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Published online by Cambridge University Press: 22 October 2024
To assess the value of corrected calcium decline at 6 hours as a predictor of hypocalcaemia post total thyroidectomy by comparing it to the currently widely used intact parathyroid hormone.
A retrospective cohort study of patients who underwent total thyroidectomy from January 2016 to February 2020. Serum intact parathyroid hormone and corrected calcium data pre-operatively and 6 hours post-operatively were obtained. Receiver operating characteristic curves were used to compare corrected calcium decline at 6 hours versus 6 hours for relative intact parathyroid hormone decline as predictors of hypocalcaemia, and the area under the curve for each metric was reported.
Patients included in this analysis totalled 209. The receiver operating characteristic analysis suggested that corrected calcium decline at 6 hours has a similar predictive value to 6 hours relative intact parathyroid hormone. The areas under the curves for predicting hypocalcaemia were 0.797 for corrected calcium decline at 6 hours and 0.737 for 6 hours relative intact parathyroid hormone, but the difference (0.06) was not statistically significant.
Our results suggest that corrected calcium decline at 6 hours has a similar predictive value to 6 hours relative intact parathyroid hormone and hence has the potential to predict post-operative hypocalcaemia.
Hamed Al Maawali takes responsibility for the integrity of the content of the paper
Part of this research was presented at the 11th Emirates Otorhinolaryngology Audiology and Communication Disorders Congress, held as a virtual event 08 April 2021 through 10 April 2021, and at the 17th Annual Meeting of Middle East Academy of Otolaryngology and Head & Neck Surgery, held in The Event Centre, InterContinental Dubai Festival City.