Hostname: page-component-78c5997874-s2hrs Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-11-08T21:39:15.634Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

MODERN STRUCTURAL ECONOMIC DYNAMICS IN THE SHORT AND THE LONG RUN

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  20 December 2016

Richard Arena*
Affiliation:
GREDEG, University of Nice-Sophia Antipolis and CNRS.

Abstract

During several decades and until the end of the 1990s, the theory of structural economic dynamics has been absent in the field of so-called mainstream economic analysis. The literature included only either empirically oriented contributions or developments that were related to so-called critical theoretical approaches of structural change. At the end of the twentieth century, however, mainstream economic theorists changed this situation and began to investigate the field of structural dynamics, often using the Solovian theory of economic growth. During the last two decades, they contributed to change substantially the state of the theory of structural change. This contribution first provides an assessment of the advances realized by these theorists. It then confronts these advances with the so-called alternative or critical theoretical approaches of structural dynamics—namely, Luigi Pasinetti’s contribution and ‘evolutionary’ approaches—in order to provide a more complete picture of structural dynamics in the short and the long run.

Type
Articles
Copyright
Copyright © The History of Economics Society 2016 

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

REFERENCES

Acemoglu, Daron. 2003. “Why Not a Political Coase Theorem? Social Conflict, Commitment, and Politics.” Journal of Comparative Economics XXXI: 620652.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Acemoglu, Daron. 2006. Economic Origins of Dictatorship and Democracy. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Acemoglu, Daron. 2009. Introduction to Modern Economic Growth. Princeton: Princeton University Press.Google Scholar
Acemoglu, Daron, and Guerrieri, Veronica. 2008. “Capital Deepening and Nonbalanced Economic Growth.” Journal of Political Economy CXVI (June): 467498.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Acemoglu, Daron, and Zilibotti, Fabrizio. 1997. “Was Prometheus Unbound by Chance? Risk, Diversification and Growth.” Journal of Political Economy CV (August): 709754.Google Scholar
Acemoglu, Daron, Aghion, Philippe, and Zilibotti, Fabrizio. 2006. “Distance to Frontier, Selection and Economic Growth.” Journal of the European Economic Association IV, 1 (March): 3774.Google Scholar
Aghion, Philippe, and Howitt, Peter. 1998. Endogenous Growth Theory. Cambridge: MIT Press.Google Scholar
Amable, Bruno. 1996. “Croissance et cycles endogènes induits par les innovations incrémentales et radicales.” Annales d’Economie et statistiques 44: 91110.Google Scholar
Araujo, Ricardo Azevedo. 2013. “Cumulative Causation in a Structural Economic Dynamic Approach to Economic Growth and Uneven Development.” Structural Change and Economic Dynamics 24 (March): 130140.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Araujo, Ricardo Azevedo, and Trigg, Andrew. 2015. “A Neo-Kaldorian Approach to Structural Economic Dynamics.” Structural Change and Economics Dynamics 33 (June): 2536.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Arena, Richard, and Porta, Pier Luigi. 2012. Structural Dynamics and Economic Growth. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Arena, Richard, and Raybaut, Alain. 2003. “Neo-Schumpeterian versus Neo-Kaldorian Approaches: Two Different Views on Knowledge, Learning and Cyclical Growth.” In Hagemann, Harald and Seiter, Stephan, eds., Growth Theory and Growth Policy. London: Routledge, pp. 6583.Google Scholar
Arestis, Philip, McCombie, John, and Vickerman, Roger, eds. 2007. Growth and Economic Development. Cheltenham: Edward Elgar.Google Scholar
Atkinson, Anthony Barnes. 2009. “Factor Shares: The Principal Problem of Political Economy.” Oxford Review of Economic Policy XXV, 1 (Spring): 316.Google Scholar
Barro, Roger, and Sala-i-Martin, Xavier. 2003. Economic Growth. Cambridge: The MIT Press.Google Scholar
Baumol, William J. 1967. “Macroeconomics of Unbalanced Growth: The Anatomy of Urban Crisis.” American Economic Review LVII: 415426.Google Scholar
Baumol, William J. 1970. Economic Dynamics: An Introduction. Third edition. New York: Macmillan.Google Scholar
Baumol, William J. 2000. “Out of Equilibrium: Review Article.” Structural Change and Economic Dynamics 11, 1–2 (July): 227233.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Baumol, William, Anne Batey Blackman, Sue, and Wolff, Edward. 1989. Productivity and American Leadership. Cambridge: MIT Press.Google Scholar
Bortis, Heinrich. 1996. “Structural Economic Dynamics and Technical Progress in a Pure Labour Economy.” Structural Change and Economic Dynamics 7, 2 (June): 135146.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Caselli, Francesco, and Coleman, Wilbur John. 2001. “The U.S. Structural Transformation and Regional Convergence: A Reinterpretation.” Journal of Political Economy 109 (3): 584616.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Cass, David. 1965. “Optimum Growth in an Aggregative Model of Capital Accumulation.” The Review of Economic Studies 32: 233240.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Chenery, Hollis, and Syrquin, Moises. 1975. Patterns of Development, 1950–1970. Oxford: Oxford University Press.Google Scholar
Di Matteo, Massimo. 2013. “Economic Dynamics as a Succession of Equilibria: The Path Traveled by Morishima.” Structural Economic Change and Economic Dynamics 24 (March): 123129.Google Scholar
Dopfer, Kurt, ed. 2005. The Evolutionary Foundations of Economics. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Dosi, Giovanni, Fagiolo, Giorgio, and Roventini, Andrea. 2010. “Schumpeter Meeting Keynes: A Policy-Friendly Model of Endogenous Growth and Business Cycles.” Journal of Economic Dynamics & Control 34 (9): 17481767.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Dosi, Giovanni, Fagiolo, Giorgio, Napoletano, Mauro, and Roventini, Andrea. 2013. “Income Distribution, Credit and Fiscal Policies in an Agent-Based Keynesian Model.” Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 37: 15981625.Google Scholar
Echevarria, Cristina. 1997. “Changes in Sectoral Composition Associated with Economic Growth.” International Economic Review 38, 2 (May): 431452.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Ethier, Wilfred. 1982. “National and International Returns to Scale in the Modern Theory of International Trade.” American Economic Review 72: 389405.Google Scholar
Foellmi, Reto, and Zweimuller, Josef. 2008. “Structural Change, Engel’s Consumption Cycles and Kaldor’s Facts of Economic Growth.” Journal of Monetary Economics 55 (7): 13171328.Google Scholar
Gollin, Douglas, Parente, Stephen, and Rogerson, Richard. 2002. “The Role of Agriculture in Development.” American Economic Review (Papers and Proceedings) 92 (2): 160164.Google Scholar
Grossman, Gene M., and Helpman, Elhanan. 1991. Innovation and Growth in the Global Economy. Cambridge: MIT Press.Google Scholar
Gualerzi, Davide. 1996. “Natural Dynamics, Endogenous Structural Change and the Theory of Demand: A Comment on Pasinetti.” Structural Change and Economic Dynamics 7, 2 (June): 147162.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Helpman, Elhanan. 2004. The Mystery of Economic Growth. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press.Google Scholar
Hishiyama, Izumi. 1996. “Appraising Pasinetti’s Structural Dynamics.” Structural Change and Economic Dynamics 7, 2 (June): 127134.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Jones, Charles, and Romer, Paul. 2009. “The New Kaldor Facts: Ideas, Institutions, Population, and Human Capital.” American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics 2, 1 (January): 224245.Google Scholar
Kaldor, Nicholas. 1961. “Capital Accumulation and Economic Growth.” In Lutz, F. A. and Hague, D. C., eds., The Theory of Capital. Proceedings of a Conference Held by the International Economic Association. Corfu Conference, 1958. London: Macmillan, pp. 177222.Google Scholar
Kongsamut, Piyabha, Rebelo, Sergio, and Xie, Danyang. 2001. “Beyond Balanced Growth.” Review of Economic Studies 68 (4): 869882.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Koopmans, Tjalling J. 1967. “Objectives, Constraints and Outcomes in Optimal Growth Models.” Econometrica 35 (1): 115.Google Scholar
Krolzig, Hans-Martin. 1997a. “International Business Cycles: Regime Shifts in the Stochastic Process of Economic Growth.” Applied Economics Discussion Paper 194. Oxford: University of Oxford.Google Scholar
Krolzig, Hans-Martin. 1997b. Markov Switching Vector Autoregressions. Modelling, Statistical Inference and Application to Business Cycle Analysis. Berlin: Springer.Google Scholar
Krolzig, Hans-Martin. 2001. “Business Cycle Measurement in the Presence of Structural Change: International Evidence.” Department of Economics and Nuffield College. Oxford: Oxford University.Google Scholar
Krolzig, Hans-Martin, and Sensier, Marianne. 2000. “A Disaggregated Markov-Switching Model of the Business Cycle in UK Manufacturing.” Manchester School 68 (3): 442460.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kuznets, Simon. 1966. Modern Economic Growth: Rate, Structure, and Spread. New Haven: Yale University Press.Google Scholar
Laitner, John. 2000. “Structural Change and Economic Growth.” The Review of Economic Studies 67, 3 (July): 545561.Google Scholar
Lordon, Frédéric. 1991. “Théorie de la croissance: quelques développements récents [première partie: la croissance récente].” Revue de l’OFCE 36: 159211.Google Scholar
Lorentz, André, and Savona, Maria. 2008. “Evolutionary Micro-dynamics and Changes in the Economic Structure.” Journal of Evolutionary Economics 18 (3–4): 389412.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Lorentz, André, and Savona, Maria. 2010. “Structural Change and Business Cycles: An Evolutionary Approach.” The Papers on Economics and Evolution: 1–38. Max Planck Institute of Economics, Evolutionary Economics Group.Google Scholar
Marglin, Stephen, and Schor, Juliet. 1992. The Golden Age of Capitalism: Reinterpreting the Postwar. Oxford: Oxford University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Matsuyama, Kiminori. 1992. “Agricultural Productivity, Comparative Advantage, and Economic Growth.” Journal of Economic Theory LVIII, 2 (Dec.): 317334.Google Scholar
Meckl, Jurgen. 2002. “Structural Change and Generalized Balanced Growth.” Journal of Economics 77 (3): 241266.Google Scholar
Ngaï, L. Rachel, and Pissarides, Christopher A.. 2007. “Structural Change in a Multisector Model of Growth.” American Economic Review 91 (7): 429443.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
North, Douglass C. 1990. Institutions, Institutional Change and Economic Performance. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
North, Douglass C. 2005. Understanding the Process of Economic Change. Princeton: Princeton University Press.Google Scholar
Pakko, Michael. 2002. “What Happens When the Technology Growth Trend Changes? Transition Dynamics, Capital Growth and the ‘New Economy.’” Review of Economic Dynamics 5 (2): 376407.Google Scholar
Panico, Carlo, and Salvadori, Neri. 1993. Post-Keynesian Theory of Growth and Distribution. The International Library of Critical Writings in Economics Series. Cheltenham: Edward Elgar Publishing.Google Scholar
Pasinetti, Luigi L. [1960] 1974. “Cyclical Growth and Fluctuations.” In Pasinetti, Luigi L., Growth and Income Distribution: Essays in Economic Theory. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, pp. 5485.Google Scholar
Pasinetti, Luigi L. 1965. “A New Theoretical Approach to the Problems of Economic Growth.” In Pontificiæ Academiæ Scientiarum Scripta Varia, n.28; Proceedings of a Study Week on “The Econometric Approach to Development Planning,” Vatican City, 1963. Reprinted by Amsterdam: North Holland Publ. Co, pp. 572696.Google Scholar
Pasinetti, Luigi L. 1981. Structural Change and Economic Growth. A Theoretical Essay on the Dynamics of the Wealth of Nations. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Pasinetti, Luigi L. 1993. Dinamica Economica Strutturale: un’indagine teorica sulle conseguenze economiche dell’apprendimento umano. Milan: Il Mulino.Google Scholar
Pasinetti, Luigi L. 1998. “A Note on Richard Stone’s Paper on Changes in Productivity.” Structural Change and Economic Dynamics 9, 2 (June): 233235.Google Scholar
Pasinetti, Luigi L. 2007. Keynes and the Cambridge Keynesians: A Revolution in Economics to Be Accomplished. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Pasinetti, Luigi L., and Solow, Robert, eds. 1994. Economic Growth and the Structure of Long-Term Development. London: Macmillan.Google Scholar
Porta, Pier Luigi. 2007. “Pasinetti, Luigi.” In The International Encyclopaedia of the Social Sciences. http://www.encyclopedia.com/social-sciences/applied-and-social-sciences-magazines/pasinetti-luigi. Accessed 26 November 2016.Google Scholar
Punzo, Lionello. 2006. “Towards a Disequilibrium Theory of Structural Dynamics: Goodwin’s Contribution.” Structural Change and Economic Dynamics 17, 4 (December): 382399.Google Scholar
Ramsey, Frank P. 1928. “A Mathematical Theory of Saving.” Economic Journal 38 (152): 543559.Google Scholar
Reati, Angelo. 1998. “Technological Revolutions in Pasinetti’s Model of Structural Change: Productivity and Prices.” Structural Change and Economic Dynamics 9 (June): 245262.Google Scholar
Rodrik, Dani. 2007. One Economics, Many Recipes. Globalization, Institutions and Economic Growth. Princeton: Princeton University Press.Google Scholar
Romer, Paul. 1990. “Endogenous Technological Change.” Journal of Political Economy 98 (5): 71102.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Rostow, Walt. 1960. The Stages of Economic Growth: A Non-Communist Manifesto. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Rotemberg, Julio J. 2003. “Stochastic Technical Progress, Smooth Trends and Nearly Distinct Business Cycles.” American Economic Review 93: 15431559.Google Scholar
Salvadori, Neri, ed. 2003a. Old and New Growth Theories: An Assessment. Cheltenham: Edward Elgar Publishing.Google Scholar
Salvadori, Neri, ed. 2003b. The Theory of Economic Growth: A ‘Classical’ Perspective. Cheltenham: Edward Elgar Publishing.Google Scholar
Scazzieri, Roberto. 1983. “Economic Dynamics and Structural Change: A Comment on Pasinetti.” Rivista Internazionale di Scienze Economiche e Commerciali 30: 597611.Google Scholar
Scazzieri, Roberto. 2009. “Structural Economic Dynamics: Looking Back and Forging Ahead.” Economia Politica 26: 531557.Google Scholar
Scazzieri, Roberto, ed. 1996. “‘Introduction’ to Pasinetti’s Structural Economic Dynamics: A Symposium. Structural Change and Economic Dynamics 7, 2 (June): 127134. Special issue.Google Scholar
Setterfield, Mark, and Suresh, Shyam Gouri. 2016. “Multi-agent Systems as a Tool for Analyzing Path-dependent Macrodynamics.” Structural Change and Economic Dynamics 38 (September): 2537. Special issue on “Complexity and Economic Development,” edited by M. Cimoli, J. S. Pereima, and G. Porcile.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Solow, Robert. 1997. “Is There a Core of Usable Macroeconomics We Should All Believe In?” American Economic Review 87 (2): 230232.Google Scholar
Solow, Robert. 1998. “Comment.” Structural Change and Economic Dynamics 9, 2 (June): 237238.Google Scholar
Syrquin, Moises. 2010. “Kuznets and Pasinetti on the Study of Structural Transformation: Never the Twain Shall Meet?” Structural Change and Economic Dynamics 21, 4 (November): 248257.Google Scholar
Veneziani, Roberto, and Mohun, Simon. 2006. “Structural Stability and Goodwin’s Growth Cycle.” Structural Change and Economic Dynamics 17, 4 (December): 437451.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Vercelli, Alessandro. 2000. “Structural Financial Instability and Cyclical Fluctuations.” Structural Change and Economic Dynamics 11, 1–2 (July): 139156.Google Scholar
Von Neumann, John. 1937 [1945–46]. “Über ein ökonomisches Gleichungssystem und eine Verallgemeinerung des Brouwerschen Fixpunktsatzes.” Ergebnisse eines mathematischen Kolloquiums 8: 7688. English translation: “A Model of General Equilibrium.” Review of Economic Studies 13: 1–9.Google Scholar