Hostname: page-component-78c5997874-8bhkd Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-11-19T07:33:22.492Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Low-technology industries and the skill composition of immigration

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  30 July 2014

Ludovic Rheault*
Affiliation:
Department of Political Science, University of California, USA E-mail: [email protected]

Abstract

This paper examines the relationship between the industry mix and policy decisions regarding the skill composition of immigration. I start with the premise that low- and high-technology industries are unequally affected by changes in the intensity of factors of production, and develop conflicting preferences over immigration policies. To avoid the negative reactions that would ensue from the depletion of regional industries, governments have incentives to adjust the skill composition of immigration in order to maintain the existing regional industry mix. I test the implications of this argument using data on Canadian provinces between 2001 and 2010, and a research design based on the two-stage least squares methodology. Overall, the empirical results are consistent with the theory: provinces relying intensively upon low-technology industries are likely to receive higher proportions of low-skilled immigrants. A consequence is that immigration policies may sustain existing technological gaps between regions and temper down the growth of high-technology sectors.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
Copyright © Cambridge University Press, 2014 

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Alberta (2007) Alberta’s Occupational Demand and Supply Outlook 2008–2018. Edmonton: Department of Employment and Immigration, Alberta.Google Scholar
Alberta (2010) Employment and Immigration Annual Report 2009–2010. Edmonton: Department of Employment and Immigration, Alberta.Google Scholar
Alberta (2011) Employment and Immigration Annual Report 2010–2011. Edmonton: Department of Employment and Immigration, Alberta.Google Scholar
Alberta (2012) Highlights of the Alberta Economy 2012. Edmonton: The Government of Alberta.Google Scholar
Alberta (2013a) Alberta Immigrant Nominee Program. Edmonton: The Government of Alberta. http://www.albertacanada.com/immigration/immigrating/ainp.aspx (accessed 18 October 2013).Google Scholar
Alberta (2013b) Enterprise and Advanced Education Annual Report 2012–2013. Edmonton: Department of Enterprise and Advanced Education, Alberta.Google Scholar
Angrist, J. D. and Pischke, J.-S. (2008) Mostly Harmless Econometrics: An Empiricist’s Companion. Princeton: Princeton University Press.Google Scholar
Arellano, M. and Bond, S. (1991) Some Tests of Specification for Panel Data: Monte Carlo Evidence and an Application to Employment Equations. The Review of Economic Studies 58(2): 277297.Google Scholar
Arellano, M. and Bover, O. (1995) Another Look at the Instrumental Variable Estimation of Error-Components Models. Journal of Econometrics 68(1): 2951.Google Scholar
Balestra, P. and Varadharajan-Krishnakumar, J. (1987) Full Information Estimations of a System of Simultaneous Equations with Error Component Structure. Econometric Theory 3(2): 223246.Google Scholar
Baltagi, B. H. and Chang, Y.-J. (2000) Simultaneous Equations with Incomplete Panels. Econometric Theory 16(2): 441463.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Barro, R. J. and Lee, J.-W. (2010) A New Data Set of Educational Attainment in the World, 1950–2010, WP No. 15902, Cambridge, MA: National Bureau of Economic Research.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Barro, R. J. and Sala-i-Martin, X. (2004) Economic Growth, 2nd ed. Cambridge: MIT Press.Google Scholar
Beach, C. M., Green, A. G. and Worswick, C. (2011) Toward Improving Canada’s Skilled Immigration Policy: An Evaluation Approach. Toronto: C.D. Howe Institute.Google Scholar
Beauchesne, E. (2006) Canada, Mexico Have Worst Skill Shortage: Manpower Survey, National Post, 21 February, p. FP4.Google Scholar
Bernstein, J. R. and Weinstein, D. E. (2002) Do Endowments Predict the Location of Production? Evidence from National and International Data. Journal of International Economics 56(1): 5576.Google Scholar
Blundell, R. and Bond, S. (1998) Initial Conditions and Moment Restrictions in Dynamic Panel Data Models. Journal of Econometrics 87(1): 115143.Google Scholar
Borjas, G. J. (1995) The Economic Benefits from Immigration. The Journal of Economic Perspectives 9(2): 322.Google Scholar
Borjas, G. J. (2001) Heaven’s Door: Immigration Policy and the American Economy. Princeton: Princeton University Press.Google Scholar
Canada (2005) Land and Fresh Water Area, By Province and Territory. Ottawa: Statistics Canada. http://www.statcan.gc.ca/tables-tableaux/sum-som/l01/cst01/phys01-eng.htm Google Scholar
Canada (2008) The Budget Plan 2008: Responsible Leadership. Ottawa: Department of Finance Canada.Google Scholar
Canada (2001–2010) Labour Force Survey, 2001–2010 [Canada]: Microdata File. Ottawa: Statistics Canada.Google Scholar
Canada (2011) Census of Population, 2006 [Canada]: Public Use Microdata File. Individual File. Ottawa: Statistics Canada.Google Scholar
Canada (2013a) CANSIM Table 379-0031. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) at Basic Prices, by North American Industry Classification System (NAICS). Ottawa: Statistics Canada.Google Scholar
Canada (2013b) CANSIM Table 282-0004. Labour Force Survey Estimates (LFS), by Educational Attainment, Sex and Age Group. Ottawa: Statistics Canada.Google Scholar
Canada (2013c) CANSIM Table 282-0008. Labour Force Survey Estimates (LFS), by North American Industry Classification System (NAICS), Sex and Age Group. Ottawa: Statistics Canada.Google Scholar
Canada (2013d) CANSIM Table 358-0001. Gross Domestic Expenditures on Research and Development, by Science Type and by Funder and Performer Sector. Ottawa: Statistics Canada.Google Scholar
Canada (2013e) CANSIM Table 358-0024. Business Enterprise Research and Development (BERD) Characteristics, by Industry Group Based on the North American Industry Classification System (NAICS) in Canada. Ottawa: Statistics Canada.Google Scholar
Canada (2013f) CANSIM Table 358-0159. Personnel Engaged in Research and Development, by Performing Sector, Occupational Category and Type of Science. Ottawa: Statistics Canada.Google Scholar
Canada (2013g) CANSIM Table 379-0025. Gross Domestic Product at Basic Prices, by North American Industry Classification System (NAICS) and Province. Ottawa: Statistics Canada.Google Scholar
Canada (2013h) Constitution Acts, 1867 to 1982, Department of Justice, Justice Laws Website, http://laws-lois.justice.gc.ca/eng/const/index.html (accessed 17 January 2013).Google Scholar
Chiswick, B. R. (ed.) (2011) High-Skilled Immigration in a Global Labor Market. Washington, DC: AEI Press.Google Scholar
Citizenship and Immigration Canada (CIC) (2011a) Digital Library. Facts and Figures 2010. DVD-ROM. Ottawa: CIC.Google Scholar
Citizenship and Immigration Canada (CIC) (2011b) Evaluation of the Provincial Nominee Program. Ottawa: CIC, Evaluation Division.Google Scholar
Citizenship and Immigration Canada (CIC) (2013a) New Federal Skilled Trades Program Accepts Applications Starting Today, CIC News Release, 2 January.Google Scholar
Citizenship and Immigration Canada (CIC) (2013b) Quarterly Administrative Data Release. Ottawa: CIC http://www.cic.gc.ca/english/resources/statistics/data-release/2012-Q3/index.asp (accessed 5 February 2013).Google Scholar
Cryderman, K. (2012) Minister Announces New Plan for Skilled Immigration; Program Fast-Tracks Residency, Calgary Herald, 11 December, p. A4.Google Scholar
Facchini, G., Mayda, A. M. and Mishra, P. (2011) Do Interest Groups Affect US Immigration Policy? Journal of International Economics 85(1): 114128.Google Scholar
Francis, D. (2006) Skilled Trades Shortage Must Be Addressed: Immigration Policy Needs Revamp to Fill Needed Jobs, Financial Post, 9 February, p. FP2.Google Scholar
Gandal, N., Hanson, G. H. and Slaughter, M. J. (2004) Technology, Trade, and Adjustment to Immigration in Israel. European Economic Review 48(2): 403428.Google Scholar
Granger, C. W. J. and Newbold, P. (1974) Spurious Regressions in Econometrics. Journal of Econometrics 2(2): 111120.Google Scholar
Grossman, G. M. and Helpman, E. (1991) Innovation and Growth in the Global Economy. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.Google Scholar
Hainmueller, J. and Hiscox, M. J. (2010) Attitudes Toward Highly Skilled and Low-Skilled Immigration: Evidence from a Survey Experiment. Americal Political Science Review 104(1): 6184.Google Scholar
Hanson, G. H. and Slaughter, M. J. (1999) The Rybczynski Theorem, Factor-Price Equalization, and Immigration: Evidence from U.S. States, Working Paper No. 7074, Cambridge, MA: National Bureau of Economic Research.Google Scholar
Hanson, G. H. and Slaughter, M. J. (2002) Labor-Market Adjustment in Open Economies: Evidence from US States. Journal of International Economics 57(1): 329.Google Scholar
Hanson, G. H. and Spilimbergo, A. (2001) Political Economy, Sectoral Shocks, and Border Enforcement. The Canadian Journal of Economics 34(3): 612638.Google Scholar
Harell, A., Soroka, S., Iyengar, S. and Valentino, N. (2012) The Impact of Economic and Cultural Cues on Support for Immigration in Canada and the United States. Canadian Journal of Political Science 45(3): 499530.Google Scholar
Harrigan, J. (1995) The Volume of Trade in Differentiated Intermediate Goods: Theory and Evidence. The Review of Economics and Statistics 77(2): 283293.Google Scholar
Harrigan, J. (1997) Technology, Factor Supplies, and International Specialization: Estimating the Neoclassical Model. The American Economic Review 87(4): 475494.Google Scholar
Hatton, T. J. and Williamson, J. G. (2005) Global Migration and the World Economy. Cambridge: MIT Press.Google Scholar
Ho, C. (2011) Minister Seeks Input on Immigration Issues; Starts National Consultations in Calgary, Calgary Herald, 12 July, p. B7.Google Scholar
Hoefer, M., Rytina, N. and Baker, B. (2012) Estimates of the Unauthorized Immigrant Population Residing in the United States: January 2011 Washington, DC: Department of Homeland Security, Office of Immigration Statistics.Google Scholar
Jaegers, T., Lipp-Lingua, C. and Amil, D. (2013) High-Technology and Medium-High Technology Industries Main Drivers of EU-27’s Industrial Growth. Eurostat Statistics in Focus: Industry, Trade and Services. Luxembourg: Eurostat. http://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/cache/ITY_OFFPUB/KS-SF-13-001/EN/KS-SF-13-001-EN.PDF (accessed 18 March 2013).Google Scholar
Kennedy, P. (2008) A Guide to Econometrics. Oxford: Blackwell.Google Scholar
Labelle, M. (1988) La gestion fédérale de l’immigration internationale au Canada. In Bélanger Y., and Dorval B. (eds.), L’ére des Libéraux: Le pouvoir fédéral de 1963 á 1984. Montreal: Les Presses de l’Université du Québec, 313342.Google Scholar
Levin, A., Lin, C.-F. and James Chu, C.-S. (2002) Unit Root Tests in Panel Data: Asymptotic and Finite-Sample Properties. Journal of Econometrics 108(1): 124.Google Scholar
Nicholson-Crotty, J. and Nicholson-Crotty, S. (2011) Industry Strength and Immigrant Policy in the American States. Political Research Quarterly 64(3): 612624.Google Scholar
O’Connell, M. (2011) How Do High-Skilled Natives View High-Skilled Immigrants: Trade Theory Predictions. European Journal of Political Economy 27(2): 230240.Google Scholar
Organization for Economic Co-Operation and Development (OECD) (2011) Roudtable on Competition, State Aids and Subsidies: Proceedings of the 2010 Global Forum on Competition. Paris: Organization for Economic Co-Operation and Development.Google Scholar
OECD (2012) International Migration Outlook 2012. Paris: OECD Publishing.Google Scholar
Pratt, S. (2011) Let Foreign Workers Stay, Alberta Urges; Settlement Through Immigration Will Help Ease Labour Shortage, Minister Argues, Edmonton Journal, 17 July, p. A1.Google Scholar
Reitz, J. G. (2004) Canada: Immigration and Nation-Building in Transition to a Knowledge Economy. In Wayne A., Cornelius T., Tsuda P. L. M. and Hollifield J. F. (eds.), Controlling Immigration: A Global Perspective. Stanford: Stanford University Press, 97133.Google Scholar
Reitz, J. G. (2013) Closing the Gaps Between Skilled Immigration and Canadian Labor Markets: Emerging Policy Issues and Priorities. In Triadafilos Triadafilopoulos (ed.), Wanted and Welcome? Policies for Highly Skilled Immigrants in Comparative Perspective. New York: Springer, 147163.Google Scholar
Rozin, P. and Royzman, E. B. (2001) Negativity Bias, Negativity Dominance, and Contagion. Personality and Social Psychology Review 5(4): 296320.Google Scholar
Rybczynski, T. M. (1955) Factor Endowment and Relative Commodity Prices. Economica 22(88): 336341.Google Scholar
Semykina, A. and Wooldridge, J. M. (2008) Estimating Panel Data Models in the Presence of Endogeneity and Selection, Working Paper. Tallahassee: Department of Economics, Florida State University.Google Scholar
Somerville, W. (2007) Immigration Under New Labour. Bristol: The Policy Press.Google Scholar
Soroka, S. N. (2006) Good News and Bad News: Asymmetric Responses to Economic Information. Journal of Politics 68(2): 372385.Google Scholar
Teel, G. (2007) “Absurd” Process for Immigration: Approval Times for Much-Needed Skilled Workers are “Beyond Words”, Calgary Herald, 23 March. Retrieved from http://global.factiva.com (accessed 9 September 2013).Google Scholar
Tversky, A. and Kahneman, D. (1991) Loss Aversion in Riskless Choice: A Reference-Dependent Model. The Quarterly Journal of Economics 106(4): 10391061.Google Scholar
Van Rassel, J. (2012) Skilled Tradespeople to Get Speedier Immigration Queue, Calgary Herald, 11 April, p. A1.Google Scholar