Hostname: page-component-cd9895bd7-gxg78 Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-12-28T19:34:53.008Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Macroeconomic Deeds, Not Reform Words: The Determinants of Foreign Direct Investment in Latin America

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  05 September 2022

Alfred P. Montero*
Affiliation:
Carleton College
Rights & Permissions [Opens in a new window]

Abstract

Core share and HTML view are not available for this content. However, as you have access to this content, a full PDF is available via the ‘Save PDF’ action button.

Numerous studies on the determinants of foreign direct investment flows in Latin America underscore the importance of risk- and cost-mitigating institutions that support good governance, political and economic freedom, and demonstrate a credible commitment to economic reform by regional governments. This study tests these variables against market size, macroeconomic policy, and factor controls to assess which combinations of variables explain the distribution of foreign inflows. Using a time-series cross-sectional data set of fifteen Latin American economies from 1985 to 2003, the study concludes that past performance on the current account provides sufficient commitment by regional governments and that regime, good governance, and reform variables are, by comparison, inconsistent predictors of foreign direct investment.

Resumo

Resumo

Numerosos estudios sobre los factores que determinan el flujo de inversión extranjera en Latinoamérica subrayan la importancia de las instituciones que rebajan el riesgo y los costes de inversión, las instituciones que apoyan el buen gobierno, las libertades políticas y económicas, y que muestran la dedicación de la región a la reforma económica. Este estudio investiga estas variables en comparación con el tamaño del mercado, las políticas macroeconómicas y factores de producción para averiguar las combinaciones de variables que explican la distribución de los flujos de inversión extranjera. Para el estudio se utilizó una base de datos comparativos y longitudinales de quince economías latinoamericanas desde 1985 a 2003. El estudio concluye que el reciente desempeño del balance comercial proporciona un compromiso suficiente de los gobiernos regionales y por otro lado asegura que el tipo de régimen, buen gobierno y reformas son, por comparación, determinantes débiles de la inversión directa extranjera.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
Copyright © 2008 by the University of Texas Press

Footnotes

*

I thank the three anonymous reviewers for their comments on a previous version of this article. Special thanks to Sam Whittemore for his valuable research assistance. All errors that remain are the author's responsibility.

References

Asiedu, Elizabeth, and Lien, Donald 2004Capital Controls and Foreign Direct Investment.” World Development 32 (3): 479490.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bengoa, Marta, and Sanchez-Robles, Blanca 2003Foreign Direct Investment, Economic Freedom, and Growth: New Evidence from Latin America.” European Journal of Political Economy 19 (3): 529545.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Biglaiser, Glen, and DeRouen, Karl 2006Economic Reforms and Inflows of Foreign Direct Investment in Latin America.” Latin American Research Review 41 (1): 5175.10.1353/lar.2006.0001CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Carranza, Mario E. 2003Can Mercosur Survive? Domestic and International Constraints on Mercosur.” Latin American Politics and Society 45 (2): 67103.10.1111/j.1548-2456.2003.tb00241.xCrossRefGoogle Scholar
Chakrabarti, Avik 2001The Determinants of Foreign Direct Investment: Sensitivity Analyses of Cross-Country Regressions.” Kyklos 54:89113.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Cuadros, Ana, Orts, Vicente, and Alguacil, Maite 2004Openness and Growth: Re-examining Foreign Direct Investment, Trade and Output Linkages in Latin America.” Journal of Development Studies 40 (4): 167192.10.1080/00220380410001673238CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Doremus, Paul N., Keller, William W., Pauly, Louis W., and Reich, Simon 1998 The Myth of the Global Corporation. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.Google Scholar
Dunning, John H. 1981 International Production and the Multinational Enterprise. Boston: Allen & Unwin.Google Scholar
Edwards, Sebastian 1997Bad Luck or Bad Policies? An Economic Analysis of the Crisis.” In Mexico 1994: Anatomy of an Emerging-Market Crash, edited by Edwards, Sebastian and Naím, Moisés, 95124. Washington, D.C.: Carnegie Endowment for Peace.Google Scholar
Eichengreen, Barry 2004What Macroeconomic Measures Are Needed for Free Trade to Flourish in the Western Hemisphere?Latin American Politics and Society 46 (2): 127.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Frieden, Jeffry A. 1991 Debt, Development, and Democracy: Modern Political Economy and Latin America, 1965–1985. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.Google Scholar
Friedman, Thomas 1999 Lexus and the Olive Tree. New York: Farrar, Straus and Giroux.Google Scholar
Friedman, Thomas 2005 The World Is Flat: A Brief History of the Twenty-first Century. New York: Farrar, Straus and Giroux.Google Scholar
Gastanaga, Victor M., Nugent, Jeffrey B., and Pashamova, Bistra 1998Host Country Reforms and FDI Inflows: How Much Difference Do They Make?World Development 26:12991314.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Gereffi, Gary 2001Shifting Governance Structures in Global Commodity Chains, With Special Reference to the Internet.” American Behavioral Scientist 44 (10): 16161638.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Globerman, Steven, and Shapiro, Daniel 2002Global Foreign Direct Investment Flows: The Role of Governance Infrastructure.” World Development 30:18991919.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Görg, Holger, and Wakelin, Katharine 2004 “The Impact of Exchange Rate Variability on U.S. Direct Investment.” Paper prepared for the GEP conference on FDI and Economic Integration, University of Nottingham, June 2930.Google Scholar
Green, Cecilia 1998The Asian Connection: The U.S.-Caribbean Apparel Circuit and a New Model of Industrial Relations.” Latin American Research Review 33 (3): 747.Google Scholar
Hartlyn, Jonathan, and Morley, Samuel A. 1986Political Regimes and Economic Performance in Latin America.” In Latin American Political Economy: Financial Crisis and Political Change, edited by Hartlyn, Jonathan and Morley, Samuel A., 1537. Boulder, CO: Westview Press.Google Scholar
Henisz, Witold J. 2000The Institutional Environment for Multinational Investment.” Journal of Law, Economics and Organization 16 (2): 334364.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Heo, Uk, and DeRouen, Karl 2002Modernization and Dependency Revisited: U.S. Direct Investment, Development, and Polity in Latin America, 1950–1998.” Global Economic Review 31 (3): 6793.10.1080/12265080208422900CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Jensen, Nathan M. 2003Democratic Governance and Multinational Corporations: Political Regimes and Inflows of Foreign Direct Investment.” International Organization 57 (Summer): 587616.10.1017/S0020818303573040CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Li, Quan, and Resnick, Adam 2003Reversal of Fortunes: Democratic Institutions and Foreign Direct Investment Inflows to Developing Countries.” International Organization 57 (Winter): 175211.10.1017/S0020818303571077CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Lora, Eduardo 2001 “Structural Reforms in Latin America: What Has Been Reformed and How to Measure It.” Working Paper No. 466, Inter-American Development Bank (December).Google Scholar
Loser, Claudio M., and Williams, Ewart S. 1997The Mexican Crisis and Its Aftermath: An IMF Perspective.” In Mexico 1994: Anatomy of an Emerging-Market Crash, edited by Edwards, Sebastian and Naím, Moisés, 259273. Washington, D.C.: Carnegie Endowment for Peace.Google Scholar
Markusen, James R., and Maskus, Keith E. 1999 “Multinational Firms: Reconciling Theory and Evidence.” Working Paper No. 7163, National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge, MA. Montero, Alfred P.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Markusen, James R., and Maskus, Keith E. 1998State Interests and the New Industrial Policy in Brazil: The Case of the Privatization of Steel, 1990–1994.” Journal of Interamerican Studies and World Affairs 40 (3): 2762.Google Scholar
Morley, Samuel A., Machado, Roberto, and Pettinato, Stefano 1999Indexes of Structural Reform in Latin America.” Reformas Económicas 12:134.Google Scholar
Mortimore, Michael, and Vergara, Sebastian 2004Targeting Winners: Can Foreign Direct Investment Policy Help Developing Countries Industrialise.” The European Journal of Development Research 16 (3): 499530.Google Scholar
Oneal, John R. 1994The Affinity of Foreign Investors for Authoritarian Regimes.” Political Research Quarterly 47 (3): 565588.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Rodrik, Dani 1989Promises, Promises: Credible Policy Reform via Signaling.” The Economic Journal 99:756772.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Rodrik, Dani 2000Institutions for High-Quality Growth: What They Are and How to Acquire Them.” Studies in Comparative International Development 35 (3): 331.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Santos-Paulino, Amelia U. 2004Trade Liberalization and the Balance of Payments in Selected Developing Countries.” The Manchester School 72 (1): 100118.10.1111/j.1467-9957.2004.00382.xCrossRefGoogle Scholar
Schoenberger, Erica 1994Competition, Time, and Space in Industrial Change.” In Commodity Chains and Global Capitalism, edited by Gereffi, Gary and Korzeniewicz, Miguel, 5166. Westport, CT: Praeger.Google Scholar
Strange, Susan 1992States, Firms, and Diplomacy.” International Affairs 68 (1): 115.10.2307/2620458CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Teichman, Judith A. 2001 The Politics of Freeing Markets in Latin America: Chile, Argentina, and Mexico. Chapel Hill: University of North Carolina Press.Google Scholar
Trevino, Len J., Daniels, John D., and Arbeláez, Harvey 2002Market Reform and FDI in Latin America: An Empirical Investigation.” Transnational Corporations 11 (1): 2948.Google Scholar
Trevino, Len J., Daniels, John D., Arbeláez, Harvey, and Upadhyaya, Kamal P. 2002Market Reform and Foreign Direct Investment in Latin America: Evidence from an Error Correction Model.” The International Trade Journal 16 (4): 367392.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Tuman, John P. 2006Commentary: Regime Type, Rights, and Foreign Direct Investment in Latin America.” Latin American Research Review 41 (2): 183185.10.1353/lar.2006.0033CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Tuman, John P. and Emmert, Craig F. 1999Explaining Japanese Foreign Direct Investment in Latin America, 1979–1992.” Social Science Quarterly 80 (3): 539555.Google Scholar
Tuman, John P. and Emmert, Craig F. 2004The Political Economy of U.S. Foreign Direct Investment in Latin America: A Reappraisal.” Latin American Research Review 39 (3): 928.Google Scholar
Tuman, John P., and Morris, John T. 1998The Transformation of the Latin American Automobile Industry.” In Transforming the Latin American Automobile Industry: Unions, Workers, and the Politics of Restructuring, edited by Tuman, John P. and Morris, John T., 325. New York: ME Sharpe.Google Scholar
Tures, John A. 2003The Impact of Instability and Institutions on U.S. Foreign Direct Investment in Developing Areas.” Conflict, Security and Development 3 (2): 163183.10.1080/1467880032000126903CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Vernon, Raymond 1971 Sovereignty at Bay: The Multinational Spread of U.S. Enterprises. New York: Basic Books.Google Scholar
Wei, Shang-Jin 2000How Taxing Is Corruption on International Investors?The Review of Economics and Statistics 82 (1): 111.CrossRefGoogle Scholar