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Separation Risk Evaluation Considering Positioning Uncertainties from the Automatic Dependent Surveillance-Broadcast (ADS-B) System

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  02 May 2019

Peng Zhao  and
Yongming Liu
Peng Zhao
Affiliation:
(Arizona State University, U.S.)
Yongming Liu*
Affiliation:
(Arizona State University, U.S.)
*
(E-mail: [email protected])
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Abstract

A probabilistic methodology for separation loss probability assessments is proposed in this paper. The key focus is on the effect of uncertainties from multiple Automatic Dependent Surveillance-Broadcast (ADS-B) systems on the separation loss probability assessment. First, a brief review of the ADS-B system and its associated uncertainty quantification metrics is discussed. It is found that most existing studies focus on the individual ADS-B uncertainty quantification for a single aircraft, which is not sufficient for separation loss probability assessment when two or more aircraft are involved. Next, a probabilistic positioning model with multiple aircraft is proposed and various types of uncertainties are included in the proposed model. Numerical simulations show that a navigation satellite fault can significantly affect separation error when individual aircraft see different satellite sets. Following this, several demonstration examples are illustrated to show the bounds for separation loss probability estimation. Finally, several conclusions and suggestions are discussed based on this study. One major finding is that the separation risk significantly increases when two nearby aircraft use different satellite sets to navigate. Real-time assessment of this risk should be performed.

Keywords

ADS-BNavigationSeparation lossUncertainty quantification
Type
Research Article
Information
The Journal of Navigation , Volume 72 , Issue 5 , September 2019 , pp. 1179 - 1199
Copyright
Copyright © The Royal Institute of Navigation 2019 

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