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Projecting the spread of AIDS in the United Kingdom: a sensitivity analysis

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  20 April 2012

C. D. Daykin ,
P. N. S. Clark ,
M. J. Eves ,
S. Haberman ,
D. J. le Grys ,
J. Lockyer ,
R. W. Michaelson  and
A. D. Wilkie
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Abstract

In AIDS Bulletins Nos. 1 to 4 the Institute of Actuaries AIDS Working Party presented projections of HIV infection and AIDS based on a model developed by Wilkie. This paper explores the sensitivity of those projections to the various different assumptions which have to be made and presents results on a number of alternative sets of assumptions.

Keywords

AIDSProjectionsModels
Type
Research Article
Information
Journal of the Institute of Actuaries , Volume 117 , Issue 1 , June 1990 , pp. 95 - 133
Copyright
Copyright © Institute and Faculty of Actuaries 1990

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