explicitly revealed in the cash flow statements of Chinese-listed firms. Furthermore, Chinese-listed firms do not publicize their tax reports. As highlighted by Tang (Reference Tang2020) in her review of tax-avoidance research in China, researchers who utilize the cash ETR measure should exercise caution due to the necessity of estimating income tax paid. As such, this bias could potentially affect the accuracy when we use CETR_M as a measure for the dependent variable, thereby resulting in non-significant findings.
Conversely, the interaction term OTHER_NONSTATE*LOCAL does not significantly influence tax avoidance in either column. The non-significance of the interaction between independent variables and the first moderator may be partially due to the constraints in our data accessibility. Specifically, Chinese-listed firms are only mandated to disclose their ten largest shareholders, which limits our scope of analysis. Additionally, the observed insignificance may be due to potential confounding effects between the state-level variable LOCAL and LARGEST.
Regarding the institutional environment, the coefficient for the interaction term LARGEST*INS_DEP is significantly negative in column (1), (3) and (4). This result aligns with our H4a that the propensity of the largest shareholder to abstain from tax avoidance is less pronounced for state-controlled firms located in regions where the local government leans more toward market-orientation. Conversely, the coefficient for the interaction term LARGEST*INS_DEP presented in column (2) does not exhibit significance. Similarly, the coefficients for the interaction term OTHER_NONSTATE*INS_DEP, as displayed in either column, also lack statistical significance. The lack of significant empirical results for certain interaction terms regarding the institutional environment might be attributed to several factors. One possible explanation is the constraints of CETR as the dependent variable as previously discussed. Another potential reason could be the inherent limitations of the marketization index being used and constraints in our data accessibility.
In summary, the interaction effects between the largest shareholder (LARGEST) and the two moderating variables are consistent with our expectations when using ETR_M as an inverse proxy for tax avoidance, thus corroborating our hypotheses H3a and H3b. However, the findings related to the moderating effects seem to be relatively weak with respect to the interactions between non-state large shareholders (OTHER_NONSTATE) and the two moderating variables. Specifically, we were unable to find substantial empirical evidences to support our hypotheses H3b or H4b. The lack of significant findings regarding the moderating effects may be partially attributed to constraints in data accessibility specific to our study.
Robustness Tests
In the first supplementary test, we used a two-stage least squares (2SLS) regression learning from Chan et al. (Reference Chan, Mo and Tang2016) and Hasan et al. (Reference Hasan, Hoi, Wu and Zhang2014) to account for endogeneity issues such as simultaneity and omitted variables (Hill, Johnson, Greco, O'Boyle, & Walter, Reference Hill, Johnson, Greco, O'Boyle and Walter2021). More precisely, in the first-stage regression, we predicted LARGEST, using an ordinary least squares (OLS) regression that contains two instrumental variables, i.e., the mean values of LARGEST and OTHER_STATE of all other firms among its industry peers (using two-digit industry codes to identify each firm's industry), and all firm-level control variables from the baseline model. In the second stage, we estimated the baseline model after replacing LARGEST with the correspondingly fitted LARGEST measure from the first-stage regression analysis. Specifically, the average MLS of all other firms in the same industry is a reasonable instrument of a firm's ownership structure. We expect a firm's ownership structure to correlate with the industry average, but it is unlikely that a firm's tax avoidance would affect the industry average ownership structure of all other firms (Jiang et al., Reference Jiang, Cai, Wang and Zhu2018; Ouyang et al., Reference Ouyang, Xiong and Huang2020). We then tested the validity of our instrumental variables using the Cragg–Donald Wald F statistic test and the Sargan–Hansen test. The F statistics are all greater than 10, rejecting the weak instrument-null hypotheses. The Hansen J statistics are non-significant, indicating that these two instruments are valid (without the overidentification problem) and that our model is well specified. Table 6 presents the 2SLS empirical results. This indicates that our main conclusions remain consistent, except for a slight decline in significance.
Table 6. Two-stage least squares regression
Notes: This table presents the results of a two-stage least squares regression of the relationship between MLS and tax avoidance. We use the mean value of the ownership variables(LARGEST_MEAN, OTHER_STATE_MEAN) based on the two-digit WIND industry code to which the firm belongs, excluding the firm's own ownership variable as instrumental variables, along with other variables potentially determining the MLS structure to predict the largest shareholding of a firm in column (1) from the first-stage regression. Panels A and B present the first-stage and second-stage results, respectively. We use ETR_M and CETR_M as inverse proxies for tax avoidance, while columns (2) use ETR_M and columns (3) use CETR_M as dependent variables, respectively. Regression models include industry- and year-fixed effects, clustering standard errors at the firm level. p-values are reported in parentheses underneath coefficients. ***, **, * denote significance at the 1%, 5%, and 10% levels, respectively.
Next, when we included listed firms that are majority-controlled by the state, we found that the effects of LARGEST and OTHER_NONSTATE become weaker for state-controlled sample firms. These findings were expected. We also explored the interaction effect between the ownership of other non-state large shareholders and of the largest state shareholders on tax avoidance in Chinese-listed SOEs. Our test suggests that the ownership of non-state large shareholders could strengthen the negative effect of the largest shareholder's ownership on tax avoidance, especially when using a modified ETR as an inverse proxy for tax avoidance.
Third, we re-ran all the models using a 10% cutoff to identify large shareholders. Our main conclusions continued to hold, although the effect of LARGEST was stronger, whereas that of OTHER_NONSTATE was slightly weaker. Alternatively, we applied a log transformation to the three ownership variables. All our earlier findings proved robust, with a small decline in significance levels. When relying on dummy variables for other large non-state and state shareholders rather than on their ownership stake, we still found that our previous results held, although the significance levels declined slightly. To further account for the possibility that the relationship between ownership stakes and tax avoidance is non-linear, we created several piecewise ownership variables yet found no support for such a non-monotone relationship.
We also found that our baseline regression results remain valid when all continuous variables were winsorized at the 5% and 95% levels of their distribution. In addition, when province-fixed effects were included, our baseline results were not affected, indicating that the observed relationships were not driven by any differences across provinces.
In addition, we applied a joint significance test (F-test) to examine the relationship between MLS and tax avoidance, because our baseline regression included three explanatory variables (LARGEST and OTHER_NONSTATE). The result (not shown) suggests that the model is significant at the 0.01 level, indicating that our model is consistent.
In the final robustness check, we included additional internal corporate governance characteristics. The results, as reported in Table 7, reveal that our main results continue to hold after adding MANAGEMENT (=fraction of managerial shareholdings relative to total outstanding shares), BOARD SIZE (=natural log of the number of board members), and INDEPENDENT (=fraction of board seats occupied by independent directors). Moreover, we find that managerial ownership is positively associated, and the proportion of independent directors, negatively associated, with tax avoidance in state-controlled firms. Therefore, the latter finding suggests that ‘independent’ directors collude with dominant owners in state-controlled firms.
Table 7. Tax avoidance in Chinese-listed SOEs: Role of internal corporate governance
Notes: This table presents the results for the relationship between MLS and tax avoidance including the corporate governance factors in SOEs. We use ETR_M and CETR_M as inverse proxies for tax avoidance, while columns (1), (3), (5) use ETR_M and columns (2), (4), (6) use CETR_M as dependent variables, respectively. Regression models include industry- and year-fixed effects, clustering standard errors at the firm level. All variables in this table are defined in Table 1. p-values are reported in parentheses underneath coefficients. ***, **, * denote significance at the 1%, 5%, and 10% levels, respectively.
Discussion
In this study, we investigate the governance role of MLS in a firm's tax-avoidance behavior, using a sample of 702 Chinese-listed state-controlled firms over the period 2004–2016. We find that the ownership stake held by the largest shareholder is negatively associated with tax avoidance in state-controlled firms. This effect is particularly strong if the largest shareholder is the local government. While other large state-related shareholders have no influence, we find that other large non-state shareholders with significant ownership stakes and restrain tax avoidance in state-controlled firms. Our results indicate that other large non-state shareholders play a collusive, rather than monitoring, role in state-controlled firms. Theorists have proposed competing explanations for the effects of MLS, and few studies have developed arguments to explain when a particular effect is likely to arise. Evidently, more theoretical work on this topic is needed, and our study provides a starting point by highlighting the role of the institutional setting as an important influencer. We find that an improved institutional environment weakens the negative relationship between the largest shareholder and tax avoidance in state-controlled firms. Our findings remain valid under a battery of robustness checks using other measurements of ownership variables, adding extra control variables, and so on. Interestingly, managerial ownership is positively associated with tax avoidance in state-controlled firms. We further note that the proportion of independent directors has a significantly negative effect on the tax-avoidance practices of state-controlled firms.
Our findings have important implications for policymakers. First, our results have consequences for the ongoing mixed-ownership reforms in China (and other transitional economies). On the one hand, our results indicate that improvements in firm performance/behavior are unlikely to arise if state ownership is transferred only to other state-related blockholders. On the other hand, as other large non-state shareholders may collude with the dominant owner in state-controlled firms, governments should be aware that the expected outcomes of their ownership reforms may not necessarily manifest. Hence, our findings also call for caution regarding ownership reforms in the protection of minority rights when other non-state-related blockholders only follow the dominant owner, for example, to realize private benefits. Our results suggest that auxiliary corporate governance reforms are required. Therefore, the institutional environment should be further improved, as this clearly helps protect the rights of minority investors. In addition, stimulating managerial ownership and improving the criteria for director independence may help mitigate the expropriation risks for minority investors. Furthermore, as mixed ownership becomes increasingly common, this could yield important insights calling for future research into the role of other significant factors when state and non-state ownership differences are small (e.g., director appointment power, identities of directors, etc.). Finally, given the importance of China's debt problems, tax avoidance is of considerable interest. Similarly, rising debt levels in other emerging economies that also host a large share of SOEs, make this topic of wider general interest.
Limitations and Future Research Directions
Despite the above implications, our study has several limitations that present avenues for future research. First, we do not find strong support for the moderating effects as some results yielded statistical insignificance. Indeed, the accounting and disclosure rules for income tax in China are relatively complex, leading to a paucity of scholars using more precise information in their research. As a result, significant measurement errors may occur in the indicators of tax avoidance. For instance, Liu, Wang, and Zhao (Reference Liu, Wang and Zhao2022) conduct a manual collection of actual current income tax expenses as disclosed in the footnotes of financial statements from Chinese A-share listed companies. They discover significant discrepancies when comparing these actual expenses to estimates made using financial statement information. Furthermore, they observe that after adjusting for this estimation error in current income tax expenses, the primary findings of several preceding studies lost their statistical significance. Similarly, Brühne and Jacob (Reference Brühne and Jacob2021) highlight the inherent empirical challenges in tax-avoidance research, particularly the difficulties in defining concepts and addressing potential measurement issues. They point out that the struggle to accurately measure tax avoidance, especially for non-US firms that do not report unrecognized tax benefits, is a significant issue in the literature. Despite these challenges, we maintain a positive outlook for future research opportunities that may delve deeper and enhance our understanding in this field, such as utilizing more accurate tax avoidance measures by manually collecting the actual current income tax expenses disclosed in the financial statement footnotes instead of estimating the income tax expenses and employing alternative marketization indices to address the limitations of our current research.
Second, as mentioned above, this study aims to develop arguments to motivate when a particular effect (collusion) is likely to arise in a tax setting. However, we were unable to test the theoretical mechanism because of limitations regarding data access. Thus, we call for future studies to test the exchange or spillover between the largest (state) shareholders and other non-state large shareholders. Furthermore, better measurements beyond ETRs (Blouin, Reference Blouin2014; Brühne & Jacob, Reference Brühne and Jacob2021; Hanlon & Heitzman, Reference Hanlon and Heitzman2010) are required in our setting, which is characterized by the unique features of China's capital markets and tax environment (Tang, Reference Tang2020). In addition, tax scholars are calling for more studies on the consequences, especially the real effects, of tax avoidance, (e.g., Brühne & Jacob, Reference Brühne and Jacob2021; Jacob, Reference Jacob2022). Arguably, future research on the real effects of the reduced tax-avoidance behavior of MLS in Chinese-listed SOEs is worth investigating to further enrich the findings of our study. In addition, studies comparing the short-and long-term real effects between MLS and tax avoidance in Chinese SOEs versus privately controlled firms may advance as well.
Data availability statement
The data that support the findings of this study are openly available in the Open Science Framework at https://osf.io/mgcru/?view_only=2c64edf854bb465482d6dea60e9182e6 Part of the derived data is available from the corresponding author on request.
Acknowledgement
We sincerely thank the Editor-in-Chief, Professor Dr. Xiao-Ping Chen, Senior Editor, Professor Dr. Jinyu He, and the three anonymous reviewers for their insightful suggestions and contributions. Wenfeng Wu acknowledges the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 72310107002), Shaoqing Kang acknowledges the China Scholarship Council (Grant No. 201806310015), and Lihong Wang acknowledges the Innovation Strategy project of Fujian Science and Technology Foundation (Grant No. 2022R0007) for financial support.
Appendix I
Figure A1. The composition of LARGEST for Tianma Microelectronics Co., Ltd. (000050.SZ) at the end of year 2015
Figure A2. The composition of LARGEST for Shenzhen Zhenye Group Co., Ltd. (000006.SZ) at the end of year 2011
Table A1. The disclosed ten largest shareholders for Tianma Microelectronics Co., Ltd. (000050.SZ) at the end of year 2015
Table A2. The re-ranked order of large shareholders for Tianma Microelectronics Co., Ltd. (000050.SZ) at the end of year 2015
Table A3. The disclosed ten largest shareholders for Shenzhen Zhenye Group Co., Ltd. (000006.SZ) at the end of year 2011
Table A4. The re-ranked order of large shareholders for Shenzhen Zhenye Group Co., Ltd. (000006.SZ) at the end of year 2011
Nancy Huyghebaert ([email protected]) is a full professor of corporate finance at KU Leuven (Belgium) and her research interests are corporate governance and corporate finance. She has published in the Strategic Management Journal, Journal of Accounting and Economics, Journal of Corporate Finance, The Journal of Law and Economics, Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Journal of Comparative Economics, among others.
Shaoqing Kang ([email protected]) is a postdoctoral researcher at Antai College of Economics and Management, Shanghai Jiao Tong University. She received her PhD from Xiamen University and was a visiting PhD in KU Leuven (Belgium). Her research interests focus on taxation, fintech, corporate governance and the intersection of finance and accounting. She has published in Abacus, Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Accounting and Finance.
Lihong Wang ([email protected]) is a full professor of corporate finance at the Institute for Financial and Accounting Studies, and a full researcher at the Center for Accounting Studies in Xiamen University. She received her PhD from KU Leuven and her research interests are corporate governance, corporate finance, and China economy. She has published in the Journal of Banking and Finance, Corporate Governance: An International Review, Accounting and Finance, Abacus, China Economic Review, Pacific-basin Finance Journal, among others.
Wenfeng Wu ([email protected]) is a full professor of finance at Antai College of Economics and Management and Data-driven Management Decision Making Lab, Shanghai Jiao Tong University. He is the Executive Editor of China Finance Review International and his research interests are in the field of Chinese bond market, financial market, and corporate finance. He has published in the Review of Finance, The Journal of Law and Economics, Journal of Corporate Finance, among others.
