Hostname: page-component-586b7cd67f-l7hp2 Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-11-26T23:04:51.103Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

An Econometric Analysis of the New Hampshire Housing Market

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  10 May 2017

Daniel L. Dunn
Affiliation:
Institute of Natural and Environmental Resources, University of New Hampshire
Bruce E. Lindsay
Affiliation:
Institute of Natural and Environmental Resources, University of New Hampshire
Get access

Extract

For the past two decades, New Hampshire has faced rapidly increasing population levels with the main thrust occurring in the southern portion of the State. For example, between 1960 and 1975, it is estimated that New Hampshire's population has increased by approximately 35 percent (New Hampshire Office of Comprehensive Planning [1978]). Employment has grown 105.6 percent between 1940 and 1970 for the three southern counties of the State (United States Department of Commerce [1975]). This trend of economic and population expansion has important implications for the State as a whole. These phenomena have put a severe strain upon the provision of municipal services, inflated land prices and increased property taxes. How New Hampshire as a state will deal with its situation in future years will depend in part on two parameters: (1) the value judgments (or lack thereof) contained in policy decisions about how development should expand, and (2) the amount and comprehensiveness of information supplied on which to base decisions. It is the latter parameter to which this paper addresses itself.

Type
Contributed Papers
Copyright
Copyright © Northeastern Agricultural and Resource Economics Association 

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

Footnotes

This research is funded by regional project NE-125 entitled “Socioeconomic Factors and Rural Land Use.” We gratefully acknowledge Gail Hoyt and Glenn Manchester for assisting in the data collection. Scientific Contribution Number 1050 from the New Hampshire Agricultural Experiment Station.

References

Amemiya, T., “A Note on a Fair and Jaffee Model,” Econometrica, 1974.Google Scholar
Basmann, R. L., “Letter to the Editor,” Econometrica, October 1962, pp. 824826.Google Scholar
Brady, Eugene A., “An Econometric Analysis of the U.S. Residential Housing Market,” In National Housing Models, ed. Bruce Ricks, R., Lexington: Lexington Press, 1973.Google Scholar
Cassidy, H. and Valentini, J., “A Quarterly Econometric Model of the U.S. Housing, Mortgage and Deposit Markets,” Paper presented at the winter meetings of the American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, 1972.Google Scholar
DeLeeuw, Frank and Gramlich, E., “The Federal Reserve—MIT Econometric Model,” Federal Reserve Bulletin, January 1968.Google Scholar
Dunlop, J. and Mills, D., “Manpower in Construction,” In Report of the President's Committee on Urban Housing: Technical Studies, Vol. 2, 1968.Google Scholar
Dunn, Daniel L., “A Univariate Analysis of the U.S. Residential Construction Sector,” Unpublished mimeograph, University of New Hampshire, 1979.Google Scholar
Fair, Ray C., “Monthly Housing Starts,” In National Housing Models, ed. Bruce Ricks, R., Lexington: Lexington Press, 1973.Google Scholar
Fair, R. and Jaffee, D., “Methods of Estimation for Markets in Disequilibrium,” Econometrica, 40, May 1972.Google Scholar
Gramlich, E. M. and Jaffee, D. M., Savings Deposits, Mortgages, and Housing, Lexington: Lexington Books, 1972.Google Scholar
Huang, David S., “A Study of the Market for New Housing Units,” American Statistical Association, Proceedings of the Business and Economics Statistics Section, Washington, D.C., 1969.Google Scholar
Maddala, G. S., Econometrics, New York: McGraw-Hill, 1977.Google Scholar
Maddala, G. S. and Nelson, F. D., “Maximum Likelihood Methods for Models of Markets in Disequilibrium,” Econometrica, 1974.Google Scholar
Maisel, Sherman, “Nonbusiness Construction,” in the Brookings Quarterly Econometric Model of the United States, ed. Duesenberry, G. G. et al., 1965.Google Scholar
Mills, D., Industrial Relations and Manpower in Construction, Cambridge: MIT Press, 1972.Google Scholar
Muth, Richard, “The Demand for Nonfarm Housing,” in the Demand for Durable Goods, ed. Harberger, A.C., Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 1960.Google Scholar
Office of Comprehensive Planning, State of New Hampshire, Estimates of Resident Populations, Concord, New Hampshire, 1974–1977.Google Scholar
Poole, W., “Housing Finance Under Inflationary Conditions,” In Ways to Moderate Fluctuations in Housing Construction, Federal Reserve Staff Study, Board of Governors of the Federal System, December, 1972.Google Scholar
Ricks, R. Bruce, National Housing Models, Lexington: Lexington Books, 1973.Google Scholar
Swan, C., “Labor and Material Requirements for Homebuilding,” Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Issue 2, 1971.Google Scholar
Swan, C.Housing Subsidies and Housing Markets,” Housing in the Seventies Working Papers, Vol. 2, National Housing and Urban Development, 1976.Google Scholar
Tomek, W. G., “R2 in TSLS and GLS Estimation,” AJAE, November 1973, p. 670.Google Scholar
U.S. Department of Commerce, Regional Employment by Industry, 1940–1970, 1975.Google Scholar