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Keeping Up with the Souzas: Social Influence and Electoral Change in a Weak Party System, Brazil 2002–2006

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  02 January 2018

Barry Ames ,
Miguel García-Sánchez  and
Amy Erica Smith
Barry Ames
Affiliation:
University of Pittsburgh
Miguel García-Sánchez
Affiliation:
Universidad de los Andes
Amy Erica Smith
Affiliation:
Iowa State University
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Abstract

Despite weak partisanship and considerable political change in the wake of the 2002 election, three-quarters of Brazilian voters supported a presidential candidate in 2006 from the same party they had backed in 2002. This article assesses the factors causing both electoral stability and electoral change with a transition model, a model testing whether the effects of respondents' evaluative criteria depend on their initial vote choices. Social context—personal discussion networks, neighborhood influences, and the interactions of social networks and municipal context—is the major force promoting stability and change, while the impact of partisanship is limited to a small share of voters.

Type
Research Article
Information
Latin American Politics and Society , Volume 54 , Issue 2 , Summer 2012 , pp. 51 - 78
Copyright
Copyright © University of Miami 2012

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