Hostname: page-component-586b7cd67f-t8hqh Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-11-26T01:26:43.588Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

THE OPTIMAL DISTRIBUTION OF THE TAX BURDEN OVER THE BUSINESS CYCLE

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  19 September 2017

Konstantinos Angelopoulos
Affiliation:
University of Glasgow and CESifo
Stylianos Asimakopoulos*
Affiliation:
University of Bath
James Malley
Affiliation:
University of Glasgow and CESifo
*
Address correspondence to: Stylianos Asimakopoulos, Department of Economics, University of Bath, Claverton Down, 3 East 4.24, Bath BA2 7AY, UK; e-mail: [email protected].

Abstract

This paper analyzes optimal capital and labor income taxation for households differentiated by labor skill, income, and wealth, under a balanced government budget, over the business cycle. A model incorporating capital–skill complementarity in production and differential access to labor and capital markets is developed to capture the cyclical characteristics of the US economy, as well as the empirical observations on wage (skill premium) and wealth inequality. We find that optimal taxes for middle-income households are more volatile than the remaining taxes. Moreover, the government re-allocates the total tax burden in bad times so that the share of total tax revenue paid by middle-income households rises. This share also rises for low-income households but by significantly less, whereas the tax share for skilled households falls.

Type
Articles
Copyright
Copyright © Cambridge University Press 2017 

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

Footnotes

We would like to thank the editor, William Barnett, two anonymous referees, an associate editor, Marco Bassetto, Andrew Clausen, Fabrice Collard, Richard Dennis, Michael Hatcher, Wei Jiang, Matthew Lindquist, Ioana Moldovan, Charles Nolan, Apostolis Philippopoulos, and Fabien Postel-Vinay, participants at the CESifo Macro Area Conference 2015, Royal Economic Society 2014 Annual Conference, the Universities of Kent, Aberdeen and Nottingham for helpful comments and suggestions. We are also grateful for financial support from the ESRC, Grant Nos. RES-062-23-2292 and ES/I902414/1.

References

REFERENCES

Acemoglu, D. and Autor, D. (2011) Skills, tasks and technologies: Implications for employment and earnings. In Ashenfelter, O. and Card, D. (eds.), Handbook of Labor Economics, vol. 4B, pp. 10431171. Amsterdam: Elsevier.Google Scholar
Aghion, P. and Howitt, P. (2009) The Economics of Growth. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.Google Scholar
Angelopoulos, K., Asimakopoulos, S., and Malley, J. (2015) Tax smoothing in a business cycle model with capital-skill complementarity. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 51, 420444.Google Scholar
Angelopoulos, K., Fernandez, B., and Malley, J. (2014) The distributional consequences of tax reforms under capital-skill complementarity. Economica 81, 747767.Google Scholar
Angelopoulos, K., Malley, J., and Philippopoulos, A. (2017) Human capital accumulation and transition to skilled employment. Journal of Human Capital 11, 72105.Google Scholar
Arseneau, D. and Chugh, S. (2012) Tax smoothing in frictional labor markets. Journal of Political Economy 120, 926985.Google Scholar
Bernheim, B. and Garrett, D. (2003) The effects of financial education in the workplace: Evidence from a survey of households. Journal of Public Economics 87, 14871519.Google Scholar
Benigno, P. (2009) Price stability with imperfect financial integration. Journal of Money, Credit and Banking 41, 121–49.Google Scholar
Blau, F. and Kahn, L. (2007) Changes in the labor supply behavior of married women: 1980–2000. Journal of Labor Economics 25, 393438.Google Scholar
Campbell, J. and Mankiw, G. (1989) Consumption, income, and interest rates: Reinterpreting the time-series evidence. In Blanchard, O. J. and Fischer, S. (eds.), NBER Macroeconomics Annual, pp. 185216. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.Google Scholar
Castro, R. and Coen-Pirani, D. (2008) Why have aggregate skilled hours become so cyclical since the mid-1980s? International Economic Review 49, 135184.Google Scholar
Chamley, C. (1986) Optimal taxation of capital income in general equilibrium with infinite lives. Econometrica 54 (3), 607622.Google Scholar
Chari, V., Lawrence, C., and Kehoe, P. (1994) Optimal fiscal policy in a business cycle model. Journal of Political Economy 102, 617652.Google Scholar
Chetty, R., Guren, A., Manoli, D., and Weber, A. (2011) Are micro and macro labor supply elasticities consistent? A review of evidence on the intensive and extensive margins. American Economic Review 101, 471–75.Google Scholar
Cogan, J., Cwik, T., Taylor, J., and Wieland, V. (2010) New Keynesian versus old Keynesian government spending multipliers. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 34, 281295.Google Scholar
Domeij, D. and Floden, M. (2006) The labor-supply elasticity and borrowing constraints: Why estimates are biased. Review of Economic Dynamics 9 (2), 242262.Google Scholar
Farhi, E. (2010) Capital taxation and ownership when markets are incomplete. Journal of Political Economy 118 (5), 908948.Google Scholar
Fisher, R. (1915) Frequency distribution of the values of the correlation coefficient in samples of an indefinitely large population. Biometrika 10, 507521.Google Scholar
Galí, J., Lopez-Salido, D., and Valles, J. (2007) Understanding the effects of government spending on consumption. Journal of the European Economic Association 5, 227270.Google Scholar
Gandelman, N. and Hernández-Murillo, R. (2013) What do happiness and health satisfaction data tell us about relative risk aversion? Journal of Economic Psychology 39, 301312.Google Scholar
Gervais, M. and Mennuni, A. (2015) Optimal fiscal policy in the neoclassical growth model revisited. European Economic Review 73, 117.Google Scholar
Goldin, C. and Katz, L. (2008) The Race between Education and Technology. Cambridge, MA and London, England: The Belknap Press of Harvard University Press.Google Scholar
Greenwood, J., Hercowitz, Z., and Krusell, P. (2000) The role of investment-specific technological change in the business cycle. European Economic Review 44 (1), 91115.Google Scholar
Guo, J. T. and Lansing, K. J. (1999) Optimal taxation of capital income with imperfectly competitive product markets. Journal of Economics Dynamics and Control 23, 967995.Google Scholar
He, H. (2012) What drives the skill premium: Technological change or demographic variation? European Economic Review 56, 15461572.Google Scholar
He, H. and Liu, Z. (2008) Investment-specific technological change, skill accumulation, and wage inequality. Review of Economic Dynamics 11, 314334.Google Scholar
Hindriks, J. and Myles, G. (2013) Intermediate Public Economics. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.Google Scholar
Hornstein, A., Krusell, P., and Violante, G. (2005) The effects of technical change on labor market inequalities. In Aghion, P. and Durlauf, S. (eds.), Handbook of Economic Growth, vol. 1, pp. 12751370. Amsterdam: Elsevier.Google Scholar
Judd, K. (1985) Redistributive taxation in a simple perfect foresight model. Journal of Public Economics 28 (1), 5983.Google Scholar
Judd, K. (1997) The Optimal Tax on Capital Income is Negative. National Bureau of Economic Research, working paper 6004.Google Scholar
Katz, L. and Murphy, K. (1992) Changes in relative wages, 1963–1987: Supply and demand factors. Quarterly Journal of Economics 107, 3578.Google Scholar
Keane, M. and Rogerson, R. (2012) Micro and macro labor supply elasticities: A reassessment of conventional wisdom. Journal of Economic Literature 50, 464476.Google Scholar
Kimball, M. and Shapiro, M. (2008) Labor Supply: Are the Income and Substitution Effects Both Large or Both Small? NBER working papers 14208, National Bureau of Economic Research.Google Scholar
Kocherlakota, N. (2010) The New Dynamic Public Finance. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.Google Scholar
Krusell, P., Ohanian, L., Ríos-Rull, J., and Violante, G. (2000) Capital–skill complementarity and inequality: A macroeconomic analysis. Econometrica 68, 10291053.Google Scholar
Lindquist, M. (2004) Capital–skill complementarity and inequality over the business cycle. Review of Economic Dynamics 7, 519540.Google Scholar
Litterman, R. (1983) A random walk, Markov model for the distribution of time-series. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics 1, 169173.Google Scholar
Ljungqvist, L. and Sargent, T. (2012) Recursive Macroeconomic Theory, 3rd ed. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.Google Scholar
Mankiw, G. (2000) The savers-spenders theory of fiscal policy. American Economic Review 90, 120125.Google Scholar
Mankiw, G., Weinzierl, M., and Yagan, D. (2009) Optimal taxation in theory and practice. Journal of Economic Perspectives 23, 147174.Google Scholar
Martinez-Mongay, C. (2000) ECFIN's Effective Tax Rates. Properties and Comparisons with Other Tax Indicators. Economic paper 146, Brussels, European Commission.Google Scholar
Matsuyama, K. (2006) The 2005 Lawrence R. Klein lecture: Emergent class structure. International Economic Review 47, 327360.Google Scholar
Persson, T. and Tabellini, G. (1992) The politics of 1992: Fiscal policy and European integration. Review of Economic Studies 59, 689701.Google Scholar
Philippon, T. (2014) Has the American finance industry become less efficient? American Economic Review 105 (4), 14081438.Google Scholar
Piketty, T. and Saez, E. (2007) How progressive is the U.S. federal tax system? A historical and international perspective. Journal of Economic Perspectives 21, 324.Google Scholar
Pourpourides, P. (2011) Implicit contracts and the cyclicality of the skill-premium. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 35, 963979.Google Scholar
Schmitt-Grohé, S. and Uribe, M. (2003) Closing small open economy models. Journal of International Economics 61, 163185.Google Scholar
Stockman, D. (2001) Balanced-budget rules: Welfare loss and optimal policies. Review of Economic Dynamics 4, 438459.Google Scholar
Traum, N. and Yang, S. (2010) Does Government Debt Crowd Out Investment? A Bayesian DSGE Approach. Congressional Budget Office working paper 2010-02.Google Scholar
Werning, I. (2007) Optimal fiscal policy with redistribution. Quarterly Journal of Economics 122, 925967.Google Scholar