Hostname: page-component-586b7cd67f-g8jcs Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-11-22T13:30:06.600Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Tax incentives, bequest motives, and the demand for life insurance: evidence from a natural experiment in Germany*

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  01 October 2015

NICOLAS SAUTER
Affiliation:
European Central Bank, Frankfurt a.M., Germany
JAN WALLISER
Affiliation:
The World Bank, Washington, DC, USA
JOACHIM WINTER
Affiliation:
Department of Economics, University of Munich, Germany. (e-mail: [email protected])

Abstract

This paper studies the role of taxation and bequest motives in households’ demand for life insurance. We develop a stylized three-period life cycle model of life insurance demand and test its predictions regarding tax changes and bequests motives. An unexpected halving of the tax exemption limit for interest and dividend income in Germany allows us to identify the impact of changes in taxation on the demand for life insurance in a difference-in-differences setting. In line with our theoretical predictions, we document that ownership of life insurance products increased significantly among households affected by the reform. We also find some evidence of a more pronounced response among households with stronger bequest motives.

Type
Articles
Copyright
Copyright © Cambridge University Press 2015 

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

Footnotes

*

We would like to thank Thiess Büttner, Tom Crossley, the editor Michael Haliassos, and the anonymous referees for helpful comments. Financial support from the Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft through GRK 801 is gratefully acknowledged. The views expressed in this paper are solely our own and do not necessarily represent those of the European Central Bank, the World Bank, their Executive Boards or the governments the World Bank Executive Board represents.

References

Agell, Jonas and Edin, Per-Anders (1990) Marginal taxes and the asset portfolios of Swedish households. Scandinavian Journal of Economics, 92: 4764.Google Scholar
Ai, Chunrong and Norton, Edward (2003) Interaction terms in logit and probit models. Economics Letters, 80: 123129.Google Scholar
Alan, Sule, Atalay, Kadir, Crossley, Thomas F. and Jeon, Sung-Hee (2010) New evidence on taxes and portfolio choice. Journal of Public Economics, 94: 813823.Google Scholar
Alessie, Rob, Hochguertel, Stefan and van Soest, Arthur (1997) Saving accounts versus stocks and bonds in household portfolio allocation. Scandinavian Journal of Economics, 99: 8197.Google Scholar
Athey, Susan and Imbens, Guido (2006) Identification and Inference in nonlinear difference-in-difference models. Econometrica, 74: 431497.Google Scholar
Babbel, David F. and Ohtsuka, Eisaku (1989) Aspects of optimal multiperiod life insurance. Journal of Risk and Insurance, 56: 460481.Google Scholar
Banks, James and Tanner, Sarah (2002) Household portfolios in the UK. In Guiso, Luigi, Haliassos, Michael, and Jappelli, Tullio (eds), Household Portfolios. Cambridge: MIT Press, pp. 219250.Google Scholar
Beck, Thorsten and Webb, Ian (2003) Economic, demographic, and institutional determinants of life insurance demand across countries. The World Bank Economic Review, 17: 5188.Google Scholar
Bernheim, Douglas (1991) How strong are bequest motives? Evidence based on estimates of the demand for life insurance and annuities. Journal of Political Economy, 99: 899927.Google Scholar
Browne, Mark J. and Kim, Kihong (1993) An International analysis of life insurance demand. Journal of Risk and Insurance, 60: 616634.Google Scholar
Deutsche Bundesbank (2010) Ergebnisse der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Finanzierungsrechnung für Deutschland 1991 bis 2009, Statistische Sonderveröffentlichung 4. Frankfurt: Deutsche Bundesbank.Google Scholar
Deutsche Bundesbank (2014) Ergebnisse der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Finanzierungsrechnung für Deutschland 2008 bis 2013, Statistische Sonderveröffentlichung 4. Frankfurt: Deutsche Bundesbank.Google Scholar
Dolle-Helms, Elke (1999 a) Geschäft des Lebens. Die Zeit, 36: 28.Google Scholar
Dolle-Helms, Elke (1999 b) Voreilig abgeschlossen?. Die Zeit, 52: 32.Google Scholar
Feldstein, Martin (1976) Personal taxation and portfolio composition: an econometric analysis. Econometrica, 44(4): 631650.Google Scholar
Fischer, Stanley (1973) A life cycle model of life insurance purchases. International Economic Review, 14: 132152.Google Scholar
GDV (2003 a) Yearbook of the German Insurance Industry 2003. Berlin: Gesamtverband der Deutschen Versicherungswirtschaft.Google Scholar
GDV (2003 b) Geschäftsentwicklung 2003. Die deutsche Lebensversicherung in Zahlen. Berlin: Gesamtverband der Deutschen Versicherungswirtschaft.Google Scholar
GDV (2013) Geschäftsentwicklung 2013. Die deutsche Lebensversicherung in Zahlen. Berlin: Gesamtverband der Deutschen Versicherungswirtschaft.Google Scholar
Guiso, Luigi, Haliassos, Michael and Jappelli, Tullio (2002) Household Portfolios. Cambridge: MIT Press.Google Scholar
Haisken-DeNew, John P. and Hahn, Markus (2006) PanelWhiz: a flexible modularized stata interface for accessing large scale panel data sets. Mimeo, available at http://www.PanelWhiz.eu.Google Scholar
Hurd, Michael D. (1987) Savings of the elderly and desired bequests. American Economic Review, 77: 298312.Google Scholar
Hurd, Michael D. (1989) Mortality risk and bequests. Econometrica, 57: 779813.Google Scholar
Inkmann, Joachim and Michaelides, Alexander (2012) Can the life insurance market provide evidence for a bequest motive? Journal of Risk and Insurance, 79: 671695.Google Scholar
Jappelli, Tullio and Pistaferri, Luigi (2003) Tax incentives and the demand for life insurance: evidence from Italy. Journal of Public Economics, 87: 17791799.Google Scholar
Jappelli, Tullio and Pistaferri, Luigi (2007) Do people respond to tax incentives? An analysis of the Italian reform of the deductibility of home mortgage interest. European Economic Review, 51: 247273.Google Scholar
Jürges, Hendrik (2001) Do Germans save to leave an estate? An examination of the bequest motive. The Scandinavian Journal of Economics, 103: 391414.Google Scholar
King, Mervyn A. and Leape, Jonathan I. (1998) Wealth and portfolio composition: theory and evidence. Journal of Public Economics, 69: 155193.Google Scholar
Kopczuk, Wojciech and Lupton, Joseph P. (2007) To leave or not to leave: the distribution of bequest motives. Review of Economic Studies, 74: 207235.Google Scholar
Kotlikoff, Laurence J. and Summers, Lawrence H. (1981) The role of intergenerational transfers in aggregate capital accumulation. Journal of Political Economy, 89(4): 706732.Google Scholar
Laitner, John and Juster, Thomas (1996) New evidence on altruism: a study of TIAACREF retirees. American Economic Review, 86: 893908.Google Scholar
Lewbel, Arthur (2007) Estimation of average treatment effects with misclassification. Econometrica, 75: 537551.Google Scholar
Lewis, Frank D. (1989) Dependents and the demand for life insurance. American Economic Review, 79: 452467.Google Scholar
Modigliani, Franco (1988) The role of intergenerational transfers and life cycle saving in the accumulation of wealth. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 2(2): 1540.Google Scholar
Poterba, James M. (2002) Taxation and portfolio structure: issues and implications. In Guiso, Luigi, Haliassos, Michael, and Jappelli, Tullio (eds), Household Portfolios. Cambridge: MIT Press, pp. 103142.Google Scholar
Poterba, James M. and Samwick, Andrew A. (2003) Taxation and household portfolio composition: U.S. evidence from the 1980s and 1990s. Journal of Public Economics, 87: 538.Google Scholar
Poterba, James and Verdugo, Arturo Ramirez (2011) Portfolio substitution and the revenue cost of the federal income tax exemption for state and local government bonds. National Tax Journal, 64: 591614.Google Scholar
Puhani, Patrick A. (2012) The treatment effect, the cross difference, and the interaction term in nonlinear ‘difference-in-differences’ models. Economics Letters, 115(1): 8587.Google Scholar
Sauter, Nicolas (2014) Bequest motives and the demand for life insurance in East Germany. German Economic Review, 15(2): 272286.Google Scholar
Sauter, Nicolas and Winter, Joachim (2010) Do investors respond to tax reform? Evidence from a natural experiment in Germany. Economics Letters, 108(2): 193196.Google Scholar
Scholz, John K. (1994) Portfolio choice and tax progressivity: evidence from the surveys of consumer finances. In Slemrod, Joel (ed.), Tax Progressivity and Income Inequality. New York: Cambridge University Press, pp. 219267.Google Scholar
Schwarze, Johannes (1995) Simulating German income and social security tax payments using the SOEP. Cross-National Studies in Aging Program, Project Paper No. 19.Google Scholar
Sommer, Matthias (2007) Savings motives and the effectiveness of tax incentives: an analysis based on the demand for life insurance in Germany. MEA discussion paper 125-2007, University of Mannheim.Google Scholar
Walliser, Jan and Winter, Joachim (1999) Tax incentives, bequest motives, and the demand for life insurance: evidence from Germany. Discussion Paper No. 99–28, Sonderforschungsbereich 504, University of Mannheim.Google Scholar
Yaari, Menahem E. (1965) Uncertain lifetime, life insurance and the theory of the consumer. Review of Economic Studies, 32: 137150.Google Scholar