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The Economic Consequences of Cocaine Production in Bolivia: Historical, Local, and Macroeconomic Perspectives1
Published online by Cambridge University Press: 05 February 2009
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Cocoa, coca, cotton, and sugar are of great interest. The development of any one of the four crops would bring about great relief to people's present miseries and would not hurt nearby provinces… The development of one province need not occur at the expense of another. (Francisco de Viedma, 1787).2
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2 Our translation. The original text reads as follows: ‘El cacao, la coca, el algodón y los cañaverales son de mucho interés; cualquiera de los cuatro que se fomentase y pusiese en el estado de prosperidad que ofrecen sus terrenos, atraenía grande desahogo en las presentes miserias, sin causar a las provincias inmeditaes las perdidas que pudieran hecerlas decaer;… el restablecimiento de una no ha de ser con decadencia de otras.’ De Viedma, F., Descriptión geográficay estadistica de la provincia de Santa Cruz de la Sierra (La Paz, 1969 ‘orig. 1788’), p. 160.Google Scholar For a discussion of Viedma's role in developing the Cochabamba lowlands, see Larson, B., Colonialism and Agrarian Transformation in Bolivia: Cocbabamba, 1950–1900 (Princeton, 1988), pp. 253–8.Google Scholar
3 Cocaine production bolstered democracy in Bolivia by reducing the incentives among the military to bring down the government and by increasing incomes for the rural poor, particularly during the stabilisation programme of 1985. In neighbouring countries lacking the history of political turmoil or the experience with stabilisation measures, the cocaine industry fails to encourage democracy.
4 Tullis, F. L., ‘Cocaine and Food: Likely Effects of a Burgeoning Transnational Industry on Food Production in Bolivia and Peru’, in Hollist, W. L. and Tullis, F. L., Pursuing Food Security (Boulder, 1987), p. 257. Yet, as one reviewer pointed out, the experience with the exports of bananas or coffee suggests that the legalisation of cocaine would not be a panacea for Bolivia's rural development. Clearly, the country requires something more.Google Scholar
5 United States of America (USA), Drugs and Latin America: Economic and Political Impact and US Policy Options, Proceedings of a Seminar Held by the Congressional Research Service, 26 March 1989. Report of the Select Committee on Narcotics Abuse and Control, 101 Congress, 1st Session (Washington, D.C., 1989), p. vii.
6 Morales, E., Cocaine, White Gold Rush in Peru (Tucson, 1989), p. 47Google Scholar and Tullis, , ‘Cocaine and Food’, p. 251.Google Scholar
7 The Dutch Disease is one of those illnesses most developing countries probably wished they had to cure their other ills. It spreads when the exports of one commodity, such as oil or coca, overshadow other exports. The export boom siphons resources from other activities, which decline, and causes an exchange rate appreciation. As the key export expands, other exports decline and imports increase as a result of the stronger currency. Dependency on a single export renders the country more vulnerable to market downturns.
8 Alvarez, E. H., ‘The Economics and Political Economy of Coca Production in the Andes: Implications for US Foreign Policy for Bolivia and Peru’, The Nelson Rockefeller Institute of Government, State University of New York (Albany, 1988).Google Scholar
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14 According to one source, some smallholder organisations in the Chapare levy taxes to build physical infrastructure, schools and hospitals. See Toranzo, C. F., Las condiciones de la violencia en Perú y Bolivia (La Paz, 1990), pp. 122–123.Google Scholar
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23 Ibid.
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39 Ibid. pp. 42, 174 and 181.
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47 Like many statistics in Bolivia, these numbers must be read with caution. The revenue estimates for the mid- and early 1960s vary widely. Henkel says that a Chapare farmer could expect to net US$575 per hectare per year in coca cultivation (Henkel, ‘The Chapare of Bolivia’, p. 232). Rodríguez says a farmer in the Yungas about the same time could earn as much as US$1,600 (Rodríguez, ‘Possibilities of Crop Substitution’). We use US$1,000 a rough midpoint value, as our estimate for the net returns from coca cultivation in the early 1960s. The 1985 figure (US$5,000) is an average of high estimates - US$7,500 Per hectare per year (Sanabria, ‘Social and Economic Change’, pp. 131–2; Healy, K., ‘Bolivia and Cocaine: A Developing Country's Dilemma’, British Journal of Drug Addiction, vol. 33 (1988), pp. 19–23)CrossRefGoogle Scholar – and low estimates – US$2,600 (Lee, R. W., ‘Why the US Cannot Stop South American Cocaine’, Orbis, vol. 32, no. 4 (1988), p. 517).Google Scholar
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50 Some may argue that wild fluctuations in the price/value of cocaine would deter smallholders from entering the drug industry. As shown recently in a major review of the literature, smallholders will take up the cultivation of perennials with marked price volatility provided the expected pay-offs are high. See Godoy, R., ‘Trees for Profit: The Determinants of Smallholder Tree Cultivation’, World Development (forthcoming).Google Scholar
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57 The information for Figures 5 and 6 until 1984 comes from Tullis, ‘Cocaine and Food’, p. 267. Information for more recent years come from the following sources: (a) Production: United Nations, Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe, Anuario estaístico de América Latina (Santiago, 1988), pp. 638–56; Wilkie, J. W. and Ochoa, E., Statistical Abstract of Latin America, vol. 27 (1989), p. 88Google Scholar; 1987 potato data from FAO Statistical Quarterly (Rome, 1989); (b) Food aid and food imports from World Bank, World Development Report 1987–1989 (Washington, D.C., 1990).
58 Coca requires 210 person days per year per hectare in maintenance and harvesting; the next most labour-intensive crop, coffee, only requires 56. See Sanabria, , ‘Social and Economic Change’, pp. 37–38; Weil says coca cultivation in the Chapare absorbs more than three-fourths of all agricultural labour (‘The Organisation of Work’, p. 52).Google Scholar See also Henkel, , ‘The Chapare of Bolivia’, p. 210.Google Scholar
59 Healy, , ‘The Boom Within the Crisis’, p. 128Google Scholar; Stearman, , Camba and Kolla, p. 39Google Scholar; Henkel, , ‘The Bolivian Cocaine Industry’, p. 63Google Scholar; Tullis, , ‘Cocaine and Food’, p. 23.Google Scholar
60 Sanabria, , ‘Social and Economic Change’, pp. 40, 77 and 102Google Scholar; Healy, , ‘The Boom Within the Crisis’, p. 104.Google Scholar
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62 Lee, , ‘Why the US Cannot Stop South American Cocaine’, p. 504.Google Scholar
63 Horton, , ‘Labour Markets in an Era of Adjustment’, pp. 24 and 30.Google Scholar
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67 During the 1960s and 1970s in the Yungas, the area and production of citrus and coffee grew relative to coca (see Parkerson, ‘Neither “Green Gold”’, p. 276). The authors of a 1981 study showed that farmers in the Chapare devoted only 15% of their land to coca fields, but 30% to perennial fruit trees (see Blanes, J., De Its valles al Chapare.Estrategias familiares en un contexto de cambios (Cochabamba, 1983), p. 137.Google Scholar
68 One referee noted that this statement must be taken as a working hypothesis rather than as an established fact. Definitive conclusions will only arise when monocropping/intercropping studies control for farm size.
69 Henkel, , ‘The Chapare of Bolivia’, pp. 166–167Google Scholar; Weil, , ‘The Organisation of Work’, p. 52.Google Scholar
70 Ministry of Agriculture, ‘La problemática’.
71 Sanabria, , ‘Social and Economic Change’, pp. 252–253.Google Scholar
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76 We are indebted to a referee for these points.
77 Ibid.; Griffin, ‘Observations on Possible’.
78 Healy, , ‘The Boom Within the Crisis’; USA, Drugs and Latin America: Economic andPolitical Impact and US Policy Options. Proceedings of a Seminar Held by the Congressional Research Service, 26 April, 1989; Report of the Select Committee on Narcotics Abuse and Control, 101 Congress, 1st Session (Washington, D.C., 1989).Google Scholar
79 Griffin, , ‘Observations’.Google Scholar
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