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On a New Method of Constructing and of Graduation Mortality and other Tables

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  18 August 2016

Extract

This is the fourth, and, let it be hoped, the last, of a series of papers on mortality tables in their various aspects which the Institute has honoured me by accepting. The investigation had its origin many years ago in efforts to improve upon the then methods of constructing mortality tables from Census Returns; and, when the enquiry seemed to be nearing its conclusion, the fact became evident that the formulas which had presented themselves could be applied effectively in summation form to the graduation of tables derived from other sources. There was, however, a preliminary objection to be overcome. Summation Formulas of Graduation were under a cloud. Dr. Sprague had condemned them in unmeasured terms, and Mr. Todhunter, in the head-note to his paper (J.I.A., xxxii, 378), had accepted Dr. Sprague's authoritative judgment. Hence my first paper of the series, “On the Error introduced into Mortality Tables by Summation Formulas of Graduation”, (J.I.A., xli, 54), wherein it was attempted, and, I think, successfully, to show that that error is generally so minute as, with ordinary care, to be safely negligible in practice.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
Copyright © Institute and Faculty of Actuaries 1909

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References

page 112 note * The summations are here taken from the oldest age to the youngest, the reverse of the order usual in integrating. This is in accordance with the course followed in the Census Paper, copying the example of the General Register Office. With this explanation no confusion is likely to arise.

page 122 note * See, however, pars. To and 80 of the Addendum.—G. K.

page 167 note * The numbering of the paragraphs and tables of this Addendum is, for convenience of reference, consecutive with that of the original paper.