Hostname: page-component-78c5997874-v9fdk Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-11-09T09:22:23.541Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Liberal and Illiberal Democracy in Latin America

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  02 January 2018

Peter H. Smith
Affiliation:
University of California, San Diego. [email protected]
Melissa R. Ziegler
Affiliation:
University of California, San Diego. [email protected]

Abstract

This article examines the incidence of liberal and “illiberal” democracy in Latin America from 1978 through 2004. It demonstrates, first, that illiberal democracy—which combines free and fair elections with systematic constraints on citizens’ rights—became the norm throughout the region. Second, it shows that regime transitions most often ended not in liberal democracy but in illiberal democracy. Third, rare events logit analysis reveals that two variables, hyperinflation and presidential elections, had significant impact on movement toward fuller democracy. As a form of short-term economic shock, hyperinflation generates widespread discontent; given the opportunity to vote, citizens elect reformist opposition candidates who, once in office, remove controls on civil liberties. This scenario substantially increases the likelihood of transition from illiberal to liberal democracy.

Type
Research
Copyright
Copyright © University of Miami 2008

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Banks, Arthur. 2006. Cross-National Time-Series Data Archive. Databanks International. <http://www.databanks.sitehosting.net/Default.htm>.Google Scholar
Carothers, Thomas. 2002. The End of the Transition Paradigm. Journal of Democracy 13, 1: 521.Google Scholar
Cingranelli, David L., and Richards, David L.. 1999. Measuring the Level, Pattern, and Sequence of Government Respect for Human Rights. International Studies Quarterly 43, 2: 407–18.Google Scholar
Collier, David, and Levitsky, Stephen. 1997. Democracy with Adjectives: Conceptual Innovation in Comparative Research. World Politics 49, 3: 430–51.Google Scholar
Committee to Protect Journalists.Various years. Attacks on the Press: A Worldwide Survey by the Committee to Protect Journalists. New York : Committee to Protect Journalists.Google Scholar
Dahl, Robert A. 1971. Polyarchy: Participation and Opposition. New Haven : Yale University Press.Google Scholar
Diamond, Larry. 1999. Developing Democracy: Toward Consolidation. Baltimore : Johns Hopkins University Press.Google Scholar
Diamond, Larry, and Molino, Leonardo, eds. 2005. Assessing the Quality of Democracy. Baltimore : Johns Hopkins University Press.Google Scholar
Epstein, Edward. 1984. Legitimacy, Institutionalization, and Opposition in Exclusionary Bureaucratic Authoritarian Regimes. Comparative Politics 17: 3754.Google Scholar
Gasiorowski, Mark J. 1995. Economic Crisis and Political Regime Change: an Event History Analysis. American Political Science Review 89, 4: 882–97.Google Scholar
Hagopian, Frances, and Mainwaring, Scott, eds. 2005. The Third Wave of Democratization in Latin America: Advances and Setbacks. Cambridge : Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Kaufman, Robert 1979. Industrial Change and Authoritarian Rule in Latin America: A Concrete Review of the Bureaucratic-Authoritarian Model. In The New Authoritarianism in Latin America, ed. Collier, David. Princeton : Princeton University Press. 165253.Google Scholar
King, Gary, and Zeng, Langche. 2001. Logistic Regression in Rare Events Data. Political Analysis 9, 2: 137–63.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Lustig, Nora, ed. 1995. Coping with Austerity: Poverty and Inequality in Latin America. Washington, DC : Brookings Institution Press.Google Scholar
Mainwaring, Scott, and Pérez-Liñán, Aníbal 2005. Latin American Democratization since 1978: Democratic Transitions, Breakdowns, and Erosions. In Hagopian and Mainwaring 2005. 1459.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Mainwaring, Scott, and Scully, Timothy R., eds. 1995. Building Democratic Institutions: Party Systems in Latin America. Stanford : Stanford University Press.Google Scholar
O'Donnell, Guillermo 1994. Delegative Democracy. Journal of Democracy 5, 1 (January): 5569.Google Scholar
O'Donnell, Guillermo, Cullell, Jorge Vargas, and Iazzatta, Osvaldo M., eds. 2004. The Quality of Democracy: Theory and Applications. Notre Dame : University of Notre Dame Press.Google Scholar
Przeworski, Adam. 2000. Democracy and Development: Political Institutions and Well-Being in the World, 1950–1990. Cambridge : Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Przeworski, Adam, Alvarez, Michael, Cheibub, José Antonio, and Limongi, Fernando. 1996. What Makes Democracies Endure Journal of Democracy 7, 1: 3955.Google Scholar
Remmer, Karen. 1990. Debt or Democracy? The Political Impact of the Debt Crisis in Latin America. In Debt and Transfiguration? Prospects for Latin America's Economic Revival, ed. Felix, David. Armonk , NY : M. E. Sharpe. 6378.Google Scholar
Schedler, Andreas. 2002. Elections without Democracy: the Menu of Manipulation. Journal of Democracy 13, 1: 3650.Google Scholar
Schedler, Andreas, ed. 2006. Electoral Authoritarianism: The Dynamics of Unfree Competition. Boulder : Lynne Rienner.Google Scholar
Smith, Peter H. 2004. Los ciclos de democracia electoral en América Latina, 1900–2000. Política y Gobierno 11, 2: 189228.Google Scholar
Smith, Peter H. 2005. Democracy in Latin America: Political Change in Comparative Perspective. New York : Oxford University Press.Google Scholar
Smith, Peter H., and Ziegler, Melissa. 2006. Illiberal and Liberal Democracy in Latin America. Paper presented at the 26th International Congress of the Latin American Studies Association, March 15–18, San Juan, Puerto Rico.Google Scholar
Tomz, Michael, King, Gary, and Zeng, Langche. 1999. ReLogit: Rare Events Logistic Regression. Stata Version 1.1: 10/29/99.Google Scholar
U.S. State Department. Various years. Country Reports on Human Rights Practices. Washington, DC : U.S. Government Printing Office.Google Scholar
World Bank. 2004. World Development Indicators Database 2004. Washington, DC : World Bank. <http://devdata.worldbank.org/dataonline/>..>Google Scholar
Zakaria, Fareed 1997. The Rise of Illiberal Democracy. Foreign Affairs. 76, 6 (November-December): 2243.Google Scholar