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Collision Risk Modelling of Supply Vessels and Offshore Platforms Under Uncertainty

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  27 March 2017

Andrew John  and
Umukoro Johnson Osue
Andrew John*
Affiliation:
(Offshore Technology Centre, Petroleum Training Institute Effurun, Delta State, Nigeria)
Umukoro Johnson Osue
Affiliation:
(Welding Engineering Department, Petroleum Training Institute Effurun, Delta State, Nigeria)
*
(E-mail: [email protected])
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Abstract

Serious accidents in the marine and offshore industry have underscored the need for safety evaluation of maritime operations using risk and safety analysis methods which have become a powerful tool in identifying technical solutions and operational management procedures. Given that Fault Tree Analysis (FTA) is a known methodology used for analysing engineering systems, the approach is usually conducted using known failure data. But most offshore operations are conducted in a challenging and uncertain environment and the failure data of some of these systems are usually unavailable requiring a flexible and yet robust algorithm for their analysis. This paper therefore seeks to analyse the complex structure of Offshore Supply Vessel (OSV) collision with platforms by incorporating a Fuzzy Fault Tree Analysis (FFTA) method. Fuzzy set theory provides the flexibility to represent vague information from the analysis process. The methodology is structured in such a manner that diverse sets of data are integrated and synthesized for analysing the system. It is envisaged that the proposed method could provide the analyst with a framework to evaluate the risks of collision enabling informed decisions regarding the deployments of resources for system improvement.

Keywords

OffshoreModellingSafetyShip
Type
Research Article
Information
The Journal of Navigation , Volume 70 , Issue 4 , July 2017 , pp. 870 - 886
Copyright
Copyright © The Royal Institute of Navigation 2017 

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