Hostname: page-component-586b7cd67f-dlnhk Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-11-30T02:39:06.143Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false
  • English
  • Français

Global Forces and Regime Change: Guatemala in the Central American Context

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  02 January 2018

John A. Booth
John A. Booth*
Affiliation:
University of North Texas
Get access Rights & Permissions [Opens in a new window]

Abstract

Drawing on theories of regime change, revolution, and democratization, this paper proposes a process theory to account for the 12 major regime transformations that have occurred in Central America since 1970. Political regimes, coherent systems of rule established among a coalition of dominant political actors, change when their prevailing political rules and their ruling coalitions undergo transformation. External forces are important to this process. The focal case is Guatemala and its prospects for democratic consolidation.

Type
Research Article
Information
Journal of Interamerican Studies and World Affairs , Volume 42 , Issue 4: Special Issue: Globalization and Democratization in Guatemala , Winter 2000 , pp. 59 - 87
Copyright
Copyright © University of Miami 2000

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Anderson, Charles W. 1967. The Latin American Political System. In Politics and Economic Change in Latin America: The Governing of Restless Nations, ed. Anderson, New York : Van Nostrand Reinhold. 87–114.Google Scholar
Anderson, Charles W. 1992. Toward a Theory of Latin American Politics. In Politics and Social Change in Latin America: Still a Distinct Tradition? ed. Howard, J. Wiarda Boulder : Westview Press. 239–54.Google Scholar
Asociación de Investigación y Estudios Sociales (ASIES). 1995. National sample of 1,200 Guatemalans. (Collected with financing by the U.S. Agency for International Development.) Guatemala City.Google Scholar
Aya, Rod. 1979. Theories of Revolution Reconsidered: Contrasting Models of Collective Violence. Theory and Society 8 (June-December: 39–100.Google Scholar
Baloyra-Herp, Enrique A. 1995. Elections, Civil War, and Transition in El Salvador. in Seligson and Booth 1995 45–65.Google Scholar
Booth, John A. 1991. Socioeconomic and Political Roots of National Revolts in Central America. Latin American Research Review 26, 1: 33–73.Google Scholar
Booth, John A. 1995. Elections and Democracy in Central America: a Framework for Analysis. in Seligson and Booth 1995 1–21.Google Scholar
Booth, John A. 1998. Costa Rica: Quest for Democracy Boulder : Westview Press.Google Scholar
Booth, John A., and Patricia, Bayer Richard. 1996. Repression, Participation, and Democratic Norms in Urban Central America. American Journal of Political Science 40, 4: 1205–32.Google Scholar
Booth, John A. 1998a. Civil Society and Political Context in Central America. American Behavioral Scientist 42, 1: 33–46.Google Scholar
Booth, John A. 1998b. Civil Society, Political Capital, and Democratization in Central America. Journal of Politics 60, 3: 780–800.Google Scholar
Booth, John A., and Thomas, W. Walker 1993, 1999. Understanding Central America Boulder : Westview Press.Google Scholar
Brockett, Charles. 1988. Land, Power, and Poverty: Agrarian Transformation and Political Conflict in Central America Boston : Unwin Hyman.Google Scholar
Carothers, Thomas. 1991. In the Name of Democracy: U.S. Policy Toward Latin America in the Reagan Years Berkeley : University of California Press.Google Scholar
Casper, Gretchen, and Michelle, M. Taylor 1996. Negotiating Democracy: Transitions from Authoritarianism Pittsburgh : University of Pittsburgh Press.Google Scholar
Chase-Dunn, Christopher. 1989. Global Formation: Structures of the World-Economy Cambridge , MA : Blackwell.Google Scholar
Chase-Dunn, Christopher. 1998. Globalization from below in Guatemala. Paper presented at the conference “Guatemalan Development and Democratization: Proactive Responses to Globalization,” Universidad del Valle, Guatemala City, March 26–28.Google Scholar
DeFronzo, James. 1991. Revolutions and Revolutionary Movements Boulder : Westview Press.Google Scholar
Diamond, Larry. 1993. Introduction: Political Culture and Democracy. In Political Culture and Democracy in Developing Countries, ed. Diamond, Boulder : Lynne Rienner. 1–33.Google Scholar
Diamond, Larry. 1994a. Causes and Effects. In Political Culture and Democracy in Developing Countries, ed. Diamond, Boulder : Lynne Rienner. 229–49.Google Scholar
Diamond, Larry. 1994b. Introduction: Political Culture and Democracy. In Political Culture and Democracy in Developing Countries, ed. Diamond, Boulder : Lynne Rienner. 1–27.Google Scholar
Diamond, Larry 1993, 1994. Political Culture and Democracy in Developing Countries, Boulder : Lynne Rienner.Google Scholar
Diamond, Larry, and Juan, J. Linz 1989. Introduction: Politics, Society, and Democracy in Latin America. In Democracy in Developing Countries, ed. Diamond, Linz, and Seymour, Martin Lipset. Boulder : Lynne Rienner 1–58.Google Scholar
Foran, John. 1997a. The Comparative-Historical Sociology of Third World Social Revolutions: Why a Few Succeed, Why Most Fail. In Theorizing Revolutions, ed. Foran, London : Routledge. 227–67.Google Scholar
Foran, John. 1997b. Discourses and Social Forces: The Role of Culture and Cultural Studies in Understanding Revolutions. In Theorizing Revolutions, ed. Foran, London : Routledge. 203–26.Google Scholar
Gasiorowski, Mark J. 1995. Economic Crisis and Political Regime Change: an Event History Analysis. American Political Science Review 89, 4: 882–97.Google Scholar
Gasiorowski, Mark J. 1996. An Overview of the Political Regime Dataset. Comparative Political Studies 21: 469–83.Google Scholar
Goldstone, Jack A. 1991. An Analytical Framework. In Revolutions of the Late Twentieth Century, ed. Goldstone, Ted, Robert, Gurr, and Farrokh, Moshiri. Boulder : Westview Press. 37–51.Google Scholar
Gurr, Ted Robert. 1970. Why Men Rebel Princeton : Princeton University Press.Google Scholar
Higley, John, and Michael, Burton. 1989. The Elite Variable in Democratic Transitions and Breakdowns. American Sociological Review 54, 1: 17–32.Google Scholar
Higley, John, and Richard, Gunther, eds. 1992. Elites and Democratic Consolidation in Latin America and Southern Europe Cambridge : Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Huntington, Samuel P. 1993. The Third Wave: Democratization in the Late Twentieth Century Norman : University of Oklahoma Press.Google Scholar
Inglehart, Ronald. 1988. The Renaissance of Political Culture. American Political Science Review 82, 4: 1203–30.Google Scholar
Inter-American Development Bank (IADB). 1997. Latin America After a Decade of Reforms: Economic and Social Progress in Latin America, 1997 Report Baltimore : Johns Hopkins University Press.Google Scholar
Inter-American Development Bank (Iadb) 1998. Country Profiles. http:www.iadb.orgint.staenglishprofilecty_statprofile_frame.htm (December 1).Google Scholar
Inter-American Development Bank (Iadb) 1999. Country Profiles. http:www.iadb.orgint.staenglishbrptnetbrptframe_eng.htm (June 12).Google Scholar
Jonas, Susanne. 1991. The Battle for Guatemala: Rebels, Death Squads, and U.S. Power Boulder : Westview Press.Google Scholar
Jonas, Susanne. 1995. Electoral Problems and the Democratic Prospect in Guatemala. in Seligson and Booth 1995 25–44.Google Scholar
Kriesberg, Louis. 1982. Social Conflicts Englewood Cliffs : Prentice-Hall.Google Scholar
Linz, Juan J., and Alfred, Stepan, eds. 1978. The Breakdown of Democratic Regimes Baltimore : Johns Hopkins University Press.Google Scholar
Lipset, Seymour Martin. 1959. Social Requisites of Democracy: Economic Development and Political Legitimacy. American Political Science Review 53, 1: 69–105.Google Scholar
Lowenthal, Abraham F., ed. 1991. Exporting Democracy: The United States and Latin America Baltimore : Johns Hopkins University Press.Google Scholar
Montgomery, Tommie Sue. 1995. Revolution in El Salvador Boulder : Westview Press.Google Scholar
Moore, Barrington. 1966. Social Origins of Dictatorship and Democracy Boston : Beacon Press.Google Scholar
Moreno, Dario. 1995. Respectable Intervention: the United States and Central American Elections. in Seligson and Booth 1995 224–43.Google Scholar
Muller, Edward N., and Mitchell, A. Seligson 1994. Civic Culture and Democracy: the Question of Causal Relationships. American Political Science Review 88, 3: 645–52.Google Scholar
O’Donnell, Guillermo. 1973. Modernization and Bureaucratic-Authoritarianism: Studies in South American Politics Berkeley : University of California Press.Google Scholar
O’Donnell, Guillermo, Philippe, C. Schmitter, and Lawrence, Whitehead, eds. 1986. Transitions from Authoritarian Rule Baltimore : Johns Hopkins University Press.Google Scholar
Olson, Mancur. 1963. Rapid Growth as a Destabilizing Force. Journal of Economic History 23, 4: 529–52.Google Scholar
Paige, Jeffrey M. 1975. Agrarian Revolution: Social Movements and Export Agriculture in the Underdeveloped World New York : Free Press.Google Scholar
Peeler, John. 1985. Latin American Democracies: Colombia, Costa Rica, Venezuela Chapel Hill : University of North Carolina Press.Google Scholar
Peeler, John. 1998. Building Democracy in Latin America Boulder : Lynne Rienner.Google Scholar
Przeworski, Adam. 1986. Some Problems in the Study of the Transition to Democracy. In Transitions from Authoritarian Rule, ed. Guillermo, O’Donnell, Philippe, C. Schmitter, and Laurence, E. Whitehead Baltimore : Johns Hopkins University Press. 47–63.Google Scholar
Putnam, Robert D. 1993. Making Democracy Work: Civic Traditions in Modern Italy Princeton : Princeton University Press.Google Scholar
Putnam, Robert D. 1995. Bowling Alone: America’s Declining Social Capital. Journal of Democracy 7 (Summer), 38–52.Google Scholar
Robinson, William I. 1996. Promoting Polyarchy: Globalization, U.S. Intervention and Hegemony Cambridge : Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Rueschemeyer, Dietrich, Evelyne, Huber Stephens, and John, D. Stephens 1992. Capitalist Development and Democracy Chicago : University of Chicago Press.Google Scholar
Ruhl, Mark. 1998. Militarism and Democratization in Troubled Waters. Paper presented at the 20th conference of the Latin American Studies Association, Chicago, September 24–27.Google Scholar
Rustow, Dankwart. 1970. Transitions to Democracy: toward a Dynamic Model. Comparative Politics 2 (April), 337–63.Google Scholar
Skocpol, Theda. 1979. States and Social Revolutions: A Comparative Analysis of France, Russia, and China Cambridge : Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Selbin, Eric. 1993. Modern Latin American Revolutions Boulder : Westview Press.Google Scholar
Seligson, Mitchell A., and John, A. Booth 1993. Political Culture and Regime Type: Evidence from Nicaragua and Costa Rica. Journal of Politics 55 (August: 777–92.Google Scholar
Seligson, Mitchell A., and John, A. Booth, eds. 1995. Elections and Democracy in Central America, Revisited Chapel Hill : University of North Carolina Press.Google Scholar
Tilly, Charles. 1978. From Mobilization to Revolution Reading , MA : Addison-Wesley.Google Scholar
Torres Rivas, Edelberto. 1981. Crisis del poder en Centroamérica San José , Costa Rica : Universitaria Centroamericana.Google Scholar
Prevost, Gary, and Harry, E. Vanden, eds. 1997. The Undermining of the Sandinista Revolution New York : St. Martin’s Press.Google Scholar
Vanhanen, Tatu. 1992. The Process of Democratization New York : Crane Russak.Google Scholar
Walker, Thomas W. 1997. Introduction: Historical Setting and Important Issues. In Nicaragua Without Illusions: Regime Transition and Structural Adjustment in the 1990s, ed. Walker, Wilmington : Scholarly Resources.Google Scholar
Walton, John. 1984. Reluctant Rebels: Comparative Studies in Revolution and Underdevelopment New York : Columbia University Press.Google Scholar
Whitehead, Laurence. 1991. The Imposition of Democracy. in Lowenthal 1991 216–42.Google Scholar
Wickham-Crowley, Timothy. 1992. Guerrillas and Revolution in Latin America: A Comparative Study of Insurgents and Regimes Since 1956 Princeton : Princeton University Press.Google Scholar
Williams, Robert. 1986. Export Agriculture and the Crisis in Central America Chapel Hill : University of North Carolina Press.Google Scholar
Wilson, Bruce M. 1998. Costa Rica: Politics, Economics, and Democracy Boulder : Lynne Rienner.Google Scholar
Wynia, Gary. 1990. The Politics of Latin American Development Cambridge : Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Yashar, Deborah J. 1997. Demanding Democracy: Reform and Reaction in Costa Rica and Guatemala, 1870s–1950s Stanford : Stanford University Press.Google Scholar