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Statistical estimation of container condensation in marine transportation between Far East Asia and Europe

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  28 September 2021

Ping Chi Yuen
Affiliation:
Graduate School of Maritime Sciences, Kobe University, Kobe, Japan.
Kenji Sasa*
Affiliation:
Graduate School of Maritime Sciences, Kobe University, Kobe, Japan.
Hideo Kawahara
Affiliation:
Department of Maritime Technology, Oshima National College of Maritime Technology, Oshima-gun, Yamaguchi, Japan.
Chen Chen
Affiliation:
School of Navigation, Wuhan University of Technology, Wuhan, China
*
*Corresponding author. E-mail: [email protected]

Abstract

Condensation inside marine containers occurs during voyages owing to weather changes. In this study, we define the condensation probability along one of the major routes for container ships between Asia and Europe. First, the inside and outside air conditions were measured on land in Japan, and a correlation analysis was conducted to derive their relationship. Second, onboard measurements were conducted for 20,000 twenty-foot equivalent unit (TEU) ships to determine the variation in outside air conditions. Complicated patterns of weather change were observed with changes in latitude, sea area, and season. Third, condensation probability was estimated based on a multi-regression analysis with land and onboard measured data. The maximum condensation probability in westbound or eastbound voyages in winter was found to be approximately 50%. The condensation probability estimation method established in this study can contribute to the quantification of cargo damage risks for the planning of marine container transportation voyages.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
Copyright © The Author(s), 2021. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of The Royal Institute of Navigation

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