Hostname: page-component-586b7cd67f-r5fsc Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-11-24T14:51:32.403Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Policy Cycles in Mexican Presidential Politics

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  12 October 2022

Dale Story*
Affiliation:
University of Texas at Arlington
Rights & Permissions [Opens in a new window]

Extract

Core share and HTML view are not available for this content. However, as you have access to this content, a full PDF is available via the ‘Save PDF’ action button.

Several aspects of presidential politics in Mexico have become well-established traditions. The president of Mexico is constitutionally limited to a single term of six years. Also, the president is always a member of the Partido Revolucionario Institucional (PRI). Although the details of the selection process are not well known, the PRI presidential candidate for the next election is hand-picked by the sitting president. Despite an assured victory for the PRI candidate, the nominee always mounts a barnstorming campaign covering all of Mexico, a procedure that helps to legitimize the domination of the PRI. All of these factors are the “givens” in the equation explaining presidential successions in Mexico. But at least one phenomenon—that of policy changes associated with presidential successions—has been much discussed but never critically tested. Briefly stated, various hypotheses suggest that new presidents significantly alter the policies of their predecessor, that predictable shifts from one side of the ideological spectrum to the other occur as presidents succeed one another, and that even certain patterns in policy innovation are evident within six-year presidential terms in Mexico. All of these hypotheses assume that policy decisions and outcomes are greatly affected by the politics of presidential transitions. The purpose of this article is to initiate a process of examining more rigorously the various propositions relating to policy cycles in Mexican politics.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
Copyright © 1985 by the University of Texas Press

Footnotes

*

Research for this article was supported by a fellowship from the Mellon Foundation and a Fulbright research grant. Colleagues and facilities at the Centro de Investigación y Docencia Económicas were especially helpful in formulating some of these ideas and gathering the data.

References

Boni, Felix G., and Seligson, Mitchell A. 1973 “Applying Quantitative Techniques to Quantitative History: Poverty and Federal Expenditures in Mexico.” LARR 8, no. 2 (1973):105–10.Google Scholar
Bunce, Valerie 1981 Do New Leaders Make a Difference? Executive Succession and Public Policy under Capitalism and Socialism. Princeton: Princeton University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
BUSINESS INTERNATIONAL CORPORATION 1979 Investment Strategies in Mexico: How to Deal with Mexicanization. New York: Business International Corporation.Google Scholar
Cameron, David 1978 “The Expansion of the Public Economy: A Comparative Analysis.” American Political Science Review 72 (Dec. 1978):1243–61.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Caporaso, James, and Pelowski, A. 1971Economic and Political Integration in Europe: A Quasi-Experimental Analysis.” American Political Science Review 65 (June 1971):418–33.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Clement, Morris, and Green, Louis 1978The Political Economy of Devaluation in Mexico,” Inter-American Economic Affairs 32, no. 3 (Winter 1978):4775.Google Scholar
Coleman, Kenneth M., and Wanat, John 1975 “On Measuring Mexican Presidential Ideology through Budgets: A Reappraisal of the Wilkie Approach.” LARR 10, no. 1 (1975):7788.Google Scholar
Dominguez, Jorge I. 1982International Reverberations of a Dynamic Political Economy.” In Mexico's Political Economy: Challenges at Home and Abroad, edited by Jorge I. Domínguez. Beverly Hills: Sage.Google Scholar
Fitzgerald, E. V. K. 1978aThe State and Capital Accumulation in Mexico.” Journal of Latin American Studies 10, no. 2 (Nov. 1978):263–82.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Fitzgerald, E. V. K. 1978b Patterns of Public Sector Income and Expenditure in Mexico. Technical Paper Series no. 17. Austin: Office for Public Sector Studies, Institute of Latin American Studies, University of Texas.Google Scholar
Gordon, David 1978 “Mexico: A Survey.” The Economist, 22 April 1978.Google Scholar
Grayson, George 1976The Making of a Mexican President, 1976.” Current History 70, no. 413 (Feb. 1976):4952.Google Scholar
Grindle, Merilee S. 1977aPolicy Change in an Authoritarian Regime: Mexico under Echeverría.” Journal of Interamerican Studies and World Affairs 19, no. 4 (Nov. 1977):523–55.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Grindle, Merilee S. 1977b “Patrons and Clients in the Bureaucracy: Career Networks in Mexico.” LARR 12, no. 1 (1977):3766.Google Scholar
Hall, Linda 1980Mexican Presidentialism from Díaz to Echeverría: An Interpretive Study.” Social Science Journal 17, no. 1 (Jan. 1980):4152.Google Scholar
Hamilton, William 1975Mexico's ‘New’ Foreign Policy: A Reexamination.” Inter-American Economic Affairs 29, no. 3 (Winter 1975):5158.Google Scholar
Hibbs, Douglas 1977Political Parties and Macro-Economic Policy.” American Political Science Review 71 (Dec. 1977):1467–87.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kaye, Harvey 1975How ‘New’ is Mexico's Foreign Policy?Inter-American Economic Affairs 28, no. 4 (Spring 1975):8792.Google Scholar
Koehler, John E. 1972 Economic Policy Making with Little Information and Few Instruments: The Process of Macro-Control in Mexico. Santa Monica: The Rand Corporation.Google Scholar
Levy, Daniel, and Szekely, Gabriel 1983 Mexico: Paradoxes of Stability and Change. Boulder, Colo: Westview.Google Scholar
Loaeza, Soledad 1977 “La política del rumor: México, noviembre-diciembre de 1976.” In Centro de Estudios Internacionales, Las crisis en el sistema político mexicano, 1928-1977. Mexico City: El Colegio de México.Google Scholar
Martinez De La Vega, Francisco 1976¿Crisis del sistema mexicano?Cuadernos Americanos 208, no. 5 (Sept.-Oct. 1976):2935.Google Scholar
Nagle, John D. 1977 System and Succession: The Social Bases of Political Elite Recruitment. Austin: University of Texas Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Needler, Martin C. 1971 Politics and Society in Mexico. Albuquerque: University of New Mexico Press.Google Scholar
Ross, Stanley 1982 “Prophets of Doom, Analysts of Crisis, and Mexican Political Stability.” The Mexican Forum, Dec. 1982.Google Scholar
Santillan Lopez, Roberto, and Figueroa, Aniceto Rosas 1962 Teoría general de las finanzas públicas y el caso de México. Mexico City: Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México.Google Scholar
Segovia, Rafael 1982 “Ante las elecciones.” Vuelta, no. 68 (July 1982).Google Scholar
Sepulveda, Bernardo, and Chumacero, Antonio 1973 La inversión extranjera en México. Mexico City: Fondo de Cultura Económico.Google Scholar
Skidmore, Thomas E., and Smith, Peter H. 1970 “Notes on Quantitative History: Federal Expenditures and Social Change in Mexico since 1910.” LARR 5, no. 1 (1970):7186.Google Scholar
Smith, Peter H. 1979 Labyrinths of Power: Political Recruitment in Twentieth-Century Mexico. Princeton: Princeton University Press.Google Scholar
Tello Macias, Carlos 1979 La política económica en México, 1970-1976. Mexico City: Editorial Siglo Veintiuno.Google Scholar
Tufte, Edward R. 1978 Political Control of the Economy. Princeton: Princeton University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Weller, Barry R. 1983The Political Business Cycle: A Discriminating Analysis.” Social Science Quarterly 64, no. 2 (June 1983):398403.Google Scholar
Wilkie, James W. 1970 The Mexican Revolution: Federal Expenditures and Social Change since 1910. Berkeley: University of California Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar