Published online by Cambridge University Press: 14 October 2011
In 1994 a young journalist with a sharp eye for social anxieties and a flair for dramatic prose wrote an article that described environmental change as “the national security issue of the early 21st century.” Robert Kaplan's thesis in “The Coming Anarchy” is fetchingly simple: combine weak political systems, burgeoning urban populations, grinding poverty, and a flood of cheap weapons, and society becomes highly volatile. This lethal mixture, Kaplan suggests, already is generating high levels of violence in West Africa; soon it will affect the rest of the planet. This will happen because at the root of social collapse in West Africa is environmental degradation—a problem the entire world is experiencing. The pathways to chaos may differ from one place to the next, but all of humankind is being pushed along them. The state of the environment, Kaplan concludes, has become a matter of national security.
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13. Gore proved especially adept at restructuring in situ policies and institutions and at using environmental initiatives as a basis for advancing diplomatic goals. The so-called “Gore bilaterals,” forged with his counterparts in Russia, South Africa, and elsewhere, are a series of high-level agreements to cooperate on shared environmental problems that are typical of Gore's resourcefulness. For a sense of his perspective on environmental issues, see Gore, Al, Earth in the Balance: Forging a New Common Purpose (Boston, 1992)Google Scholar.
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17. In fact, as discussed below, several initiatives were well advanced by 1996, although problems associated with concerns about declassification criteria persisted.
18. See the Report of the Secretary of Defense to President and Congress on Environmental Security, May 1994.
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22. Homer-Dixon's influential research findings serve as a principal source for Kaplan's dramatic speculations on the future.
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25. Quotes from U.S. and World News website, http://sddt.com/files/librarywire/98/04/23/lh.html
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31. Deudney, “The Case Against Linking Environmental Degradation and National Security.”
32. An editorial in the magazine World Watch, for example, reviews the trend of using military assets to deal with unconventional environmental problems and concludes that this is a promising phenomenon: “it may be politically easier to shift spending inside the military [for environmental purposes] than to shift it out. It may be easier to reform military thinking by assuring the generals they're needed than by informing them that the future has left them behind.” Ayres, Ed, “New Missions for the Military,” World Watch (1999): 3–4Google Scholar.
33. For a disturbing account of the military's legacy in the former Soviet Union, see Feshbach, Murray, Ecological Disaster: Cleaning Up the Hidden Legacy of the Soviet Regime (New York, 1995)Google Scholar.
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36. For a comprehensive listing of government and nongovernment activities, see the Environmental Change and Security Project Reports published annually since 1995 by the Woodrow Wilson Center in Washington, D.C.
37. See, for example, Ehrlich, Paul, The Population Bomb (New York, 1968)Google Scholar ; Ehrlich, Paul and Ehrlich, Anne, The Population Explosion (New York, 1990)Google ScholarPubMed ; Norman Myers, Ultimate Security; idem, “Population, Environment and Conflict”; Connolly, Matthew and Kennedy, Paul, “Must It Be the West Against the Rest?” The Atlantic Monthly 274 (1994): 61–83Google Scholar ; Homer-Dixon, “Environmental Scarcities and Violent Conflict"; idem, Environment, Scarcity, and Violence; and Homer-Dixon and Blitt, Ecoviolence.
38. Homer-Dixon, Environment, Scarcity, and Violence.
39. A typical example of this is the impassioned debate over Samuel Huntington's “Clash of Civilizations” thesis. See Huntington, Samuel, The Clash of Civilisations? The Debate (New York, 1993)Google Scholar.
40. Dupont, Alan, The Environment and Security in Pacific Asia, Adelphi Paper 319. (Oxford, 1998).Google Scholar
41. For information purposes, it may be useful to contrast the above with representative U.S.-based activities. These range from research undertaken by the Center for Environmental Security at Pacific Northwest National Laboratory to the community organized Military Toxics Project, located in Maine, which studies and lobbies for base cleanup and pollution prevention. The Consortium for International Earth Science Information Network at Columbia University maintains an excellent database. Also at Columbia University, the Environment and Security Project focuses on scarcity, degradation, and conflict in the developing world. On the West Coast, the Nautilus Institute for Security and Sustainable Development has long pioneered research in this area. Finally, an office of the Global Environmental Change and Human Security Project, headquartered in Canada, was established at the end of the 1990s at the University of California at Irvine. It has a special focus on issues relevant to coastal communities.
42. , Butts, “National Security, the Environment, and DOD,” 22.Google Scholar
43. The author's answer is offered in Matthew, “Rethinking Environmental Security.”