Hostname: page-component-586b7cd67f-g8jcs Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-11-22T16:14:16.737Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Policy Legacies, Sociopolitical Coalitions, and the Limits of the Right Turn in Latin America: The Argentine Case in Comparative Perspective

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  07 February 2022

Gabriel Vommaro
Affiliation:
Gabriel Vommaro is a professor in the Escuela Interdisciplinaria de Altos Estudios Sociales, Universidad de San Martín and CONICET, San Martín, Buenos Aires, Argentina. [email protected]
Mariana Gené
Affiliation:
Mariana Gené is an assistant professor in the Escuela Interdisciplinaria de Altos Estudios Sociales, Universidad de San Martin and CONICET. [email protected].

Abstract

After more than a decade of leftist governments in Latin America, the left turn began to reverse course, giving way to the rise of rightist political forces. Even moderate right-wing governments undertook reforms to reduce public spending. This agenda, however, encountered important obstacles. Focusing on the 2017 Argentine pension reform and based on extensive qualitative research, including in-depth interviews with key players, the findings here uphold previous work on the strength of policy legacies in opposition to promarket reforms. This study contributes to the existing theory by showing that protests against retrenchment favor the formation of opposition coalitions only in places where left-leaning governments had established inroads with organized popular sectors, maintaining relationships of coordination and collaboration. In these cases, the cost of specific reforms can jeopardize the broader project of retrenchment.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
© The Authors 2022. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of the University of Miami

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

Footnotes

Conflicts of interest: authors declare none.

References

Abrevaya, Sebastián. 2017. Media sanción al ajuste para los jubilados. Página 12, November 30.Google Scholar
Financiero, Ámbito. 2017. Según una encuesta, el 85 percent de los argentinos cree que la reforma previsional “es mala.” December 21.Google Scholar
Anria, Santiago, and Chambers-Ju, Christopher. 2019. Parties and Non-State Actors in Latin America. In The Oxford Research Encyclopedia of Politics, ed. William, R. Thompson. Oxford: Oxford University Press.Google Scholar
Anria, Santiago, and Cyr, Jennifer. 2017. Inside Revolutionary Parties: Coalition-Building and Maintenance in Reformist Bolivia. Comparative Political Studies 50, 9: 1255–87.10.1177/0010414016666860CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Arenas de Mesa, Alberto. 2019. Los sistemas de pensiones en la encrucijada. Desafíos para la sostenibilidad en América Latina. Santiago de Chile: ECLAC.Google Scholar
Arndt, Christoph. 2013. The Electoral Consequences of Third Way Welfare State Reforms: Social Democracy’s Transformation and Its Political Costs. Amsterdam: Amsterdam University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Becker, Marc. 2013. The Stormy Relationships Between Rafael Correa and Social Movements in Ecuador. Latin American Perspectives 40, 3: 4362.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Becker, Marc, and Riofrancos, Thea N.. 2018. A Souring Friendship, A Left Divided. NACLA Report on the Americas 50, 2: 124–27.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Biglaiser, Glen. 2016. Mandate and the Market: Policy Outcomes Under the Left in Latin America. Comparative Politics 48, 2: 185204.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bril-Mascarenhas, Tomás, and Maillet, Antoine. 2019. The Political Economy of Pension Regulation in Chile, 1990–2018. Latin American Politics and Society 61, 1: 101–25.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Campello, Daniella, and Zucco, Cesar Jr. 2016. Presidential Success and the World Economy. Journal of Politics 78, 2: 589602.10.1086/684749CrossRefGoogle Scholar
La Capital . 2017. Facundo Moyano dijo que “molesta el cinismo del gobierno.” December 18.Google Scholar
Castiglioni, Rossana. 2005. Reforma de pensiones en América Latina: orígenes y estrategias, 1980–2002. Revista de Ciencia Política 25, 2: 173–89.Google Scholar
Conaghan, Catherine M. 2015. Surveil and Sanction: The Return of the State and Societal Regulation in Ecuador. European Review of Latin American and Caribbean Studies 98: 727.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Conaghan, Catherine M. 2018. Ecuador’s Unexpected Transition. Current History 117, 796: 4955.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Saco, Cruz, María, A., and Mesa-Lago, Carmelo, eds. 1998. Do Options Exist? The Reform of Pension and Health Care Systems in Latin America. Pittsburgh: University of Pittsburgh Press.Google Scholar
De la Torre, Carlos. 2010. El gobierno de Rafael Correa: posneoliberalismo, confrontación con los movimientos y democracia plebiscitaria. Temas y Debates 20: 157–72.Google Scholar
De la Torre, Carlos. 2013. El tecnopopulismo de Rafael Correa: ¿es compatible el carisma con la tecnocracia? Latin American Research Review 48, 1: 2443.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Diagonales . 2017. Encuesta sobre la reforma previsional y laboral de Macri arroja números adversos a Cambiemos. November 21. https://diagonales.com/app.php/contenido/encuesta-sobre-la-reforma-previsional-y-laboral-de-macri-arroja-nmeros-adversos-a-cambiemos/6687 Google Scholar
Esping-Andersen, Gosta. 1999. Social Foundations of Postindustrial Economies. New York: Oxford University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Etchemendy, Sebastián. 2001. Constructing Reform Coalitions: The Politics of Compensations in Argentina’s Economic Liberalization. Latin American Politics and Society 43, 3: 135.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Etchemendy, Sebastián. 2011. Models of Economic Liberalization: Business, Workers and Compensation in Latin America, Spain and Portugal. New York: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Etchemendy, Sebastián. 2019. The Politics of Popular Coalitions: Unions and Territorial Social Movements in Post-Neoliberal Latin America (2000–15). Journal of Latin American Studies 52, 1: 157–88.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Fairfield, Tasha. 2015. Private Wealth and Public Revenue in Latin America: Business Power and Tax Politics. New York: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Fairfield, Tasha, and Garay, Candelaria. 2017. Redistribution Under the Right in Latin America: Electoral Competition and Organized Actors in Policymaking. Comparative Political Studies 50, 14: 18711906.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Franco, Liliana. 2012. Cristina defendió el impuesto a las ganancias y fustigó a Moyano. Ámbito, June 26. https://www.ambito.com/politica/cristina-defendio-el-impuesto-las-ganancias-y-fustigo-moyano-n3742915 Google Scholar
Freytes, Carlos, and Niedzwiecki, Sara. 2018. Argentina 2017: la dinámica intertemporal de la reestructuración económica. Revista de Ciencia Política 38, 2: 125–58.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Garay, Candelaria. 2016. Social Policy Expansion in Latin America. New York: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Gerring, John. 2008. Case Selection for Case-Study Analysis: Qualitative and Quantitative Techniques. In The Oxford Handbook of Political Methodology, ed. Box- Steffensmeier, Janet M., Brady, Henry E., and Collier, David. New York: Oxford University Press.Google Scholar
Giger, Nathalie, and Nelson, Moira. 2011. The Electoral Consequences of Welfare State Retrenchment: Blame Avoidance or Credit Claiming in the Era of Permanent Austerity? European Journal of Political Research 50, 1: 123.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Grabois, Juan. 2019. Leader, Confederation of Workers of the Popular Economy. Author interview. Buenos Aires, December 5.Google Scholar
Hacker, Jacob S. 2004. Privatizing Risk Without Privatizing the Welfare State: The Hidden Politics of Social Policy Retrenchment in the United States. American Political Science Review 98, 1: 243–60.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Holland, Alisha, and Ross Schneider, Ben. 2017. Easy and Hard Redistribution: The Political Economy of Welfare States in Latin America. Perspectives on Politics 15, 4: 9881006.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Huber, Evelyn, and Stephens, John D.. 2000. The Political Economy of Pension Reform: Latin America in Comparative Perspective. Occasional Paper 7. Genéva.Google Scholar
Huber, Evelyn, and Stephens, John D.. 2012. Democracy and the Left: Social Policy and Inequality in Latin America. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Infobae . 2017. Piedrazos, gases y balas de goma antes y después de la frustrada sesión. Noticiasnet, December 14.Google Scholar
International Monetary Fund (IMF). 2016. Argentina 2016: Article IV Consultation. Country Report no. 16/346. Washington DC: IMF.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kay, Stephen J. 1999. Unexpected Privatizations: Politics and Social Security Reform in the Southern Cone. Comparative Politics 31, 4: 403–22.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Lalander, Rickard, and Ospina Peralta, Pablo. 2012. Movimiento indígena y revolución ciudadana en Ecuador. Cuestiones Políticas 28, 48: 1350.Google Scholar
Le Quang, Mathieu, Chávez, Nila, and Vizuete, Daniel. 2020. El octubre plebeyo: cronología de doce días de movilización social. In Octubre y el derecho a la resistencia: revuelta popular y neoliberalismo autoritario en Ecuador, ed. Gallegos, Franklin Ramírez. Buenos Aires: CLACSO. 5383.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Levitsky, Steven. 2003. Transforming Labor-Based Parties in Latin America: Argentine Peronism in Comparative Perspective. New York: Cambridge University Press. CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Levitsky, Steven, and Roberts, Kenneth. 2011. The Resurgence of the Latin American Left. Baltimore: Johns Hopkins University Press.Google Scholar
Lodola, Germán. 2005. Protesta popular y redes clientelares en la Argentina: el reparto federal del Plan Trabajar (1996–2001). Desarrollo Económico 44, 176: 515–36.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Longa, Francisco. 2019. Historia del movimiento Evita. Buenos Aires: Siglo XXI.Google Scholar
Luna, Juan P., and Rovira Kaltwasser, Cristóbal, eds. 2014. The Resilience of the Latin American Right. Baltimore: John Hopkins University Press.Google Scholar
Madrid, Raúl. 2003. Retiring the State: The Politics of Pension Privatization in Latin America and Beyond. Stanford: Stanford University Press.Google Scholar
Martínez Franzoni, Juliana, and Sánchez-Ancochea, Diego. 2014. The Double Challenge of Market and Social Incorporation: Progress and Bottlenecks in Latin America. Development Policy Review 32, 3: 275–98.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Mayol, Federico. 2017. Marcos Peña sobre la reforma previsional: “Consideramos que habrá mayoría necesaria para sacar la ley.” Infobae, December 13.Google Scholar
Menéndez, Daniel. 2020. Leader of Barrios de Pie movement. Author interview. Buenos Aires, March 9.Google Scholar
Mesa-Lago, Carmelo, and Müller, Katharina. 2002. The Politics of Pension Reform in Latin America. Journal of Latin American Studies 34, 3: 687715.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Minister of Security. 2020. Minister of Security during Cambiemos government. Author interview. Buenos Aires, March 19.Google Scholar
Moreno, Matías. 2017. Reforma previsional: así festejó la oposición tras el levantamiento de la sesión. La Nación, December, 14.Google Scholar
Morresi, Sergio, and Vommaro, Gabriel. 2014. The Difficulties of the Partisan Right and the Case of the PRO Party. In Luna and Rovira Kaltwasser 2014. 319–45.Google Scholar
Murillo, María V. 2001. Labor Unions, Partisan Coalitions, and Market Reforms in Latin America. New York: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Murillo, María V. 2005. Partisanship Amidst Convergence: The Politics of Labor Reform in Latin America. Comparative Politics 37, 4: 441–58.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Murillo, María V., Rubio, Julia, and Mangonnet, Jorge. 2016. Argentina: el protagonismo de los votantes y la alternancia electoral. Revista de Ciencia Política 36, 1: 326.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
La Nación . 2017a. Mauricio Macri, en el CCK: “Tenemos que avanzar en reformas donde cada uno ceda un poco.” October 30.Google Scholar
La Nación . 2017b. Facundo Moyano sobre las reformas: “Más que la Banelco, es la Rapipago por la urgencia del gobierno.” December 13.Google Scholar
La Nación . 2017c. Elisa Carrió: “Un DNU violaría gravemente la Constitución Naciónal.” December 14.Google Scholar
Navarro, Fernando “Chino.” 2020. Leader of the Evita Movement. Author interview. Buenos Aires, March 18.Google Scholar
Niedzwiecki, Sara. 2014. The Effect of Unions and Organized Civil Society on Social Policy: Pension and Health Reforms in Argentina and Brazil, 1988–2008. Latin American Pol- itics and Society 56, 4: 2248.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Niedzwiecki, Sara, and Pribble, Jennifer. 2017. Social Policies and Center-Right Governments in Argentina and Chile. Latin American Politics and Society 59, 3: 7297.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Página 12 . 2017. Con la amenaza del decretazo. December 15.Google Scholar
Pepe, Gabriela. 2017. Un pacto de macristas y peronistas selló otro ajuste histórico a los jubilados. Letra P, December 19.Google Scholar
Pereira, Guillermo. 2019. Qué gobiernos enfrentaron más paros desde el retorno a la democracia. El Cronista, May 29.Google Scholar
Perelmiter, Luisina, and Marcalle, Malena. 2021. Élites estatales y gestión social en la Argentina de Cambiemos. Revista Mexicana de Sociología 83, 1: 185213.Google Scholar
Perfil . 2017a. Cambiemos acordó con Carrió para “bancar” la reforma previsional. December 11.Google Scholar
Perfil . 2017b. Sobre el filo de la sesión, reunión con gobernadores. December 18.Google Scholar
Pierson, Paul. 1994. Dismantling the Welfare State? Reagan, Thatcher and the Politics of Retrenchment. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Pierson, Paul, ed. 2001. The New Politics of the Welfare State. New York: Oxford University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Pribble, Jennifer. 2013. Welfare and Party Politics in Latin America. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Ramírez Gallegos, Franklin. 2016. Political Change, State Autonomy, and Post- Neoliberalism in Ecuador, 2007–2012. Latin American Perspectives 43, 1: 143–57.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Ramírez Gallegos, Franklin. 2019. Las masas en octubre: Ecuador y las colisiones de clase. Nueva Sociedad 284: 1527.Google Scholar
Rennó, Lucio. 2020. The Bolsonaro Voter: Issue Positions and Vote Choice in the 2018 Brazilian Presidential Elections. Latin American Politics and Society 62, 3: 123.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Rossi, Federico. 2017. The Poor’s Struggle for Political Incorporation: The Piquetero Movement in Argentina. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Seawright, Jason, and Gerring, John. 2008. Case Selection Techniques in Case Study Research: A Menu of Qualitative and Quantitative Options. Political Research Quarterly 61, 2: 294308.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Silva, Eduardo , and Rossi, Federico, eds. 2018. Reshaping the Political Arena in Latin America: From Resisting Neoliberalism to the Second Incorporation. Pittsburgh: University of Pittsburgh Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Slipczuk, Martin. 2017. Claves del proyecto de reforma previsionai que aprobó el Congreso. Chequeado.com, December 18.Google Scholar
Stokes, Susan. 2001. Mandates and Democracy: Neoliberalism by Surprise in Latin America. New York: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Struminger, Brenda. 2017. El Senado debate la reforma previsional y hubo una protesta frente al Congreso. La Nación, November 29.Google Scholar
Sturzenegger, Federico. 2020. Macri’s Macro: The Meandering Road to Stability and Growth. In Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Fall 2019. Washington, DC: Brookings Institution Press. https://www.brookings.edu/book/brookings-papers-on-economic-activity-fall-2019/ Google Scholar
Sued, Gabriel. 2019. Los secretos del Congreso. Buenos Aires: Ediciones B.Google Scholar
Svampa, Maristella, and Pereyra, Sebastián. 2003. Entre la ruta y el barrio. La experiencia de las organizaciones piqueteras. Buenos Aires: Biblos.Google Scholar
Van Cott, Donna L. 2005. From Movements to Parties in Latin America. New York: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Vommaro, Gabriel. 2019. De la construcción partidaria al gobierno: PRO-Cambiemos y los límites del “giro a la derecha” en Argentina. Colombia Internacional 99: 91120.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Vommaro, Gabriel, and Gené, Mariana. 2017. Argentina: el año de Cambiemos. Revista de Ciencia Política 37, 2: 227–49.Google Scholar
Weyland, Kurt. 1996. Democracy Without Equity: Failures of Reform in Brazil. Pittsburgh: University of Pittsburgh Press.Google Scholar
Yashar, Deborah J. 2005. Contesting Citizenship in Latin America: The Rise of Indigenous Movements and the Postliberal Challenge. New York: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar