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The Estimation of Collision Risk for Marine Traffic

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  23 November 2009

A. N. Cockcroft
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Extract

In a series of three papers Dr Lewison has described the progressive results of a line of research which may have important applications in the consideration of routing schemes. The first paper described a mathematical model which can predict the number of encounters that would occur between ships of different traffic streams in the absence of avoidance manœuvres. In the second paper the number of potential encounters was calculated from estimates of traffic flow, in a particular area of the Dover Strait, then compared with the number of actual collisions to determine the risk of a ship encounter leading to a collision. The third paper updated these results for the Dover Strait and suggested how estimates of collision risk could be made for other UK coastal areas.

Type
Forum
Information
The Journal of Navigation , Volume 34 , Issue 1 , January 1981 , pp. 145 - 147
Copyright
Copyright © The Royal Institute of Navigation 1981

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References

REFERENCES

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