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The Accuracy of Upper-wind Forecasts

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  18 January 2010

C. S. Durst
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Abstract

In a previous paper (Journal, 11, 180), the author gave assessments of the forecast wind errors likely to be met with at any point on the globe by an aircraft flying for one hour. The present paper follows this up by giving the probable errors of 24-hour wind forecasts over routes of any length, and thereby assesses the probable unpunctuality of aircraft owing to wind forecast errors.

Type
Research Article
Information
The Journal of Navigation , Volume 13 , Issue 3 , July 1960 , pp. 288 - 295
Copyright
Copyright © The Royal Institute of Navigation 1960

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References

REFERENCES

1Durst, C. S. (1954). The Variation of Wind with Time and Distance, London, 1954. Met. Off. Geophys. Mem. 93.Google Scholar
2Johnson, D. H. (1955). The Success achieved in Forecasting Upper Winds by Orthodox and Statistical Techniques. A paper of the Meteorological Research Committee.Google Scholar
3Brooks, C. E. P. et al. (1950). Upper Winds over the World, London, Met. Off. Geophys. Mem. 85.Google Scholar
4Durst, C. S. The Statistical Variation of Wind with Distance. To be published in Q. J. R. Met. Soc.Google Scholar
5Harley, D. G. (1954). Equivalent tail-winds on the Shannon to Gander route. This Journal, 7, 16.Google Scholar