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Methodology for Estimating Waterway Traffic Capacity at Shanghai Estuary of the Yangtze River

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  05 July 2019

Jinxian Weng ,
Shiguan Liao  and
Dong Yang
Jinxian Weng*
Affiliation:
(College of Transport and Communications, Shanghai Maritime University, Shanghai, China 201306)
Shiguan Liao
Affiliation:
(College of Transport and Communications, Shanghai Maritime University, Shanghai, China 201306)
Dong Yang
Affiliation:
(Department of Logistics and Maritime Studies, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hong Kong, China)
*
(E-mail: [email protected])
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Abstract

The objective of this study is to propose a methodology for assessing waterway traffic capacity in the Shanghai estuary of the Yangtze River. To achieve this objective, we first put forward the estimation method which utilises the minimum collision distance taking the dynamic ship domain into consideration. Considering possible effects caused by unknown external factors, the waterway traffic capacity is then represented by a probability distribution. Finally, we quantify the equivalent units of ships with various ship sizes as well as the effects of large-sized ships on the waterway traffic capacity. Results show that a large-sized ship is equivalent to more small-sized ships during the daytime period than at night. In addition, the deployment of large-sized ships could increase the waterway traffic capacity and such an increment highly depends on the increased proportion of large-sized ships in the waterway traffic.

Keywords

AISEstimationUncertaintyShip domain
Type
Research Article
Information
The Journal of Navigation , Volume 73 , Issue 1 , January 2020 , pp. 75 - 91
Copyright
Copyright © The Royal Institute of Navigation 2019 

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