Hostname: page-component-cd9895bd7-8ctnn Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-12-22T09:01:42.932Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Understanding Judicial Power

Divided Government, Institutional Thickness, and High-Court Influence on State Incarceration

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  21 October 2022

Matthew E. K. Hall*
Affiliation:
University of Notre Dame
Jason Harold Windett
Affiliation:
Saint Louis University
*
Contact the corresponding author, Matthew Hall, at [email protected].

Abstract

High courts are widely believed to influence the criminal justice system, yet judicial impact varies widely across political and institutional contexts. Here, we seek to identify the factors that constrain judicial influence on state incarceration rates. We find that the preferences of justices on state courts of last resort and the US Supreme Court influence incarceration; however, high-court impact is conditional on two factors. Judicial influence is stronger in states with divided partisan governments and occurs more quickly in states that lack intermediate appellate courts. Our findings suggest that legislative gridlock and institutional thickness significantly constrain judicial impact.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
© 2015 by the Law and Courts Organized Section of the American Political Science Association. All rights reserved.

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

Footnotes

Thanks to Nathan Kelly, Geoffrey Layman, Wendy Martinek, and Christopher Witko for their thoughtful and insightful comments. Supporting information and replication data are available at https://sites.google.com/site/matthewhallphd/.

References

Albonetti, Celesta A. 1987. “Prosecutorial Discretion: The Effects of Uncertainty.Law and Society Review 21 (2): 291–314.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Alexander, Michelle. 2011. The New Jim Crow. New York: New Press.Google Scholar
Bafumi, Joseph, and Andrew Gelman. 2006. “Fitting Multilevel Models When Predictors and Group Effects Correlate.” Paper presented at the annual meeting of the Midwest Political Science Association, Chicago.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Baum, Lawrence. 1976. “Implementation of Judicial Decisions: An Organizational Analysis.American Politics Research 4 (1): 86–114.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Baum, Lawrence. 1978. “Lower-Court Response to Supreme Court Decisions: Reconsidering a Negative Picture.Justice System Journal 3:208–19.Google Scholar
Baum, Lawrence. 2003. “The Supreme Court in American Politics.Annual Review of Political Science 6:161–80.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Benesh, Sara C. 2002. The U.S. Court of Appeals and the Law of Confessions: Perspectives on the Hierarchy of Justice. New York: LFB Scholarly Publishing.Google Scholar
Bergara, Mario, Barak Richman, and Pablo T. Spiller. 2003. “Modeling Supreme Court Strategic Decision Making: The Congressional Constraint.Legislative Studies Quarterly 28 (2): 247–80.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Berry, William D., Evan J. Ringquist, Richard C. Fording, and Russell L. Hanson. 1998. “Measuring Citizen and Government Ideology in the American States, 1960–93.American Journal of Political Science 42 (1): 327–48.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Berube, Danton, and Donald P. Green. 2007. “The Effects of Sentencing on Recidivism: Results from a Natural Experiment.” Paper presented at the Second Annual Conference on Empirical Legal Studies, New York.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Brace, Paul, Laura Langer, and Melinda Gann Hall. 2000. “Measuring Preferences of State Supreme Court Judges.Journal of Politics 62 (2): 387–413.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Brent, James C. 1999. “An Agent and Two Principals: U.S. Court of Appeals Responses to Employment Division, Department of Human Resources v. Smith and the Religious Freedom Restoration Act.American Politics Quarterly 27 (2): 236–66.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Canon, Bradley C. 1974. “Is the Exclusionary Rule in Failing Health? Some New Data and a Plea against a Precipitous Conclusion.Kentucky Law Journal 62:703–7.Google Scholar
Canon, Bradley C. 1974. “Organizational Contumacy in the Transmission of Judicial Policies: The Mapp, Escobedo, Miranda, and Gault Cases.Villanova Law Review 20:50–79.Google Scholar
Carson, E. Ann, and Daniela Golinelli. 2013. “Prisoners in 2012—Advance Counts.” Technical Report NCJ 242467, Bureau of Justice Statistics, Washington, DC.Google Scholar
Casillas, Christopher, Peter K. Enns, and Patrick C. Wohlfarth. 2011. “How Public Opinion Constrains the U.S. Supreme Court.American Journal of Political Science 55 (1): 74–88.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Cassell, Paul G., and Richard Fowles. 1998a. “Falling Clearance Rates after Miranda: Coincidence or Consequence?Stanford Law Review 50 (4): 1181–92.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Cassell, Paul G. 1998. “Handcuffing the Cops? A Thirty-Year Perspective on Miranda’s Harmful Effects on Law Enforcement.Stanford Law Review 50 (4): 1055–1145.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Clayton, Cornell W., and J. Mitchell Pickerill. 2006. “The Politics of Criminal Justice: How the New Right Regime Shaped the Rehnquist Court’s Criminal Justice Jurisprudence.Georgetown Law Review 94:1385–1425.Google Scholar
Davey, Joseph Dillon. 1998. The Politics of Prison Expansion. Westport, CT: Praeger.Google Scholar
De Boef, Suzanna, and Luke Keele. 2008. “Taking Time Seriously.American Journal of Political Science 52 (1): 184–200.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Donohue, John J., III. 1998. “Did Miranda Diminish Police Effectiveness?Stanford Law Review 50:1147–80.Google Scholar
Downs, Anthony. 1967. Inside Bureaucracy. Boston: Little, Brown.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Enns, Peter K. 2014. “The Public’s Increasing Punitiveness and Its Influence on Mass Incarceration in the United States.American Journal of Political Science 58 (4): 857–72.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Enns, Peter K., and Julianna Koch. 2013. “Public Opinion in the U.S. States: 1956 to 2010.American Journal of Political Science 13:349–72.Google Scholar
Epstein, Lee, and Jack Knight. 1998. The Choices Justices Make. Washington, DC: Congressional Quarterly.Google Scholar
Epstein, Lee, Jack Knight, and Andrew D. Martin. 2001. “The Supreme Court as a Strategic National Policymaker.Emory Law Review 55:583–611.Google Scholar
Epstein, Lee. 2007. “The Judicial Common Space.Journal of Law, Economics, and Organization 23:305–25.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Ferejohn, John, and Charles Shipan. 1990. “Congressional Influence on Bureaucracy.” Special issue, Journal of Law, Economics, and Organization 6:1–20.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Frost, Natasha A. 2008. “The Measurement of Punishment.Punishment and Society 10:277–300.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Galanter, Marc. 2004. “The Vanishing Trial: An Examination of Trials and Related Matters in Federal and State Courts.Journal of Empirical Legal Studies 1 (3): 459–570.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Garland, David. 1990. Punishment and Modern Society. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Gelman, Andrew, and Jennifer Hill. 2006. Data Analysis Using Regression and Multilevel/Hierarchical Models. New York: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Gely, Rafael, and Pablo T. Spiller. 1990. “A Rational Choice Theory of Supreme Court Statutory Decisions with Applications to the State Farm and Grove City Cases.Journal of Law, Economics, and Organization 6 (2): 263–300.Google Scholar
Gordon, Diana R. 1994. The Return of the Dangerous Classes: Drug Prohibition and Policy Politics. New York: Norton.Google Scholar
Gottschalk, Marie. 2006. The Prison and the Gallows: The Politics of Mass Incarceration in America. New York: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Green, Donald P., and Daniel Winik. 2010. “Using Random Judge Assignments to Estimate the Effects of Incarceration and Probation on Recidivism among Drug Offenders.Criminology 48 (2): 357–87.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Gruhl, John. 1980. “The Supreme Court’s Impact on the Law of Libel: Compliance by Lower Federal Courts.Western Political Quarterly 33 (4): 502–19.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hall, Matthew E. K. 2011. The Nature of Supreme Court Power. New York: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Hall, Matthew E. K. 2014. “Macro Impact: Testing the Causal Paths from U.S. Macro Policy to Federal Incarceration.” Unpublished manuscript, University of Notre Dame.Google Scholar
Hall, Matthew E. K. 2014. “The Semi-constrained Court: Public Opinion, the Separation of Powers, and the U.S. Supreme Court’s Fear of Nonimplementation.American Journal of Political Science 58 (2): 352–66.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hall, Matthew E. K. 2015. “Testing Judicial Power: The Influence of the U.S. Supreme Court on Federal Incarceration.American Politics Research 43 (1): 83–108.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Harvey, Anna, and Barry Friedman. 2006. “Pulling Punches: Congressional Constraints on the Supreme Court’s Constitutional Rulings, 1987–2000.Legislative Studies Quarterly 31 (4): 533–62.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Harvey, Anna. 2009. “Ducking Trouble: Congressionally Induced Selection Bias in the Supreme Court’s Agenda.Journal of Politics 71 (2): 574–92.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Horowitz, Donald L. 1977. The Courts and Social Policy. Washington, DC: Brookings.Google Scholar
Howard, Robert M., and Amy Steigerwalt. 2011. Judging Law and Policy: Courts and Policymaking in the American Political System. New York: Routledge.Google Scholar
Howell, William G. 2003. Power without Persuasion: The Politics of Direct Presidential Action. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Huber, Gregory A., and Sanford C. Gordon. 2004. “Accountability and Coercion: Is Justice Blind When It Runs for Office?American Journal of Political Science 48 (2): 247–63.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hume, Robert J. 2009. How Courts Impact Federal Administrative Behavior. New York: Routledge.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hume, Robert J. 2013. Courthouse Democracy and Minority Rights: Same-Sex Marriage in the States. New York: Oxford University Press.Google Scholar
Hupe, Peter L. 2011. “The Thesis of Incongruent Implementation: Revisiting Pressman and Wildavsky.Public Policy Administration 26 (1): 63–80.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Jacobs, David, and Ronald E. Helms. 1996. “Toward a Political Model of Incarceration: A Time-Series Examination of Multiple Explanations for Prison Admission Rates.American Journal of Sociology 102 (2): 323–57.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Keck, Thomas M. 2004. The Most Activist Supreme Court in History: The Road to Modern Judicial Conservatisim. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Keck, Thomas M. 2009. “Beyond Backlash: Assessing the Impact of Judicial Decisions on LGBT Rights.Law and Society Review 43 (1): 151–85.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Krause, George A. 2004. “The Secular Decline in Presidential Domestic Policy Making: An Organizational Perspective.Presidential Studies Quarterly 34 (4): 779–92.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Krause, George A. 2009. “Organizational Complexity and Coordination Dilemmas in U.S. Executive Politics.Political Research Quarterly 39 (1): 74–88.Google Scholar
Kritzer, Herbert M., Paul Brace, Melinda Gann Hall, and Brent T. Boyea. 2007. “The Business of State Supreme Courts, Revisited.Journal of Empirical Legal Studies 4 (2): 427–39.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Lederman, Leandra. 1999. “Which Cases Go to Trial? An Empirical Study of Predictors of Failure to Settle.Case Western Reserve Law Review 49:315–58.Google Scholar
Light, Paul C. 1995. Thickening Government: Federal Hierarchy and the Diffusion of Authority. Washington, DC: Brookings.Google Scholar
Light, Paul C. 1997. The Tides of Reform: Making Government Work, 1945–1995. New Haven, CT: Yale University Press.Google Scholar
Mauer, Marc. 2006. Race to Incarcerate. New York: New Press.Google Scholar
McCloskey, Robert G. 2010. The American Supreme Court. 5th ed. Durham, NC: Duke University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
McGuire, Kevin T. 2004. “The Institutionalization of the U.S. Supreme Court.Political Analysis 12 (2): 128–42.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
McGuire, Kevin T., and James A. Stimson. 2004. “The Least Dangerous Branch Revisited: New Evidence on Supreme Court Responsiveness to Public Preferences.Journal of Politics 66 (4): 1018–35.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Murphy, Walter F. 1964. Elements of Judicial Strategy. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.Google Scholar
Nagel, Jack H., ed. 1975. The Descriptive Analysis of Power. New Haven, CT: Yale University Press.Google Scholar
Nagel, Stuart S. 1965. “Testing the Effects of Excluding Illegally Seized Evidence.Wisconsin Law Review 1965 (2): 283–310.Google Scholar
Nicholson-Crotty, Sean, and Kenneth J. Meier. 2003. “Crime and Punishment: The Politics of Federal Criminal Justice Sanctions.Political Research Quarterly 56 (2): 119–26.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Nicholson-Crotty, Sean, David A. M. Peterson, and Mark D. Ramirez. 2009. “Dynamic Representation(s): Federal Criminal Justice Policy and an Alternate Dimension of Public Mood.Political Behavior 31 (4): 629–55.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Pager, Devah. 2007. Marked: Race, Crime, and Finding Work in an Era of Mass Incarceration. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Persyn, Damiaan, and Joakim Westerlund. 2008. “Error-Correction-Based Cointegration Tests for Panel Data.Stata Journal 8 (2): 232–41.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Powe, Lucas A., Jr. 2000. The Warren Court and American Politics. Cambridge, MA: Belknap Press of Harvard University Press.Google Scholar
Pressman, Jeffery, and Aaron Wildavsky. 1973. Implementation. Berkeley: University of California Press.Google Scholar
Rosenberg, Gerald N. 1992. “Judicial Independence and the Reality of Political Power.Review of Politics 54 (Summer): 369–98.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Rosenberg, Gerald N. 2008. The Hollow Hope: Can Courts Bring About Social Change? 2nd ed. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Rosenberg, Gerald N. 2014. “Ideological Preferences and Hollow Hopes: Responding to Criticism.” University of Chicago Press website. http://www.press.uchicago.edu/books/rosenberg/index.html#position3.Google Scholar
Rusche, Georg, and Otto Kirchheimer. 1939. Punishment and Social Structure. New York: Columbia University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Scott, Kevin M. 2006. “Understanding Judicial Hierarchy: Reversals and the Behavior of Intermediate Appellate Judges.Law and Society Review 40 (1): 164–91.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Segal, Jeffrey A., Chad Westerland, and Stephanie A. Lindquist. 2011. “Congress, the Supreme Court, and Judicial Review: Testing a Constitutional Separation of Powers Model.American Journal of Political Science 55 (1): 89–104.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Simon, Jonathan. 2007. Governing through Crime: How the War on Crime Transformed American Democracy and Created a Culture of Fear. New York: Oxford University Press.Google Scholar
Simon, Jonathan. 2013. Mass Incarceration on Trial: Courts and the Future of American Prisons. New York: New Press.Google Scholar
Skowronek, Stephen. 1997. The Politics Presidents Make: Leadership from John Adams to Bill Clinton. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press.Google Scholar
Smith, Kevin B. 2004. “The Politics of Punishment: Evaluating Political Explanations of Incarceration Rates.Journal of Politics 66 (3): 925–38.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Songer, Donald R., Jeffrey A. Segal, and Charles M. Cameron. 1994. “The Hierarchy of Justice: Testing a Principal-Agent Model of Supreme Court–Circuit Court Interactions.American Journal of Political Science 38 (3): 673–96.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Songer, Donald R., and Reginald S. Sheehan. 1990. “Supreme Court Impact on Compliance and Outcomes: Miranda and New York Times in the United States Courts of Appeals.Western Political Quarterly 43 (2): 297–316.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Spaeth, Harold J., Lee Epstein, Andrew D. Martin, Jeffrey A. Segal, Theodore J. Ruger, and Sara C. Benesh. 2014. Supreme Court Database. Version 2014 release 01. http://supremecourtdatabase.org.Google Scholar
Strøm, Kaare. 2000. “Delegation and Accountability in Parliamentary Democracies.European Journal of Political Research 37 (3): 261–89.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Sweet, Martin J. 2010. Merely Judgment: Ignoring, Evading, and Trumping the Supreme Court. Charlottesville: University of Virginia Press.Google Scholar
Taha, Almed E. 2010. “Judge Shopping: Testing Whether Judges’ Political Orientations Affect Case Filings.University of Cincinnati Law Review 78:1007–42.Google Scholar
Wacquant, Loïc. 2010. “Class, Race, and Hyperincarceration in Revanchist America.Daedalus 140 (3): 74–90.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Walmsley, Roy. 2006. World Prison Population List. 8th ed. Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press.Google Scholar
Wasby, Stephen L. 1976. Small Town Police and the Supreme Court: Hearing the Word. Lexington, MA: Lexington.Google Scholar
Weaver, Vesla M., and Amy E. Lerman. 2010. “Political Consequences of the Carceral State.American Political Science Review 104 (4): 817–33.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Wedeking, Justin. 2010. “Supreme Court Litigants and Strategic Framing.American Journal of Political Science 54 (3): 617–31.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Westerland, Chad, Jeffrey A. Segal, Lee Epstein, Charles M. Cameron, and Scott Comparato. 2010. “Strategic Defiance and Compliance in the U.S. Courts of Appeals.American Journal of Political Science 54 (4): 891–905.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Westerlund, Joakim. 2007. “Testing for Error-Correction in Panel Data.Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics 69 (6): 709–48.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Western, Bruce. 2006. Punishment and Inequality in America. New York: Sage.Google Scholar
Yates, Jeff, and Richard Fording. 2005. “Politics and State Punitiveness in Black and White.Journal of Politics 67 (4): 1099–1121.CrossRefGoogle Scholar