Hostname: page-component-78c5997874-xbtfd Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-11-09T19:52:21.324Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

On Waring's B-formula

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  27 November 2014

Get access

Extract

In the theory of Life Contingencies there arises the problem of determining the probability that exactly r lives shall survive a stated period of time out of n lives of different ages. This is of course a special case of a general question in Probability which may be stated thus: If there are n independent events whose individual probabilities of occurring at a single trial are p1,p2pn, what in terms of p1,p2pn is the probability that at a single trial of each exactly r of them shall occur?

The developments given in the text-books of King and Spurgeon are familiar to all, but these are not the only methods that have been evolved. Different proofs have appeared from time to time in various publications, most of them in foreign languages, and it is the object of the present paper to collect these together so that they may be easily accessible for reference and comparison. This would appear to be desirable because the question cited above is fundamental in Life Contingencies and in Probability, and also because some of the most satisfactory proofs are to be found only in foreign technical works and have not hitherto been published in English.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
Copyright © Institute of Actuaries Students' Society 1947

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

REFERENCES

Baily, F. (1811). The Doctrine of Life-Annuities and Assurances. London.Google Scholar
Berger, A. (1930). Über eine Frage der Wahrscheinlichkeitsrechnung und ihre Anwendung in der Versicherungsmathematik. Blätter für Versich.-Math. I, 291.Google Scholar
Burnside, W. (1928). Theory of Probability. Cambridge.Google Scholar
Chrystal, G. (1885). Algebra, Vol. II. Edinburgh.Google Scholar
Coolidge, J. L. (1925). An Introduction to Mathematical Probability. Oxford.Google Scholar
Czuber, E. (1903). Wahrscheinlichkeitsrechnung und ihre Anwendung, etc. Leipzig.Google Scholar
Hargreave, C. J. (1853). On the valuation of life contingencies by means of tables of single and joint lives. Phil. Mag. [reprinted J.I.A. III, 209].Google Scholar
King, G. (1881). On a general expression for the value of an annuity on the last r survivors of m lives– . J.I.A. XXII, 293.Google Scholar
Martinotti, P. (1934). Sul calcolo delle probabilità di sopravvivenza dei gruppi. Gior. Math. Finanz. IV (2nd series), 41.Google Scholar
Sersawy, V. (1899). Zusammengesetze Sterbens- und Lebenswahrscheinlichkeiten. Mitt. Verb. Österr. Ungar. Versich.-techniker, I, II.Google Scholar
Spurgeon, E. F. (1922). Life Contingencies. Cambridge.Google Scholar
Steffensen, J. F. (1923). Matematisk Iagttagelseslaere. Copenhagen.Google Scholar
Toja, G. (1902). Sopra alcune formole del calcolo delle probabilità. Boll. Assoc. Ital. per l'incremento Sci. Att. XII, 36.Google Scholar
Waring, E. (1792). On the Principles of Translating Algebraic Quantities into Probable Relations and Annuities, etc. Cambridge.Google Scholar